Academic-Panel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$129

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

635

Trades

2,030

lifetime

Volume

$5.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 07-23 20:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 48% -$96

Other

10% 18% -$21

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Tech

0% 67% +$11

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	11	$401	335	335	+0	Yes	-$12	05-08 22:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	11	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$1	05-11 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	16	$49	96	0	+96	Up	-$25	05-11 14:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	20	$46	59	38	+21	Down	-$3	05-13 15:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	17	$45	46	38	+9	Down	+$4	05-13 15:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	15	$44	57	38	+18	Down	+$6	05-13 14:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	16	$44	54	31	+22	Up	+$6	05-13 15:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	16	$40	50	29	+21	Up	+$4	05-13 14:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	15	$40	54	49	+5	Down	+$4	05-13 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	16	$38	96	0	+96	Down	-$2	05-11 14:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	13	$38	40	28	+12	Up	-$4	05-13 17:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	13	$35	42	24	+18	Up	-$7	05-13 14:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	15	$33	33	29	+4	Up	+$0	05-13 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	11	$32	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 12:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	11	$32	34	34	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 18:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	11	$31	36	23	+12	Up	+$7	05-13 12:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	13	$30	37	18	+19	Down	+$9	05-13 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	12	$29	30	25	+5	Up	-$1	05-13 14:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	12	$29	83	59	+24	Down	-$2	05-13 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	5	$29	24	12	+12	Down	+$2	05-11 14:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	10	$28	29	24	+5	Down	+$3	05-13 18:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	12	$28	39	34	+5	Down	+$3	05-13 12:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	9	$28	29	21	+8	Up	+$0	05-13 02:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	10	$28	29	24	+5	Down	+$1	05-13 02:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	8	$27	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	9	$26	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	8	$25	28	17	+10	Down	$0	05-13 15:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	14	$25	34	22	+12	Up	+$2	05-13 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$25	24	12	+12	Up	-$1	05-11 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	9	$25	28	16	+11	Down	+$0	05-13 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 20:42:37	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	SELL	14	91¢	$12	0x17e6d8…
07-23 05:28:06	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?	No	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xd02510…
07-19 20:31:18	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x643bee…
07-19 20:30:57	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	101	1¢	$1	0x2299e2…
07-19 20:28:40	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc2cf4a…
07-19 20:28:31	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xcdb097…
07-19 20:28:19	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0f2e59…
07-11 22:42:50	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x5b53bc…
07-11 22:42:47	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xc3c960…
07-05 21:56:22	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x2385f5…
07-05 21:56:10	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x903a8c…
07-05 21:55:59	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x1ceb19…
07-05 21:54:44	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x233f8b…
07-05 21:54:41	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0xed148c…
07-05 20:06:11	Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x2f5d9e…
07-05 20:05:47	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Norway?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbf235d…
07-05 20:05:35	Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2a24f8…
07-04 00:31:10	Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x02c463…
07-04 00:31:07	Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xf8d50c…
07-04 00:02:32	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x2bf9a5…
07-04 00:01:29	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x08993c…
07-03 23:26:55	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x1bf369…
07-03 23:26:43	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd4af94…
07-03 23:26:29	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Cabo Verde?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0cf9a9…
07-03 23:23:08	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x53b1d1…
07-03 00:22:25	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1bad47…
07-03 00:22:16	Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe6f7cf…
07-01 18:25:52	Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x7f1c9c…
07-01 16:46:10	Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x65e18b…
07-01 16:44:23	Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbc54d6…
07-01 03:37:55	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	Yes	SELL	71	21¢	$15	0xf6a159…
07-01 03:31:26	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	SELL	118	6¢	$7	0x682c27…
07-01 02:52:29	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x9feb67…
07-01 01:43:44	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	67	6¢	$4	0x9e1b8f…
07-01 01:42:50	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x788650…
07-01 01:37:35	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 0 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0xf46bfe…
07-01 01:35:34	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x4f927d…
07-01 01:35:16	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x0410d0…
07-01 01:27:16	Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0x38ee28…
07-01 01:25:56	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	315	1¢	$4	0x321c2c…
07-01 01:24:47	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xae00dd…
07-01 01:16:37	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x07ff3d…
07-01 01:15:56	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x1f9fd7…
07-01 01:14:31	Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb2d082…
07-01 01:14:26	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x32751b…
07-01 01:11:52	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8f9907…
07-01 01:10:16	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 3 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	375	1¢	$3	0xcf8883…
07-01 01:07:55	Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 Ecuador?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xdc73dc…
06-29 21:51:59	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x1f2056…
06-29 19:40:38	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2e67ea…
06-29 18:11:58	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xd7ae3c…
06-28 03:32:29	Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xedc768…
06-22 23:36:52	Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xd0a545…
06-22 17:02:04	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x022db9…
06-22 17:01:56	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x88a554…
06-21 13:54:47	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xc7a57f…
06-21 03:57:37	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x779268…
06-21 03:57:25	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4ac673…
06-21 03:55:49	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1299ea…
06-21 02:43:58	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xe525fc…
06-21 02:43:47	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x462b11…
06-21 02:43:43	Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xcb99f0…
06-21 01:10:43	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	37	26¢	$10	0xff6f0e…
06-20 23:33:26	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x6287b7…
06-20 22:55:50	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xe911e3…
06-19 02:56:17	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x782c87…
06-19 02:56:10	Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc80ae0…
06-17 23:22:44	Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3809b0…
06-17 23:22:22	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x2d2cb4…
06-17 23:21:46	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x074f96…
06-16 16:02:32	Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0ca606…
06-16 05:08:22	Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x19ad91…
06-16 05:08:18	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe8be1e…
06-15 18:34:19	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb9d812…
06-15 03:21:00	Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x617375…
06-15 03:20:30	Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfc011e…
06-15 03:18:16	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x6c81a9…
06-14 00:29:00	Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x935b1e…
06-14 00:27:33	Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x061005…
06-13 23:53:10	Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x8b5d84…
06-11 04:24:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0xace8ff…
06-11 04:19:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x9d40ac…
06-11 04:19:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8275f7…
06-11 04:18:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xffaf8d…
06-11 04:14:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4c432b…
06-11 04:14:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xc8c1c0…
06-11 04:14:48	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4a037a…
06-11 04:14:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9cf30b…
06-11 04:14:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 04:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6e2b73…
06-11 04:14:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 04:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x57dae6…
06-11 04:06:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-11 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xe7c983…
06-11 04:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x705fa2…
06-11 04:04:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x45552f…
06-11 03:54:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x715356…
06-11 03:54:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x55ede6…
05-17 19:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc26c96…
05-17 19:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8a53cb…
05-17 19:29:46	Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x14235f…
05-17 19:29:43	Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x2fb5ce…
05-17 19:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x663e23…