Academic-Panel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

512

Trades

1,880

lifetime

Volume

$5.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 05-17 19:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 49% $-59

Other

8% — —

Politics

0% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 925 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	11	$401	335	335	+0	open	—	05-08 22:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 11?	11	$101	52	52	+0	No	+$1	05-11 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	16	$49	96	0	+96	Up	$-25	05-11 14:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	20	$46	59	38	+21	Down	$-3	05-13 15:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	17	$45	46	38	+9	Down	+$4	05-13 15:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	15	$44	57	38	+18	Down	+$6	05-13 14:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	16	$44	54	31	+22	Up	+$6	05-13 15:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	16	$40	50	29	+21	Up	+$4	05-13 14:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	15	$40	54	49	+5	Down	+$4	05-13 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	16	$38	96	0	+96	Down	$-2	05-11 14:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	13	$38	40	28	+12	Up	$-4	05-13 17:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	13	$35	42	24	+18	Up	$-7	05-13 14:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	15	$33	33	29	+4	Up	+$0	05-13 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	11	$32	30	30	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 12:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	11	$32	34	34	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 18:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	11	$31	36	23	+12	Up	+$7	05-13 12:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	13	$30	37	18	+19	Down	+$9	05-13 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	12	$29	30	25	+5	Up	$-1	05-13 14:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	12	$29	83	59	+24	Down	$-2	05-13 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	5	$29	24	12	+12	Down	+$2	05-11 14:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	10	$28	29	24	+5	Down	+$3	05-13 18:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	12	$28	39	34	+5	Down	+$3	05-13 12:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	9	$28	29	21	+8	Up	+$0	05-13 02:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	10	$28	29	24	+5	Down	+$1	05-13 02:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	8	$27	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	9	$26	24	24	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	8	$25	28	17	+10	Down	$-0	05-13 15:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	14	$25	34	22	+12	Up	+$2	05-13 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	5	$25	24	12	+12	Up	$-1	05-11 15:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	9	$25	28	16	+11	Down	+$0	05-13 14:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 19:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc26c96…
05-17 19:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8a53cb…
05-17 19:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x663e23…
05-17 19:08:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x1cfa12…
05-17 19:08:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x9973d9…
05-16 19:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xd8b86d…
05-16 19:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x7e2356…
05-16 19:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x599da5…
05-16 19:25:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x4beec6…
05-16 19:25:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xd4ecae…
05-16 19:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x454988…
05-16 19:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x6b1d83…
05-16 19:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x8832dc…
05-16 19:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x8c4264…
05-16 19:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0x5543c2…
05-16 19:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xa51811…
05-16 19:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x199bbf…
05-16 19:23:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xcb1a87…
05-15 00:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xb4b4c8…
05-15 00:53:07	Bitcoin above 81,600 on May 14, 9PM ET?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x791d6c…
05-15 00:49:27	Bitcoin above 81,600 on May 14, 9PM ET?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x939cbc…
05-15 00:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa98820…
05-15 00:46:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xfa3bd4…
05-15 00:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xf207b8…
05-15 00:43:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x8af099…
05-14 23:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x31c930…
05-14 23:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x9fa1c1…
05-13 18:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x8e6bf3…
05-13 18:57:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x60a33f…
05-13 18:56:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x5a439c…
05-13 18:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xe2deef…
05-13 18:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	18	22¢	$4	0xdc1b4d…
05-13 18:55:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x78251c…
05-13 18:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xf6e130…
05-13 18:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x7d8152…
05-13 18:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xefe9aa…
05-13 18:55:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0xd33ffe…
05-13 18:54:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x811e67…
05-13 18:54:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x0140cf…
05-13 18:54:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xa2877a…
05-13 18:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x6b8f8e…
05-13 18:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x5f14f0…
05-13 18:52:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xd99c43…
05-13 18:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	19	18¢	$3	0x32c261…
05-13 18:52:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x387b0c…
05-13 18:51:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xd51aea…
05-13 18:50:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xd8a179…
05-13 18:50:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x34806a…
05-13 18:50:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1f2d71…
05-13 18:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xcd5212…
05-13 18:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6f65e9…
05-13 18:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x55e0de…
05-13 18:47:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x54c7db…
05-13 18:47:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	32	9¢	$3	0xc96b8e…
05-13 18:47:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5ae906…
05-13 18:47:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	32	8¢	$3	0x91ecee…
05-13 18:47:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xde2ec9…
05-13 18:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x139e4c…
05-13 18:46:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x29b9ee…
05-13 18:46:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x0c3b20…
05-13 18:46:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x088b13…
05-13 18:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0xfe1a23…
05-13 18:44:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xcf5fc8…
05-13 18:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	55¢	$4	0xf10034…
05-13 18:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x79d98b…
05-13 18:42:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x65f264…
05-13 18:42:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xd18494…
05-13 18:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x2fe99f…
05-13 18:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x84aef4…
05-13 18:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0xb2b7b9…
05-13 18:42:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x96db47…
05-13 18:41:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfc0bd6…
05-13 18:41:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x348537…
05-13 18:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x5a2349…
05-13 18:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x452a63…
05-13 18:40:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xc2ca1f…
05-13 18:40:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xdff7eb…
05-13 18:40:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x6d3a6e…
05-13 18:38:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2cc084…
05-13 18:38:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x639798…
05-13 18:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb84082…
05-13 18:36:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x378b99…
05-13 18:36:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x16b7b1…
05-13 18:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x043fa8…
05-13 18:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x05caaa…
05-13 18:36:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xb37e68…
05-13 18:35:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9d4d9a…
05-13 18:34:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x43e125…
05-13 18:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0x65a675…
05-13 18:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$3	0xa6b730…
05-13 18:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6ab1f5…
05-13 18:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xca737d…
05-13 18:29:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xecdedd…
05-13 18:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7c6cbc…
05-13 18:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5f9a12…
05-13 18:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb94c44…
05-13 18:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x7a2f80…
05-13 18:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0xc3fd40…
05-13 18:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x29a178…
05-13 18:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x106d52…