Realized P&L
-$79
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
57.4%
Resolved
191
Trades
388
lifetime
Volume
$3.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$255
12 positions
First seen
2026-10-14
last 11-11 10:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
78% 52% -$68
Politics
22% 50% -$5
Crypto
0% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +51 $43 88¢ $46 +$2 11-09 19:45
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +51 $43 86¢ $43 $0 11-09 19:39
Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +55 $29 51¢ $28 $0 11-11 11:20
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +31 $27 84¢ $26 -$1 11-11 11:44
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +22 $20 91¢ $20 +$0 11-11 05:56
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 14? No +17 $15 99¢ $17 +$2 11-09 17:25
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +16 $15 97¢ $15 +$0 11-10 16:43
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +19 $15 81¢ $15 +$0 11-05 18:53
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +16 $15 91¢ $15 +$0 11-09 17:45
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No +16 $15 92¢ $15 +$0 11-05 04:41
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? No +16 $15 91¢ $15 $0 11-10 07:07
Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner Zero Tenacity +10 $6 3¢ $0 -$6 11-11 10:57