Muddy-Fault — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$253

Unrealized P&L

+$38

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

368

Trades

405

lifetime

Volume

$7.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$348

11 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-31 14:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

91% 56% +$280

Sports

9% 33% -$17

Crypto

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+294	$50	22¢	$66	+$16	08-27 19:51
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+102	$50	64¢	$66	+$16	08-21 20:01
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+333	$50	16¢	$55	+$5	08-27 19:51
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+56	$30	72¢	$40	+$10	08-18 17:07
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	+150	$20	17¢	$26	+$6	10-28 11:39
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+105	$20	22¢	$24	+$4	07-24 20:42
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+188	$30	12¢	$23	-$7	08-27 19:52
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+154	$20	14¢	$21	+$1	08-27 19:51
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+200	$10	8¢	$15	+$5	07-24 20:42
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+167	$20	4¢	$7	-$13	09-06 12:19
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+42	$10	14¢	$6	-$4	07-24 20:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	1	$110	129	0	+129	Yes	+$19	09-20 14:40
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	1	$100	116	0	+116	Yes	+$16	06-23 15:38
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	1	$100	129	0	+129	France	+$29	07-09 19:23
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$100	135	0	+135	No	-$100	05-26 19:10
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	1	$80	136	0	+136	Yes	+$56	06-17 19:37
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina	1	$60	105	0	+105	Elena Rybakina	-$60	09-12 18:49
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$50	333	0	+333	open	—	08-27 19:51
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	1	$50	83	0	+83	Yes	+$33	07-04 19:07
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$50	88	0	+88	Yes	+$38	05-30 12:05
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	1	$50	109	0	+109	Argentina	+$59	07-15 16:51
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	299	0	+299	No	-$50	05-28 07:13
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$50	294	0	+294	open	—	08-27 19:51
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	1	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	08-21 20:01
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 spread home 2pt5	1	$50	98	0	+98	Netherlands	+$48	06-20 17:17
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	2	$43	51	51	+0	No	-$37	06-28 20:52
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-10-24?	2	$40	75	0	+75	Yes	+$35	10-24 14:11
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-19?	1	$40	62	0	+62	Yes	+$22	09-19 15:53
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	1	$40	65	0	+65	Argentina	+$25	07-07 16:56
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	1	$40	73	0	+73	Yes	+$33	07-04 15:42
Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$40	61	0	+61	Yes	+$21	09-05 13:24
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?	1	$40	51	0	+51	Yes	+$11	09-19 14:03
Spain leading at halftime?	1	$40	45	0	+45	No	-$40	07-10 19:31
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$40	60	0	+60	Yes	+$20	06-14 09:51
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?	1	$40	46	0	+46	Yes	+$6	09-08 19:28
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	2	$40	63	0	+63	France	+$23	07-09 21:32
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 2pt5	3	$40	60	20	+40	Under	+$20	07-14 16:40
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 3pt5	2	$39	24	24	+0	France	-$1	07-18 21:38
Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5	1	$30	43	0	+43	Over	+$13	09-18 20:19
Will England win on 2026-09-26?	1	$30	52	0	+52	No	-$30	09-26 19:29
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08?	2	$30	52	0	+52	Yes	+$22	09-08 16:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 14:37:21	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x094a3a…
10-31 13:04:18	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xc0e523…
10-31 13:03:06	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x6354f6…
10-28 11:39:07	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x0bafd6…
10-28 11:38:58	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0xfb256a…
10-27 13:30:53	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x27f925…
10-26 18:50:44	Spread: Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC (-2.5)	Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xe1cf46…
10-26 18:50:27	Maccabi Haifa FC vs. Hapoel Be`er Sheva FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x43c3b9…
10-25 21:47:57	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x94139c…
10-25 21:18:38	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xb5ac3f…
10-25 20:04:29	Raphinha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc487de…
10-25 20:03:33	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd64d48…
10-25 15:59:33	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xc81059…
10-25 11:33:26	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x7da4a5…
10-25 10:17:59	Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xe65d6b…
10-24 17:30:20	SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x560f0b…
10-24 15:46:30	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf632ab…
10-24 15:46:03	Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xe72f92…
10-24 15:36:15	Spread: Maccabi Tel Aviv FC (-1.5)	Maccabi Tel Aviv FC	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x85fba7…
10-24 15:13:30	Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xc74e10…
10-24 14:11:29	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xd7d096…
10-24 14:03:21	Will West Ham United FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc9289f…
10-24 14:03:02	Will Southampton FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd9fae9…
10-24 13:32:45	Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x432856…
10-24 07:54:26	Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xac8d5d…
10-23 20:28:26	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xfbfb99…
10-23 20:26:24	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x03197b…
10-23 20:26:06	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8bc483…
10-23 20:25:57	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x89aaf6…
10-23 20:25:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xfa7fba…
10-23 20:25:24	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xc28104…
10-15 20:07:23	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd274cc…
10-15 18:46:43	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-15?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x2f68b2…
10-14 18:16:34	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x42f946…
10-14 16:39:36	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x724496…
10-14 16:39:24	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x0e1dfd…
10-14 16:39:03	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x3a9754…
10-13 21:31:40	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x9aecdc…
10-13 15:59:40	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xfc68dd…
10-11 14:21:40	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x9ae283…
10-11 11:24:14	Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xe8ae1a…
10-10 16:28:42	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe4cd58…
10-10 13:53:30	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4dd0f9…
10-10 11:58:43	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x81b5c4…
10-10 11:58:22	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xa4775e…
10-05 19:31:58	Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x697b12…
10-05 18:18:26	Will Poland win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x685e34…
10-05 18:13:47	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x24db33…
10-04 18:13:17	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x2f1c6d…
10-04 18:12:41	Will Germany win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x17cf22…
10-04 07:36:41	Will Austria win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x985890…
10-03 17:36:08	Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xda49e6…
10-03 14:59:17	Will England win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xdfcae5…
10-03 10:41:12	Will Crystal Palace win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x52f474…
10-02 17:41:27	Will Hungary win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x4a2484…
10-02 17:41:18	Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0d3003…
10-02 17:41:06	Will Sweden win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9d22e6…
10-02 17:40:56	Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x5c30f5…
10-01 20:21:53	Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0xc6e531…
10-01 19:03:11	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x961212…
10-01 18:49:21	Will Albania win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x4e3bc7…
10-01 18:18:18	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xbb01f4…
10-01 18:16:51	Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x3163d2…
09-29 19:10:53	Will England win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x118a2d…
09-29 15:48:03	Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x9ef00d…
09-28 17:33:51	Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x12eb14…
09-27 19:39:38	Norway vs. Portugal: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x642f0d…
09-27 18:23:14	Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Germany	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xe1684d…
09-27 18:17:23	Will Israel win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3edc1c…
09-27 15:11:47	Will Austria win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x4783bc…
09-27 15:11:38	Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x426cb3…
09-26 20:17:36	Will England vs. Spain end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x809bb7…
09-26 19:29:17	Will England win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x42179d…
09-26 08:31:54	Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xc521da…
09-25 17:32:24	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xa4518c…
09-24 18:48:05	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x36df50…
09-20 16:36:13	Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x260c85…
09-20 16:35:37	Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x2ec357…
09-20 15:22:03	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x45c1f8…
09-20 15:21:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xee5b97…
09-20 14:40:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	129	85¢	$110	0x959c2b…
09-20 14:19:55	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x7942be…
09-20 14:16:13	Leeds United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xda26a5…
09-20 14:15:43	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xbfff19…
09-20 12:11:34	Dominic Calvert-Lewin: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x34a2b0…
09-20 12:11:12	Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xfb4710…
09-19 16:10:47	Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xc178d8…
09-19 15:54:14	Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdd8207…
09-19 15:53:59	Will Maccabi Tel Aviv FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xb8cf9b…
09-19 14:03:27	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	51	79¢	$40	0xe54d5b…
09-19 12:57:44	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xb6af7c…
09-19 10:59:20	Dominic Solanke: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3b9b9d…
09-19 10:34:28	Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x146646…
09-19 10:18:13	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf24109…
09-18 20:19:00	Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	43	69¢	$30	0x7eb7c6…
09-18 18:00:01	Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x5f2d6c…
09-17 18:28:27	OFI vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x5f77e7…
09-16 20:22:43	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x6c4ead…
09-16 19:07:36	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x5984bc…
09-16 19:01:45	Lamine Yamal: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x7822a3…