Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$963

Unrealized P&L

+$2.08K

Hit rate

35.1%

Resolved

Trades

161

lifetime

Volume

$13.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

$2.00K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-12 00:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Tech

60% 25% -$405

Other

33% 29% -$371

Politics

6% 0% -$71

Sports

1% 0% -$116

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+1,904	-$215	95¢	$1.8K	+$2,028	09-30 20:45
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	+1,156	$127	16¢	$179	+$52	07-28 18:46
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+2,386	$10	0¢	$8	-$1	10-12 00:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	14	$4.7K	6,453	0	+6,453	Yes	-$71	03-05 18:01
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	8	$3.6K	4,692	2,788	+1,904	open	—	09-30 20:45
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1.5K	1,600	0	+1,600	Yes	+$96	04-27 15:50
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	64	$1.5K	3,336	2,036	+1,301	No	+$18	03-07 07:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$904	2,080	0	+2,080	No	-$71	04-16 15:37
Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?	7	$387	430	0	+430	No	+$43	03-13 13:13
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$359	825	0	+825	Yes	-$359	03-11 20:18
gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	2	$172	200	0	+200	Yes	+$28	03-03 18:08
nhl van chi 2026 03 06	2	$146	328	0	+328	Canucks	-$116	03-07 04:02
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	1	$127	1,156	0	+1,156	open	—	07-28 18:46
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	9	$100	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$100	02-24 22:42
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	2	$80	500	0	+500	No	-$80	04-27 14:17
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$69	117	0	+117	Yes	-$69	03-01 16:49
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	1	$51	300	0	+300	Yes	-$51	03-11 03:23
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	1	$40	200	0	+200	Yes	-$40	03-03 17:19
gpt 5pt5 released by april 17 2026	2	$31	755	0	+755	No	-$31	04-16 16:03
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	1	$30	895	0	+895	No	-$30	04-21 18:54
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	1	$30	472	0	+472	No	-$30	04-23 13:27
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	2	$26	112	0	+112	No	-$26	02-28 21:01
will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$21	58	0	+58	Yes	-$21	03-01 16:48
will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	14	$15	1,132	0	+1,132	No	-$15	03-13 12:20
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	3	$14	65	0	+65	Yes	-$14	03-08 18:48
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	5	$14	564	0	+564	No	-$14	03-04 14:16
will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	1	$12	200	0	+200	No	-$12	08-06 18:07
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	2	$12	302	290	+12	No	+$2	04-16 17:14
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	9	$10	2,386	0	+2,386	open	—	10-12 00:31
will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	03-13 20:51
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	03-13 20:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 00:31:08	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	724	0¢	$3	0xa53c81…
10-10 09:53:33	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x93c10c…
10-10 09:32:45	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xd31559…
10-07 13:09:02	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x38f05f…
10-07 11:26:16	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	0¢	$0	0xc19bb3…
10-07 11:11:09	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	0¢	$0	0x5a3917…
10-07 11:06:30	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	0¢	$0	0x44c1bb…
10-07 07:48:11	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$3	0x31f971…
10-06 17:02:05	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x9a598c…
09-30 20:45:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	635	72¢	$457	0xc495b0…
09-30 20:32:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	69¢	$139	0xbcf091…
09-30 20:32:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	645	69¢	$446	0x79d818…
09-30 20:26:54	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xda3cb9…
09-30 20:25:02	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	68¢	$342	0xffdd6f…
09-30 20:23:59	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	64¢	$191	0x976198…
09-30 20:22:24	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	67¢	$334	0xfdded7…
09-30 20:09:32	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,692	36¢	$1,700	0xc1052d…
08-06 18:07:42	will gpt 6 be released by august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xa864ff…
07-28 18:46:31	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	Yes	BUY	1,156	11¢	$127	0x754726…
04-27 15:50:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,600	94¢	$1,504	0xa4a61c…
04-27 14:17:32	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x42f718…
04-27 14:16:40	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	475	16¢	$76	0xc52e60…
04-23 13:27:36	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1520?	Yes	BUY	472	6¢	$30	0x38e259…
04-21 18:54:30	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	895	3¢	$30	0xab14f9…
04-16 17:14:10	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	290	2¢	$7	0x1227ec…
04-16 16:03:24	gpt 5pt5 released by april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	667	4¢	$30	0x31e106…
04-16 15:49:40	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	302	2¢	$5	0x91c96c…
04-16 15:37:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	833	84¢	$700	0x81dc70…
04-16 14:43:52	gpt 5pt5 released by april 17 2026	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x440dda…
04-15 17:43:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x6265dc…
04-15 17:42:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1,222	16¢	$200	0x823cde…
03-13 20:52:25	will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x5fd722…
03-13 20:51:37	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc76a57…
03-13 13:13:27	Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xa046bf…
03-13 13:12:41	Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0xfdc3d3…
03-13 13:11:31	Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?	No	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xc56ff3…
03-13 13:11:25	Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?	No	BUY	60	90¢	$54	0x878f44…
03-13 13:11:15	Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x57a974…
03-13 13:04:09	Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xbe3171…
03-13 13:03:57	Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x52f027…
03-13 12:20:03	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4bdd45…
03-11 20:18:41	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	125	43¢	$54	0xef69c8…
03-11 20:08:29	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	700	44¢	$305	0x629735…
03-11 12:15:49	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x8f0b6c…
03-11 10:26:11	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x0a7a72…
03-11 08:53:45	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7069bc…
03-11 08:53:43	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0xbb84cd…
03-11 04:26:19	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xa18e2c…
03-11 03:23:13	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	158	1¢	$2	0x8f2354…
03-11 03:23:07	will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0xe5b3af…
03-11 03:23:07	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0xd8aec6…
03-11 03:23:07	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	290	1¢	$4	0xd1c21f…
03-11 03:23:07	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd07296…
03-11 03:23:07	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	489	1¢	$6	0xa88467…
03-11 03:23:07	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6dcf09…
03-11 03:23:07	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x53d35f…
03-11 03:23:07	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$1	0x3e2bc3…
03-08 18:48:07	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	30	22¢	$7	0xb5d34c…
03-08 18:47:15	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	33	22¢	$7	0x21f5ab…
03-07 07:26:27	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x15d224…
03-07 07:25:39	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	545	95¢	$517	0x79c3bc…
03-07 07:24:39	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	289	94¢	$273	0xaff784…
03-07 07:23:01	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0xe23641…
03-07 07:22:39	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	179	6¢	$10	0x6caa8c…
03-07 07:21:43	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	184	6¢	$11	0x9fac4f…
03-07 07:20:55	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	47	6¢	$3	0x736499…
03-07 07:17:37	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x359bd9…
03-07 07:15:39	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	166	7¢	$11	0xe55047…
03-07 07:13:33	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	160	7¢	$11	0x355979…
03-07 07:13:21	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	55	7¢	$4	0xc289f7…
03-07 07:00:37	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	295	6¢	$18	0xec0e1b…
03-07 06:56:07	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	237	5¢	$12	0x6c1940…
03-07 06:54:21	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	156	5¢	$8	0x6c16fa…
03-07 04:02:29	nhl van chi 2026 03 06	Canucks	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0x71cf05…
03-07 02:19:15	nhl van chi 2026 03 06	Blackhawks	BUY	298	42¢	$126	0x68941d…
03-05 18:47:21	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	243	8¢	$20	0x935e9b…
03-05 18:46:39	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	Yes	SELL	282	8¢	$23	0xca2388…
03-05 18:01:55	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x04e9f9…
03-05 18:01:29	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	Yes	BUY	398	97¢	$386	0x3af673…
03-05 18:00:43	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	Yes	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,942	0x9efea9…
03-05 18:00:25	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	Yes	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,899	0xe3dc9c…
03-05 17:58:57	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	No	BUY	500	10¢	$48	0xdcf3b0…
03-05 17:12:21	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	No	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x630508…
03-05 17:12:09	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	No	BUY	283	12¢	$34	0xb4cc76…
03-05 17:11:29	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xa76ad2…
03-05 17:10:49	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	No	BUY	77	16¢	$12	0xf074b9…
03-05 17:10:45	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	No	BUY	95	16¢	$15	0x62649e…
03-05 17:10:09	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	No	BUY	27	16¢	$4	0x4d03f2…
03-05 17:09:11	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	No	BUY	400	17¢	$68	0xe39f97…
03-05 16:59:23	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0xf7a768…
03-05 16:58:45	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	No	BUY	155	15¢	$23	0xd08d74…
03-04 14:16:41	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x9904d4…
03-04 14:14:39	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	139	2¢	$3	0x2df834…
03-04 14:13:33	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	136	2¢	$3	0x9d9169…
03-03 22:14:03	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x3380b8…
03-03 19:08:45	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xbb6829…
03-03 18:08:35	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$25	0x9f2fa4…
03-03 18:07:53	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	BUY	170	86¢	$147	0x4f890d…
03-03 17:19:57	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x3fe552…
03-03 16:19:47	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	200	86¢	$171	0xed3e19…