Major-Coincidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

134

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$290

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 10-24 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Other

63% 65% -$12

Crypto

36% 84% +$1

Sports

1% 50% $0

Politics

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 8	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	04-08 14:59
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 25c	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	03-27 09:41
highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 14c	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	$0	03-24 08:27
highest temperature in munich on march 27 2026 6c	2	$7	10	0	+10	No	-$7	03-27 09:38
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 78 79f	6	$6	11	11	+0	No	-$1	03-27 14:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 19	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-19 14:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 30	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-30 14:32
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 23	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-23 15:13
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-02 19:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-26 13:01
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 26	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-26 13:01
tur eyu tra 2026 03 18 spread home 2pt5	1	$5	5	0	+5	Trabzonspor	+$0	03-18 16:12
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-31 06:30
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 23	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-23 15:11
wti up or down on april 20 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	04-20 20:28
highest temperature in moscow on april 4 2026 14corhigher	1	$4	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	04-04 11:01
uel mid1 not 2026 03 19 spread home 2pt5	2	$4	2	2	+0	Nottingham Forest FC	+$0	03-19 20:08
ethereum above 2045 on march 30 2026 1pm et	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	03-30 16:32
col rak fio 2026 03 19 spread away 2pt5	2	$4	4	0	+4	RKS Raków Częstochowa	+$0	03-19 17:20
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 16	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-16 14:50
highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 12c	3	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	03-30 07:56
lal vil rso 2026 03 20 spread away 2pt5	1	$3	3	0	+3	Villarreal CF	+$0	03-20 20:14
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on march 17	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	03-17 14:30
epl bri liv 2026 03 21 spread home 2pt5	2	$3	3	0	+3	Liverpool FC	+$0	03-21 12:38
highest temperature in milan on march 30 2026 19c	3	$3	8	3	+5	Yes	+$4	03-30 04:23
highest temperature in chicago on march 23 2026 42 43f	2	$3	5	5	+0	No	-$1	03-23 19:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	03-31 06:24
highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 19c	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	03-27 09:24
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 8	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	-$2	04-07 20:58
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 25?	2	$2	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-25 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:55:12	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd1c4e3…
05-25 08:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf51c01…
05-25 08:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1e8215…
05-25 08:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 25?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x589723…
05-25 08:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x87e111…
05-25 08:04:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x85cd7a…
05-08 04:26:59	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa0e5de…
05-02 19:57:18	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66479b…
04-20 20:28:42	wti up or down on april 20 2026	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb15070…
04-08 14:59:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 8	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2db56d…
04-08 13:22:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 8	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x028ecb…
04-08 04:11:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 8	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x43f09b…
04-07 20:58:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe96563…
04-07 20:53:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xb6c2e6…
04-07 20:53:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on april 8	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6fbb0d…
04-04 11:01:19	highest temperature in moscow on april 4 2026 14corhigher	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0533a0…
03-31 06:30:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd80aa1…
03-31 06:27:01	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 31	Yes	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x10d537…
03-31 06:24:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf8ebd8…
03-31 06:24:09	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xd3032a…
03-31 06:23:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x11e667…
03-30 16:32:51	ethereum above 2045 on march 30 2026 1pm et	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x46f894…
03-30 14:32:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xec8097…
03-30 07:56:48	highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9aee2f…
03-30 07:56:40	highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	0	46¢	$0	0x9a606a…
03-30 07:52:48	highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xb0d331…
03-30 07:50:30	highest temperature in paris on march 30 2026 13c	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x01ab37…
03-30 04:23:04	highest temperature in milan on march 30 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x7b4641…
03-30 04:22:54	highest temperature in milan on march 30 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x5438bf…
03-30 04:20:46	highest temperature in milan on march 30 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	3	27¢	$1	0x62bc29…
03-30 04:20:44	highest temperature in milan on march 30 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdb76f8…
03-30 04:20:44	highest temperature in milan on march 30 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x7dfcc9…
03-30 04:20:44	highest temperature in milan on march 30 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x730b01…
03-30 04:20:44	highest temperature in milan on march 30 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x500dd1…
03-29 10:58:50	highest temperature in munich on march 29 2026 6c	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x05dec3…
03-29 10:58:42	highest temperature in munich on march 29 2026 5c	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd8245d…
03-28 06:01:17	highest temperature in milan on march 29 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9f3f65…
03-28 06:00:33	highest temperature in toronto on march 28 2026 0c	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x650e61…
03-28 06:00:23	highest temperature in toronto on march 28 2026 2c	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x7d6ef0…
03-28 06:00:19	highest temperature in toronto on march 28 2026 1c	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x34f03f…
03-28 05:50:55	highest temperature in milan on march 29 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x7fba20…
03-28 05:50:37	highest temperature in milan on march 29 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xcafbf0…
03-27 16:44:53	highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 76 77f	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1d3f13…
03-27 15:29:31	highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x88024e…
03-27 14:36:49	highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 78 79f	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf6d658…
03-27 14:36:05	highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 80 81f	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x90adcc…
03-27 09:41:43	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x80cc5a…
03-27 09:41:29	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 27c	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x27b34a…
03-27 09:38:35	highest temperature in munich on march 27 2026 6c	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x5fc5eb…
03-27 09:38:17	highest temperature in munich on march 27 2026 6c	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x59a092…
03-27 09:24:25	highest temperature in madrid on march 27 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2cc3ff…
03-27 09:21:11	highest temperature in atlanta on march 27 2026 86 87f	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xbd8f5a…
03-27 09:20:11	highest temperature in atlanta on march 27 2026 82 83f	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xd92e31…
03-27 09:18:41	highest temperature in atlanta on march 27 2026 84 85f	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1e6572…
03-27 08:35:25	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 29c	Yes	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x3fdaf2…
03-27 08:35:19	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 28c	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xd12989…
03-26 15:51:49	highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x8b6b20…
03-26 15:51:39	highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 78 79f	Yes	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xda8b41…
03-26 13:20:09	highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa1135b…
03-26 13:19:59	highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 78 79f	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x4db9be…
03-26 13:17:51	highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 76 77f	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x2a6ca0…
03-26 13:17:09	highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x901906…
03-26 13:16:43	highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xd3d35c…
03-26 13:07:43	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xce639d…
03-26 13:07:35	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xa58b39…
03-26 13:07:25	highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xc5fb3f…
03-26 13:01:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 26	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfefae7…
03-26 13:01:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 26	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x89c5ab…
03-25 09:41:05	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xffdb75…
03-25 09:40:55	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x650511…
03-25 09:40:47	highest temperature in madrid on march 26 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdc0134…
03-24 08:27:53	highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 15c	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x2eb78c…
03-24 08:27:49	highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 14c	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xe69467…
03-24 08:27:27	highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x35b142…
03-24 08:26:37	highest temperature in london on march 24 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xfedea8…
03-24 06:43:43	highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 20c	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xbf57f7…
03-24 06:43:05	highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb3ec91…
03-24 06:42:59	highest temperature in wellington on march 25 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1120e2…
03-23 19:53:35	highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 76 77f	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xa4b62e…
03-23 19:53:01	highest temperature in chicago on march 23 2026 42 43f	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x7fd99f…
03-23 17:00:27	highest temperature in chicago on march 23 2026 44 45f	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x7f27e8…
03-23 15:13:37	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on march 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x515d44…
03-23 15:11:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc0ed3…
03-23 11:50:49	highest temperature in chicago on march 23 2026 44 45f	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x457df9…
03-23 11:49:57	highest temperature in chicago on march 23 2026 42 43f	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5b8664…
03-23 11:49:13	highest temperature in chicago on march 23 2026 40 41f	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf7c2e9…
03-23 05:42:17	highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 76 77f	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x71d633…
03-23 05:41:45	highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 78 79f	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x9a40ec…
03-23 05:40:29	highest temperature in dallas on march 23 2026 80 81f	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xa511f9…
03-22 16:10:39	fl1 pfc hac 2026 03 22 spread away 2pt5	Paris FC	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xd2483b…
03-22 16:04:39	fl1 olm lil 2026 03 22 spread away 2pt5	Olympique de Marseille	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x14ce7f…
03-22 16:02:29	nor ffk kfu 2026 03 22 spread away 2pt5	Fredrikstad FK	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe013ab…
03-22 11:42:13	highest temperature in nyc on march 22 2026 54 55f	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb1f5a9…
03-22 11:40:51	epl new sun 2026 03 22 spread away 1pt5	Newcastle United FC	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1348a7…
03-22 11:38:07	highest temperature in dallas on march 22 2026 96 97f	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8a2373…
03-22 11:37:53	highest temperature in dallas on march 22 2026 88 89f	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc9fa26…
03-22 11:37:13	sea com pis 2026 03 22 spread away 1pt5	Como 1907	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x35f061…
03-22 11:36:29	bl2 dus ber 2026 03 22 spread away 2pt5	TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2a6fac…
03-22 11:34:17	scop dun cel 2026 03 22 spread home 1pt5	Celtic FC	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xd4509d…
03-21 15:41:51	fl1 tou lor 2026 03 21 spread away 2pt5	Toulouse FC	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdba447…