Hospitable-Armpit — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$742

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

1,337

Trades

1,432

lifetime

Volume

$5.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 10-27 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

78% 35% -$365

Politics

20% 58% -$376

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 24 2026	3	$320	258	129	+129	Yes	+$39	03-30 11:17
will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 26 2026	3	$303	964	0	+964	No	-$303	04-02 00:22
will iran strike uae again in march	2	$140	90	90	+0	Yes	+$40	04-07 11:36
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 29 2026	2	$134	197	130	+67	No	-$66	04-02 00:22
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	2	$99	51	51	+0	Yes	-$1	04-26 17:52
highest temperature in los angeles on april 9 2026 70 71f	5	$57	92	22	+69	Yes	-$35	04-09 17:59
will iran strike oman again in march	1	$50	67	0	+67	No	-$50	04-04 20:31
will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 30 2026	1	$40	51	0	+51	Yes	+$11	03-31 15:24
highest temperature in ankara on april 7 2026 17c	2	$32	22	22	+1	Yes	+$12	04-07 19:15
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 7 2026 16c	2	$27	17	17	+0	Yes	+$7	04-07 19:11
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	1	$26	55	0	+55	open	—	10-27 12:50
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 23corhigher	8	$25	32	6	+26	No	+$9	04-23 04:30
highest temperature in los angeles on april 7 2026 68 69f	1	$25	48	0	+48	Yes	-$25	04-07 19:20
highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 25c	2	$24	14	14	+0	Yes	+$4	04-07 11:00
highest temperature in wuhan on april 7 2026 26c	2	$23	13	13	+0	No	+$3	04-07 10:59
highest temperature in chicago on april 7 2026 36 37f	2	$22	12	12	+0	No	+$2	04-07 21:50
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 6?	2	$22	50	50	+0	No	+$10	07-06 12:54
highest temperature in chengdu on april 7 2026 22c	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	04-07 19:15
highest temperature in ankara on april 8 2026 9c	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	04-08 19:02
highest temperature in munich on april 8 2026 16c	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	04-08 19:02
highest temperature in ankara on april 8 2026 10c	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-08 19:03
highest temperature in busan on april 7 2026 16c	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	04-07 11:33
highest temperature in ankara on april 7 2026 18c	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-07 19:12
highest temperature in jakarta on april 7 2026 32c	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	04-07 12:40
highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 11c	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	04-07 11:00
highest temperature in busan on april 7 2026 17c	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-07 14:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 7 2026 12c	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-07 11:00
highest temperature in dallas on april 7 2026 70 71f	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-07 21:51
highest temperature in jakarta on april 7 2026 33c	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-07 12:40
highest temperature in atlanta on april 7 2026 74 75f	2	$20	11	10	+0	No	+$1	04-07 21:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:50:05	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	55	46¢	$26	0xfe0265…
09-21 08:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 21?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xefbc9b…
09-21 08:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 21?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xbf3d5e…
09-21 08:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 21?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x53e5ed…
09-21 06:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 21?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x8e912f…
09-21 06:12:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 21?	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x62ed56…
09-21 05:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 21?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xbe991a…
09-21 05:12:40	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 21?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xa784ad…
09-20 23:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd4383f…
09-20 23:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 21?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x47bbd8…
09-20 12:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 20?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xd6144b…
09-20 12:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 20?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0aed93…
09-19 16:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x086bd6…
09-19 16:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on September 19?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf8e61d…
09-19 16:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 19?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xcacc0c…
09-19 16:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 19?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa1c1be…
09-19 16:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 19?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x073975…
09-19 16:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 19?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf405bf…
09-19 16:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 19?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x72cbf0…
09-19 16:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 19?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x621504…
09-19 16:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 19?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x3bb60c…
09-19 08:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 19?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xfaeb21…
09-19 08:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on September 19?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xfa3769…
09-19 05:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 19?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x96daef…
09-19 05:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 19?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x928a1f…
09-18 23:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 19?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xb2c443…
09-18 05:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 18?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xc15549…
09-16 12:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xd3472c…
09-16 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8d4cf9…
09-15 16:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 15?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x79f898…
09-12 04:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on September 12?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xe780a8…
09-12 04:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on September 12?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x6d4042…
09-12 04:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on September 12?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x548329…
09-11 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xa415fd…
09-11 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x32c26b…
09-11 12:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xab5821…
09-11 12:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on September 12?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$5	0x5a26e1…
09-10 12:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7bf101…
09-10 12:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xdc6e34…
09-10 12:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x746a47…
09-09 12:01:07	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3173b1…
09-09 12:01:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x9a5441…
09-09 12:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x19a39b…
09-09 12:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xfc31c3…
09-09 12:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x676d9a…
09-09 12:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x7beac4…
09-09 11:12:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 9?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xee7f5b…
09-09 11:12:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 94-95°F on September 9?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x483ebc…
09-09 11:12:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on September 9?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x02680d…
09-08 12:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4c9974…
09-08 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 9?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xa99163…
09-08 12:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or higher on September 9?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x67b9c9…
09-08 12:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc52d5e…
09-08 12:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or higher on September 9?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x921ee8…
09-08 12:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x29ceb1…
09-08 12:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xcfe85b…
09-08 12:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	15	16¢	$2	0x9ed0f0…
09-07 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x6306d6…
09-07 12:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 8?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd06cb1…
09-06 12:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 7?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xdce728…
09-06 12:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x63d792…
09-06 12:00:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x6c7d5d…
09-06 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0xf76c4c…
09-06 12:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x840477…
09-06 12:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xc6a99d…
09-06 12:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 7?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xa07493…
09-06 12:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x013cf9…
09-06 12:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x632b5b…
09-06 12:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x2c3061…
09-06 06:12:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 6?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3e04b7…
09-05 21:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on September 6?	Yes	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x8f9772…
09-05 21:00:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xd1042a…
09-05 21:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x0148c0…
09-05 21:00:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 6?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x0fdd7c…
09-05 21:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x8fbcb2…
09-05 21:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x981dec…
09-05 21:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0xfb379e…
09-05 21:00:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd695db…
09-05 21:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf57ab9…
09-05 21:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xb2882a…
08-02 07:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x2cf029…
08-01 21:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x8fc2d9…
08-01 21:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x1465c3…
08-01 13:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x886903…
08-01 13:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x907f59…
08-01 12:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on August 2?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xff2354…
08-01 12:00:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2eef7a…
08-01 12:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x73519e…
08-01 12:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x4980b5…
08-01 12:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xfe55b3…
08-01 12:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xd4585c…
07-31 23:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 1?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xdc37ac…
07-31 22:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C or higher on August 1?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xbd951e…
07-31 22:36:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2c4974…
07-31 22:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x91721a…
07-31 16:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C on August 1?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xafe0fd…
07-31 14:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x7540ba…
07-31 13:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6ef308…
07-31 13:48:53	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xaf5e6d…
07-31 12:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 102-103°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xaa1862…