Informal-Prostrate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

118

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$3.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 05:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$26

Other

35% 94% +$6

Crypto

12% 100% +$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$360	196	196	+0	open	—	10-28 05:44
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	3	$305	166	166	+0	No	+$8	10-21 12:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$301	183	183	+0	No	+$1	10-18 01:37
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	3	$279	186	94	+92	No	+$1	09-07 23:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$254	174	174	+0	open	—	10-25 21:33
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$188	94	94	+0	Yes	+$1	09-10 19:58
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$179	190	0	+190	Yes	+$11	10-25 23:33
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	2	$178	89	89	+0	No	+$0	08-31 12:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$176	89	89	+0	No	+$0	08-31 20:00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$94	94	0	+94	Yes	+$0	09-04 04:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?	1	$91	92	0	+92	No	+$1	08-13 21:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	1	$90	91	0	+91	No	+$1	08-12 09:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	08-10 21:39
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$90	90	0	+90	Yes	+$0	08-20 11:24
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$89	90	0	+90	Yes	+$1	08-17 09:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$89	89	0	+89	No	+$1	08-15 08:15
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$88	90	0	+90	No	+$2	08-09 14:18
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$88	88	0	+88	Yes	+$1	08-05 11:58
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	1	$87	87	0	+87	No	+$0	09-21 19:28
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	1	$75	78	0	+78	No	+$2	09-27 01:46
Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	05-13 03:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$48	49	0	+49	No	+$0	07-30 19:19
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	04-29 14:42
will elon musks net worth be between 690b and 700b on march 31	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-31 07:33
will meta reach 660 in june 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-28 14:31
will xrp reach 3pt2 in february 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	02-25 08:28
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	2	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-28 19:08
will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	07-31 22:46
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$18	9	9	+0	No	+$0	10-05 05:01
will solana dip to 40 in january 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	01-24 00:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 05:44:46	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	196	94¢	$183	0xde1105…
10-27 21:55:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	196	90¢	$177	0xcffda4…
10-26 01:12:36	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x758418…
10-25 23:33:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	190	94¢	$179	0x752b76…
10-25 22:08:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	SELL	349	0¢	$1	0x708ba8…
10-25 21:33:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	174	74¢	$129	0xd18382…
10-24 00:27:06	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x674b52…
10-24 00:20:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xe4a410…
10-24 00:20:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$0	0x5f43e0…
10-24 00:20:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x358146…
10-24 00:20:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x284f07…
10-24 00:20:41	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	94	0¢	$0	0x21b792…
10-24 00:15:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x001ef3…
10-22 11:11:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	174	72¢	$125	0xa23af1…
10-21 12:04:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	101	94¢	$95	0x45cd2e…
10-21 12:04:47	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	65	94¢	$62	0x2fecc8…
10-19 17:05:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	166	89¢	$149	0x0a1ead…
10-18 01:37:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	93	81¢	$76	0xd362f0…
10-15 10:14:56	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	93	81¢	$76	0x887af5…
10-09 04:26:43	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xbad0f2…
10-05 14:47:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	89	85¢	$76	0xc11799…
10-05 05:01:40	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x1a04eb…
10-05 03:16:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	89	84¢	$75	0x2a5f44…
10-01 04:40:02	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x365e60…
09-27 01:46:17	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	No	BUY	78	97¢	$75	0x64d194…
09-26 04:30:14	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9f4815…
09-21 19:28:52	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0xcfbbe4…
09-12 00:28:31	Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe38ef5…
09-10 19:58:22	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x91712c…
09-10 14:08:57	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0xe9140b…
09-07 23:26:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xe9105a…
09-07 12:18:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0xd0ab3c…
09-06 05:42:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x6ba252…
09-04 04:59:51	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xc0391d…
09-04 04:57:16	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x440db5…
09-04 04:54:30	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6026b2…
08-31 20:00:51	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	89	99¢	$88	0xbf6ef0…
08-31 19:03:00	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x23022d…
08-31 12:06:00	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0xf4601c…
08-27 20:59:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xf9bb51…
08-23 20:35:39	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$0	0x9f610d…
08-23 18:44:04	Will Meituan be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x332753…
08-23 07:58:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x475cf4…
08-22 18:40:19	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x8bc8ee…
08-20 11:24:36	Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x832663…
08-17 11:00:28	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xfbc155…
08-17 09:47:13	Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	Yes	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xd8e759…
08-15 08:15:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	89	99¢	$89	0xdd9db1…
08-15 08:04:49	will ethereum reach 2700 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x205264…
08-13 22:51:48	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x08a79a…
08-13 22:48:42	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x405d18…
08-13 21:36:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xfd01bd…
08-13 15:44:25	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xfbe08d…
08-12 09:22:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xb22d6d…
08-10 21:39:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x05ce0f…
08-09 14:18:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xbe2be2…
08-05 11:58:26	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	88	99¢	$88	0x2e6dd8…
07-31 22:46:32	will ethereum dip to 1600 in july 2026 from july 6	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf75aa6…
07-30 19:19:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0x5cf91b…
07-30 18:32:59	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbf5e77…
07-29 00:13:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb0d829…
07-28 05:36:40	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3267f0…
07-27 01:56:49	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf59132…
07-26 18:37:54	will wti reach 110 in july 2026 829	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x15ec08…
07-26 17:15:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb69132…
07-26 15:43:25	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd2f819…
07-25 21:33:21	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x129f7a…
07-25 05:41:55	will ethereum dip to 1200 in july 2026 853	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x881da3…
07-24 09:05:00	will spy reach 770 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xaf066e…
07-22 15:07:22	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x710397…
07-22 02:52:12	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2e7cc…
07-20 13:19:13	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xba26ae…
07-17 09:15:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a5884…
07-12 20:29:52	will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026 717	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x65b95c…
06-30 04:38:59	will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc0108e…
06-29 10:02:28	will ng dip to 2 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x83d58c…
06-28 19:08:19	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc80a11…
06-28 14:31:07	will meta reach 660 in june 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa8c2c4…
06-28 10:24:19	will coin reach 195 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0c7cc7…
06-27 11:30:34	will googl reach 390 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$7	0xfa0268…
06-27 01:48:38	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x04b21d…
05-24 14:10:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6d1b37…
05-22 09:49:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0ae66e…
05-13 03:53:53	Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x86b8ab…
05-09 23:55:17	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x943cbe…
05-09 19:44:43	Will Solana reach $140 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc3b171…
05-09 17:49:11	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x34c9d2…
05-09 09:29:00	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4eb476…
05-08 19:57:25	Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91c6dc…
05-08 12:30:09	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x03a6f3…
05-08 01:41:15	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5fe6c0…
05-07 22:03:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3baf68…
05-05 17:18:48	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb732f6…
04-29 14:42:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x42836d…
04-27 04:06:58	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xefc9e6…
04-25 12:03:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd6ae4b…
04-24 03:24:42	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $140 end of April?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xdbf3d0…
04-22 04:41:22	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3e00ec…
04-21 11:51:10	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x03be41…
04-20 00:51:26	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd483eb…