Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$50

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$43

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-11 04:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% — —

Other

27% 0% $-36

Sports

21% 0% $-14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes		-261	$-32	16¢	$-43	$-11	06-10 09:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$212	846	846	+0	open	—	01-20 10:06
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	4	$169	623	523	+100	open	—	02-12 10:19
will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	2	$86	59	59	+0	open	—	01-29 00:19
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	5	$76	206	44	+162	No	$-36	03-26 05:23
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	9	$65	1,036	1,036	+0	open	—	04-06 01:22
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24 go the distance	3	$60	36	36	+0	open	—	01-25 05:41
nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	2	$60	62	32	+30	open	—	06-12 02:47
ufc tai1 tal2 2026 01 31	2	$52	28	28	+0	open	—	02-01 04:23
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$45	28	28	+0	open	—	02-14 08:46
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$37	455	13	+442	open	—	02-12 10:20
Will Trump say "Biden" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	1	$36	57	0	+57	open	—	05-22 14:13
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$35	261	0	+261	open	—	03-03 02:08
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	2	$32	0	261	-261	open	—	06-10 09:34
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$30	24	24	+0	open	—	03-11 04:54
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$23	50	0	+50	open	—	06-09 03:10
will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	3	$22	94	0	+94	open	—	03-16 22:35
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	1	$15	68	0	+68	open	—	03-01 08:42
will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955329	1	$12	36	0	+36	open	—	06-12 02:01
will the announcers say crossbar during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955350	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	06-12 02:48
will the announcers say trump during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955332	2	$9	53	0	+53	open	—	06-12 02:00
UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	2	$8	22	0	+22	open	—	05-10 03:49
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$8	16	0	+16	Sean Strickland	$-8	05-10 04:25
military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	2	$8	766	0	+766	open	—	03-19 00:22
military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	2	$8	466	0	+466	open	—	03-19 00:22
military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	2	$7	698	0	+698	open	—	03-19 00:22
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	2	$7	137	0	+137	open	—	03-06 01:31
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	2	$7	357	357	+0	open	—	01-25 05:21
military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	2	$6	850	0	+850	open	—	03-19 00:21
Will Trump's remarks not air?	1	$6	207	0	+207	open	—	05-22 14:11
military action against iran ends on march 21 2026	3	$6	1,092	0	+1,092	open	—	03-19 00:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 02:48:37	will the announcers say crossbar during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955350	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc5f1b7…
06-12 02:47:55	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	SELL	32	64¢	$20	0x7c2fd9…
06-12 02:01:21	will the announcers say goal 20 times during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955329	Yes	BUY	36	34¢	$12	0x841a1b…
06-12 02:00:49	will the announcers say legend during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955343	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xbc4b48…
06-12 02:00:34	will the announcers say trump during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955332	Yes	BUY	34	18¢	$6	0xdd5647…
06-12 01:56:48	will the announcers say trump during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955332	Yes	BUY	19	15¢	$3	0x9756aa…
06-11 04:56:06	nba nyk sas 2026 06 13	Spurs	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xc712af…
06-10 09:34:01	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x9ba73d…
06-09 03:10:16	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x9e3325…
06-09 03:10:04	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	61	12¢	$7	0x0ef165…
06-09 00:42:40	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	35	47¢	$17	0xb9e7bb…
05-22 14:13:27	Will Trump say "Biden" during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	57	63¢	$36	0xd16930…
05-22 14:11:25	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	207	3¢	$6	0x2e84f1…
05-10 04:25:47	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7359c2…
05-10 04:24:02	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x86a42c…
05-10 03:49:28	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xe90e20…
05-10 03:48:14	UFC: Khamzat Chimaev to Land 1st Minute Takedown?	No	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x7728b2…
05-10 03:09:36	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x728963…
05-10 03:08:59	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x46a034…
04-06 01:22:47	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	800	1¢	$5	0x77035a…
03-26 05:23:25	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0x22b722…
03-19 00:23:43	military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	Yes	BUY	136	1¢	$2	0x0506b9…
03-19 00:23:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x692681…
03-19 00:22:45	military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xe47650…
03-19 00:22:31	military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$2	0x48d37b…
03-19 00:22:07	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	183	1¢	$2	0x2ba958…
03-19 00:21:57	military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	Yes	BUY	217	1¢	$2	0x40eb7b…
03-19 00:21:47	military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	Yes	BUY	229	1¢	$2	0x1cd31e…
03-19 00:21:27	military action against iran ends on march 23 2026	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x5b3cc6…
03-19 00:21:17	military action against iran ends on march 22 2026	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xe0bdbd…
03-19 00:21:05	military action against iran ends on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	205	0¢	$1	0x22135a…
03-19 00:20:49	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	477	0¢	$1	0x63cd59…
03-17 10:26:23	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	207	0¢	$1	0xb34345…
03-17 10:26:13	military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xfe4f32…
03-17 10:25:57	military action against iran ends on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x40b817…
03-17 02:36:39	military action against iran ends on march 17 2026	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x80a809…
03-17 02:36:03	military action against iran ends on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x273e6f…
03-17 02:35:49	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x160a4a…
03-17 02:35:41	military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	Yes	BUY	174	1¢	$1	0xa0c898…
03-17 02:34:11	military action against iran ends on march 29 2026	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$3	0xa70192…
03-17 02:33:47	military action against iran ends on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	382	2¢	$6	0xcc9f55…
03-17 02:33:31	military action against iran ends on march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	616	1¢	$6	0xca7c3f…
03-17 02:33:17	military action against iran ends on march 26 2026	Yes	BUY	516	1¢	$6	0x16c5da…
03-17 02:32:59	military action against iran ends on march 25 2026	Yes	BUY	633	1¢	$5	0x315e30…
03-17 02:32:49	military action against iran ends on march 24 2026	Yes	BUY	440	1¢	$4	0x6f0f0a…
03-17 02:32:41	military action against iran ends on march 23 2026	Yes	BUY	548	1¢	$4	0x704006…
03-17 02:32:23	military action against iran ends on march 22 2026	Yes	BUY	507	1¢	$3	0xd9a97f…
03-17 02:32:15	military action against iran ends on march 21 2026	Yes	BUY	744	1¢	$4	0xb5d633…
03-17 02:32:03	military action against iran ends on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x22d08b…
03-17 02:31:53	military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	Yes	BUY	301	1¢	$2	0xe51d33…
03-17 02:31:43	military action against iran ends on march 18 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xfa3574…
03-16 22:35:57	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0x90fe03…
03-16 22:35:35	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0xa89281…
03-16 05:59:07	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0xd286e6…
03-16 05:32:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xf87fda…
03-16 05:31:41	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	236	3¢	$6	0x1e823b…
03-11 07:11:13	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 220 249	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x6ad768…
03-11 07:11:01	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 190 219	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xd6c415…
03-11 04:57:57	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc136a6…
03-11 04:56:21	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 160 189	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xe49f43…
03-11 04:56:09	andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 130 159	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x0a09d0…
03-11 04:54:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	SELL	24	71¢	$17	0xaa0c22…
03-08 04:13:45	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x65810c…
03-06 01:31:45	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xe5d629…
03-03 02:08:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x3f37d9…
03-03 02:07:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x1bb68c…
03-03 02:02:41	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xacd9ff…
03-02 23:28:13	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	76	30¢	$23	0x5c046b…
03-01 08:42:39	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x45975f…
02-22 15:02:02	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	98	2¢	$2	0xb6c91e…
02-21 04:32:16	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x9cdd3f…
02-18 12:05:22	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	70	30¢	$21	0xad1909…
02-18 02:10:37	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	138	6¢	$8	0xad4103…
02-15 10:47:17	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	153	7¢	$11	0xc29512…
02-15 10:17:35	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0x10c9fe…
02-14 08:46:31	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xf68855…
02-14 08:45:55	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	213	6¢	$12	0x59e795…
02-13 12:11:03	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	182	5¢	$10	0xa39f31…
02-13 10:55:27	will the reserve bank of australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x15f624…
02-13 10:48:17	Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	BUY	160	4¢	$6	0x832dc6…
02-13 05:57:59	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	28	65¢	$18	0x0c364d…
02-12 10:20:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	186	14¢	$26	0xad3572…
02-12 10:20:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x175ec3…
02-12 10:19:01	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	Yes	SELL	400	9¢	$36	0x880dc9…
02-10 08:12:43	will the reserve bank of australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	192	1¢	$2	0x06c193…
02-10 08:11:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xa7ecc4…
02-01 04:25:24	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Lopes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xf3676f…
02-01 04:23:34	ufc tai1 tal2 2026 01 31	Teixeira	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xe4f924…
02-01 02:55:40	ufc tai1 tal2 2026 01 31	Teixeira	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0xeddb06…
02-01 02:05:46	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0xf68502…
01-29 00:19:02	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	No	SELL	59	85¢	$50	0x36e367…
01-26 04:54:18	will donald trump announce a new nominee for chair of the federal reserve by january 31 2026 849 849 957 245	No	BUY	59	61¢	$36	0xc49464…
01-25 05:41:22	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24 go the distance	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x7e403b…
01-25 05:23:58	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24 go the distance	Yes	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0x03670d…
01-25 05:23:34	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	Yes	SELL	123	18¢	$22	0xf506b4…
01-25 05:22:22	ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24 go the distance	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x19bd62…
01-25 05:21:06	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	357	0¢	$2	0x538536…
01-20 10:07:04	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	Yes	BUY	562	18¢	$101	0xfede08…
01-20 10:06:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	846	12¢	$102	0xb770df…
01-20 04:48:22	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	Yes	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xb921d0…