Flippant-Insomnia — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.05K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

40.0%

Resolved

2,480

Trades

11,799

lifetime

Volume

$36.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$49

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 11-02 04:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 43 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 50% -$1,115

Other

4% 62% +$69

Politics

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+29	$16	54¢	$16	$0	10-29 22:49
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+107	$15	13¢	$14	-$1	10-29 15:04
Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+85	$8	12¢	$11	+$2	10-29 14:58
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	+75	$10	12¢	$9	-$1	10-31 14:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:20 UTC	178	$350	686	+686	Up	$0	08-02 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:55 UTC	165	$309	604	+604	Down	-$14	08-04 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 14:35 UTC	127	$274	541	+541	Up	-$3	08-02 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 08:00 UTC	121	$252	501	+501	Down	-$6	08-02 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:55 UTC	124	$246	485	+485	Up	-$6	08-02 07:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:15 UTC	117	$238	457	+457	Up	-$13	08-03 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 08:05 UTC	120	$235	483	+483	Up	$0	08-02 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:40 UTC	105	$224	417	+417	Down	-$17	08-04 07:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:10 UTC	133	$205	409	+409	Up	-$2	08-02 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:20 UTC	88	$204	355	+355	Up	-$14	08-05 02:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 11:50 UTC	98	$201	417	+417	Down	-$2	08-02 11:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:35 UTC	88	$201	358	+358	Down	-$14	08-04 07:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 12:25 UTC	92	$195	360	+360	Down	-$35	08-03 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:30 UTC	87	$194	370	+370	Down	+$1	08-03 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 05:25 UTC	91	$190	355	+355	Down	-$11	08-03 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 08:00 UTC	91	$190	365	+365	Up	-$10	07-31 08:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:40 UTC	78	$184	300	+300	Down	-$4	08-03 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 07:20 UTC	84	$167	314	+314	Up	-$27	08-04 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 09:45 UTC	77	$166	311	+311	Down	-$11	08-02 09:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 13:10 UTC	86	$166	334	+334	Down	+$2	08-02 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 08:45 UTC	78	$163	325	+325	Up	-$4	08-02 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	88	$155	306	+306	Down	-$9	08-02 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 10:50 UTC	74	$153	310	+310	Up	+$7	07-26 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:00 UTC	66	$149	268	+268	Up	-$1	08-03 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:50 UTC	57	$146	232	+232	Up	-$16	08-05 02:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 02:40 UTC	59	$142	253	+253	Up	-$7	08-05 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 09:55 UTC	64	$142	282	+282	Down	+$1	08-02 09:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 06:45 UTC	55	$141	230	+230	Up	+$4	08-03 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 03:20 UTC	58	$138	245	+245	Down	-$8	08-05 03:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 06:50 UTC	64	$138	260	+260	Down	-$3	08-04 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 04:30:30	Will Google have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x4455c5…
11-02 02:58:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MI-01 House election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0xf1c7c7…
11-02 01:55:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x19ff8c…
11-02 01:54:37	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-08 House election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x8ed713…
11-02 01:53:00	Will US gas hit $4.40 (High) in November?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xe9f84c…
11-02 01:43:00	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-04 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x7de8e0…
11-02 01:37:48	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	BUY	68	6¢	$4	0x3e56e2…
11-02 01:35:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-03 House election by 60% or more?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x33b86c…
11-02 01:17:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 HI-01 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x31203c…
11-01 23:41:40	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5214f0…
11-01 23:36:15	Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0x4790f3…
11-01 23:35:25	Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1bf3eb…
11-01 18:45:01	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	96	6¢	$6	0x34e806…
11-01 14:13:51	Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	60	6¢	$3	0x3379c4…
11-01 13:45:13	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-10 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	70	9¢	$6	0x9dc95c…
11-01 13:39:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	56	19¢	$10	0x6c9567…
11-01 13:37:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	72	15¢	$11	0x047b4e…
11-01 04:42:51	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x670791…
11-01 04:42:49	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xc57685…
11-01 01:14:55	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MT-01 House election by 6%-9%?	Yes	BUY	77	8¢	$6	0x6c04f7…
11-01 01:12:58	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	91	16¢	$15	0xd7df0d…
11-01 01:12:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-35 House election by 12% or more?	Yes	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x6a3026…
11-01 01:04:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xd4d6a4…
11-01 01:04:39	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CO-05 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x8ca98c…
10-31 23:19:58	Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x4c335f…
10-31 23:09:09	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd66420…
10-31 23:09:09	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x807af4…
10-31 23:07:55	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $364 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1431ae…
10-31 23:05:54	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $364 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xccfe32…
10-31 23:04:30	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $368 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x542833…
10-31 23:02:24	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $368 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x30a367…
10-31 22:15:27	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xfdb739…
10-31 15:40:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x150d40…
10-31 15:40:24	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KY-06 House election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xa1e031…
10-31 15:32:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0x042f46…
10-31 15:13:07	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $570 in November?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9d7a3f…
10-31 14:43:31	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x4a044e…
10-31 11:35:43	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $720 in November?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x7a28e5…
10-31 09:59:55	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x1f9f85…
10-31 08:22:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-28 House election by 21% or more?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xfd21df…
10-31 05:10:16	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	36	64¢	$23	0x001fc6…
10-31 05:10:00	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xb77fcb…
10-31 03:09:28	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ID-02 House election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x052985…
10-31 01:46:15	Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x800ce7…
10-31 01:46:15	Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x703667…
10-31 01:46:15	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x6580b0…
10-31 01:42:58	Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x53d9db…
10-31 01:41:03	Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3f166b…
10-31 01:41:03	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x0c3e61…
10-31 00:30:22	Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x904f6e…
10-31 00:30:21	Will Google be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xde64de…
10-31 00:27:40	Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x503b54…
10-31 00:27:28	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0xf74250…
10-31 00:27:28	Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xa96465…
10-31 00:27:28	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x81214f…
10-31 00:27:28	Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x4bf917…
10-31 00:27:28	Will the Republican Party hold between 170 and 174 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x433525…
10-31 00:00:30	Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xe93c46…
10-30 23:58:52	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb047f0…
10-30 23:56:52	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0x2dac7c…
10-30 23:53:54	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xbb1c62…
10-30 23:53:43	Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x1d28c0…
10-30 23:52:49	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	71	9¢	$7	0xc086cf…
10-30 23:51:24	Will Democrats win 3 or more House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$3	0x9c993e…
10-30 23:50:22	Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0xb9cde6…
10-30 23:47:16	Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,500 by end of December?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe78062…
10-30 22:42:01	Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0x3a1e52…
10-30 20:28:58	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x055c13…
10-30 19:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0x891f29…
10-30 19:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$41	0x60b54f…
10-30 16:00:04	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x21e8a5…
10-30 15:38:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	35	16¢	$6	0x42e59e…
10-30 15:38:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 46 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	65	16¢	$10	0x14d691…
10-30 15:19:37	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x83094a…
10-30 15:19:30	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xf474c3…
10-30 15:19:12	Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xcf65f8…
10-30 15:18:54	Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x1906b0…
10-30 15:18:52	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x740d26…
10-30 15:18:52	Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x3ce6b8…
10-30 15:18:09	Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4fd8a5…
10-30 15:06:58	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x8de27e…
10-30 15:01:12	Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xb9bd65…
10-30 14:13:40	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7e38d2…
10-30 14:02:16	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x03e385…
10-30 13:59:15	Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1,020	0¢	$1	0x01c7a1…
10-30 13:22:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 47 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0x1b5dc8…
10-30 13:16:18	spy closes above 740 on november 2 2026	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5b8fd6…
10-30 03:01:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 10%-20%?	Yes	BUY	72	15¢	$11	0x1c34a4…
10-30 03:00:10	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WY-AL House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	35	10¢	$3	0x8d0082…
10-30 02:05:27	googl close above 295 on october 30 2026	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x5ce7a3…
10-29 23:44:55	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x0f60dc…
10-29 22:57:30	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf47c92…
10-29 22:57:30	Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x806808…
10-29 22:57:30	Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	33	11¢	$4	0x53b760…
10-29 22:57:28	Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x3c2669…
10-29 22:57:27	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	19	10¢	$2	0x9a7e36…
10-29 22:57:27	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x2d7a49…
10-29 22:57:27	Will the Republican Party hold between 180 and 184 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x1c0383…
10-29 22:54:57	Will Nvidia be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x858a1d…
10-29 22:49:10	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xea4d19…