Dishonest-Diction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.07K

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

2,408

Trades

4,220

lifetime

Volume

$32.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-14

last 11-04 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 63% +$3,184

Other

1% 38% -$112

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 213 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?	Yes	—	+5	$2	65¢	$3	+$1	11-04 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 22:15 UTC	2	$205	109	109	+0	Up	+$5	07-23 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:20 UTC	29	$173	1,300	0	+1,300	Up	-$173	07-18 20:23
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 00:35 UTC	15	$122	79	79	+0	Down	+$12	07-25 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:10 UTC	5	$104	85	85	+0	Up	+$44	07-31 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	3	$103	120	120	+0	Down	+$83	08-01 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:10 UTC	3	$96	300	0	+300	Down	-$96	08-08 13:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 12:25 UTC	2	$80	164	0	+164	Up	+$31	06-13 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$80	126	0	+126	Up	-$7	06-13 11:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:35 UTC	2	$80	138	0	+138	Down	-$17	06-13 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:25 UTC	2	$80	143	0	+143	Down	-$26	06-13 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$80	954	0	+954	Up	-$35	06-15 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 00:00 UTC	2	$80	94	0	+94	Up	-$38	06-13 00:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-13 12:15 UTC	2	$80	103	0	+103	Up	-$37	06-13 12:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 00:10 UTC	2	$80	125	0	+125	Up	-$2	06-13 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 01:35 UTC	2	$80	106	0	+106	Down	-$22	06-14 01:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:40 UTC	12	$80	200	0	+200	Down	+$20	07-18 19:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 19:10 UTC	13	$76	188	47	+141	Up	+$112	07-18 19:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 01:30 UTC	16	$71	90	57	+33	Down	+$40	07-26 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$70	64	64	+0	Down	+$30	08-14 14:14
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	14	$70	200	0	+200	Up	-$70	07-18 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:30 UTC	2	$69	40	40	+0	Down	+$9	08-08 13:33
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 21:50 UTC	4	$68	97	48	+48	Down	+$76	07-21 21:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 14:30 UTC	5	$67	145	108	+36	Down	+$69	07-29 14:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:55 UTC	7	$66	137	30	+108	Up	-$24	07-18 18:59
XRP Up or Down - July 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	7	$66	180	0	+180	Down	-$66	07-25 01:30
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:50 UTC	17	$65	128	0	+128	Up	-$65	07-18 20:53
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 4?	5	$64	71	71	+0	open	—	11-04 15:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 12:45 UTC	6	$61	136	68	+68	Up	+$79	07-23 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 10:55 UTC	2	$60	98	0	+98	Down	-$1	06-08 10:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:50 UTC	2	$60	108	0	+108	Up	-$1	06-05 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 15:23:34	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x7d6bcd…
11-04 15:22:33	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on November 4?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xe2e521…
11-04 15:13:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0xb5fdc3…
11-04 15:13:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0xbbc8fb…
11-04 15:12:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	36	82¢	$29	0xa64502…
11-04 15:08:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0xb67a5e…
11-04 15:08:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xaa7762…
11-04 15:08:45	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on November 4?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xd2029a…
11-04 15:08:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x218c5d…
11-04 15:08:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf5b5a5…
11-04 15:08:43	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf05913…
11-04 12:42:36	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on November 4?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xac94e3…
11-04 05:09:31	will ethereum dip to 2200 on november 4 2026	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1957a2…
11-04 03:03:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xce166a…
11-04 03:00:16	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x1ca7f7…
11-04 03:00:15	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on November 3?	No	BUY	15	5¢	$1	0x27e0b2…
11-03 23:26:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 3?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x06f48c…
11-03 12:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa8943f…
11-03 12:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x26f394…
11-03 12:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7e03e5…
11-03 12:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x9d07b8…
11-03 10:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9a4002…
11-03 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xdf990c…
11-03 06:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf07289…
11-03 06:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xe8722e…
11-03 01:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5b74e3…
11-03 01:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x5e0f3c…
11-03 00:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x075e9f…
11-03 00:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x584732…
11-03 00:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6d6c0b…
11-02 22:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x3ce534…
11-02 22:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x7e2ed4…
11-02 22:00:30	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on November 2?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x85b69b…
11-02 19:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x0f4283…
11-02 15:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x2a278b…
11-02 11:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x23e798…
11-02 11:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x031bcc…
11-02 11:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xcf4b2f…
11-02 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xeba5f1…
11-02 10:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe00a6d…
11-02 08:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x251c79…
11-02 08:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa9bf1b…
11-02 08:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x87246b…
11-02 06:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x6ee5d1…
11-02 06:22:12	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be 61°F or below on November 3?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5e84c1…
11-02 03:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x8d8f8a…
11-02 03:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x29ac1f…
11-02 03:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4e8b40…
11-02 02:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xbd5a94…
11-02 02:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x78812f…
11-02 00:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa9f42a…
11-02 00:25:00	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x234f6f…
11-02 00:24:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x445d4b…
11-02 00:04:01	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xefcfc2…
11-01 21:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x77aae2…
11-01 19:17:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x344d49…
11-01 17:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x1ac6d7…
11-01 17:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5c6b6e…
11-01 14:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xde6ce1…
11-01 14:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xed13ac…
11-01 14:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x228999…
11-01 14:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xaf7e0b…
11-01 11:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0ff847…
11-01 11:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x195862…
11-01 10:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1b90dd…
11-01 01:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd09bae…
10-31 23:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb8e0a3…
10-31 23:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x28a188…
10-31 23:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x3baeb0…
10-31 23:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xb56aea…
10-31 17:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xeb3ff9…
10-31 16:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x236e81…
10-31 16:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x095022…
10-31 16:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd91d24…
10-31 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xdea28b…
10-31 16:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x895c60…
10-31 15:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x42c815…
10-31 15:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf46599…
10-31 15:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x8088a6…
10-31 15:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x9b5b6f…
10-31 15:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x992c91…
10-31 14:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x371a5c…
10-31 14:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xabd466…
10-31 14:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x921c9f…
10-31 14:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x67e869…
10-31 14:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x4cfbc5…
10-31 11:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x285224…
10-31 10:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x617fe6…
10-31 10:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x7d2cde…
10-31 10:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x76e666…
10-31 10:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xbb32f1…
10-31 10:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x810d25…
10-31 07:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5b1254…
10-31 07:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xda3626…
10-31 05:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf2a172…
10-31 05:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xcdccdb…
10-31 04:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x3df7b0…
10-31 04:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x78212a…
10-31 04:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0xba742f…
10-30 23:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x43a6bb…