Frayed-Teepee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$198

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.7%

Resolved

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$4.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-09 16:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

70% 0% $-44

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

9% 33% $-154

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	4	$421	400	400	+0	open	—	05-24 05:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	6	$247	227	227	+0	open	—	05-20 21:49
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 15?	7	$193	150	150	+0	open	—	05-15 10:51
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?	15	$152	96	96	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 00:54
Thunder vs. Lakers	4	$150	1,000	0	+1,000	Thunder	$-150	05-12 03:46
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 14?	5	$142	160	160	+0	open	—	05-14 13:45
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	11	$124	200	200	+0	open	—	05-11 11:19
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 15?	4	$123	80	80	+0	open	—	05-15 13:25
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?	2	$120	100	100	+0	Yes	$-8	05-13 15:31
spy up or down on june 8 2026	2	$120	100	100	+0	open	—	06-08 04:49
Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?	4	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	05-16 20:41
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	05-23 22:30
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	2	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 18:47
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on May 13?	3	$97	50	50	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 16:32
will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	06-07 04:28
Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 10:16
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	4	$91	100	100	+0	open	—	06-06 21:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	8	$89	73	73	+0	open	—	05-08 06:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 10:34
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $85 in May?	5	$85	105	105	+0	open	—	05-11 19:29
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 in May?	2	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	05-15 10:25
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 15?	2	$84	100	100	+0	open	—	05-15 05:53
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	3	$73	100	100	+0	open	—	05-22 00:03
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$73	57	57	+0	open	—	05-15 04:44
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	2	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	06-01 17:37
will big qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	4	$70	100	100	+0	open	—	06-06 03:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	10	$61	73	73	+0	open	—	05-08 18:50
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in May?	2	$58	50	50	+0	open	—	05-14 11:43
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$54	50	50	+0	open	—	05-16 20:34
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	3	$52	41	41	+0	open	—	05-17 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 16:51:43	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x30e020…
06-09 16:42:57	spy up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd6a6c6…
06-08 04:49:00	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xa39e5a…
06-08 04:43:27	spy up or down on june 8 2026	Up	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x7eab91…
06-08 01:33:06	Will Karrigan retire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0x22b3b8…
06-08 01:23:45	Will Karrigan retire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x0dfecd…
06-07 21:29:48	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x8c26d7…
06-07 21:24:04	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe4ee18…
06-07 04:28:43	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x41abcd…
06-07 04:23:16	will ethereum dip to 1000 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x1d4b9d…
06-06 21:30:00	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xa0ac68…
06-06 21:30:00	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	78	43¢	$34	0x6ad295…
06-06 21:29:31	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	17	44¢	$8	0x4a4764…
06-06 21:19:04	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x104c83…
06-06 17:30:09	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf3a19d…
06-06 17:29:45	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x93f82d…
06-06 17:29:43	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xadf015…
06-06 16:44:45	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8f4c11…
06-06 16:44:04	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb34991…
06-06 16:44:04	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xabb2c3…
06-06 16:44:04	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score below 1480	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x617eb9…
06-06 10:50:07	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x4ae722…
06-06 10:44:24	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x92d05b…
06-06 03:21:22	will big qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	78	35¢	$27	0x41eb32…
06-06 03:21:00	will big qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xb5796b…
06-06 03:20:36	will big qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0xb23f9f…
06-06 02:59:28	will big qualify to stage 3 at iem cologne major 2026	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x313b99…
06-05 21:04:31	Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x516824…
06-05 21:04:07	Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2a88fe…
06-05 01:36:52	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xc3638e…
06-05 01:36:19	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x72fb3a…
06-04 10:31:58	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x52a4d9…
06-04 10:31:39	spx opens up or down on june 4 2026	Up	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x84a49c…
06-02 13:58:45	Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x42a435…
06-02 13:58:32	Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x4116b4…
06-01 22:57:56	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x52dc7c…
06-01 22:57:44	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xabb346…
06-01 22:47:21	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x84ad32…
06-01 22:41:18	Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x868329…
06-01 22:27:43	Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf34b01…
06-01 20:33:44	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xd043e4…
06-01 20:30:09	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x084db4…
06-01 17:37:15	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x28f24d…
06-01 17:22:13	Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x8c3aa8…
05-31 15:45:47	Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xa0380e…
05-31 15:31:12	Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1d3949…
05-30 21:38:58	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x06172e…
05-30 20:42:39	Will Russia enter Shevchenko by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x49148f…
05-30 18:47:55	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$48	0x47239e…
05-30 18:25:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x0dac16…
05-30 10:27:14	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	No	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0x1caf67…
05-30 10:17:05	Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x8bcbcf…
05-29 22:18:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0xdfb824…
05-29 20:14:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xe0cfaa…
05-25 20:09:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	24	64¢	$15	0xfb94d6…
05-25 20:09:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0x00490f…
05-25 20:09:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xb108be…
05-25 20:07:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	No	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0xa3c16e…
05-25 18:22:00	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x8b7a43…
05-25 18:15:25	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x137664…
05-25 17:45:41	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa978cb…
05-25 17:37:14	Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x36b8d1…
05-24 10:16:02	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x31429a…
05-24 10:07:28	Enhanced Games: Men’s 100m Sprint World Record Broken?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xad73b9…
05-24 05:00:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$181	0x3bd7cb…
05-24 04:59:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$181	0x69be21…
05-24 00:49:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$29	0x3bfba9…
05-24 00:42:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x37f0e3…
05-24 00:35:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	110	4¢	$5	0x7fc89f…
05-24 00:32:28	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x4ac3a4…
05-24 00:29:51	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0xce21d5…
05-24 00:02:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xc153f1…
05-23 22:30:23	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x24811d…
05-23 22:29:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x68a4d9…
05-23 02:56:13	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xafcc2f…
05-23 02:54:00	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xcb4d16…
05-22 03:54:55	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xe67ec5…
05-22 03:54:39	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0xfc8c77…
05-22 03:52:30	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	61¢	$10	0x4b76b0…
05-22 03:46:59	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x28fc68…
05-22 00:03:53	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0xe1f8ea…
05-22 00:03:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0xb825ac…
05-22 00:02:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x676563…
05-20 21:49:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	54¢	$41	0x657cca…
05-20 21:49:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	55¢	$68	0x7160c4…
05-20 20:45:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0xeb0ff1…
05-20 07:45:14	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x4bc7a2…
05-20 07:45:04	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8c2673…
05-19 07:32:04	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x06f788…
05-19 07:31:24	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf518d5…
05-18 23:33:37	Will Grey Target by Johns sell for $30M or more?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xe50018…
05-18 23:27:42	Will Grey Target by Johns sell for $30M or more?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8e5007…
05-17 07:37:12	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0xd4ca8b…
05-17 07:36:54	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x70751c…
05-17 07:35:57	Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xce1746…
05-17 06:10:33	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	63¢	$26	0x102313…
05-17 06:09:26	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0xe43f91…
05-17 06:09:24	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	63¢	$17	0x0bf557…
05-16 20:41:39	Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x8a4446…
05-16 20:40:39	Will "Europe" be said 10+ times during Eurovision?	Yes	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x3178d1…