Vain-Canteen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.63K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

399

lifetime

Volume

$103.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$260

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 05-19 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

47% 0% $-1,010

Crypto

31% 0% $-1,500

Other

20% 0% $-125

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$19.8K	42,813	42,813	+0	open	—	04-07 23:16
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	2	$8.7K	7,692	7,692	+0	open	—	01-29 17:24
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	3	$6.1K	15,443	9,254	+6,189	open	—	04-15 22:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$4.6K	6,782	6,782	+0	open	—	04-07 21:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	71	$4.0K	1,701,017	1,331,303	+369,714	open	—	04-20 20:22
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	2	$3.7K	3,443	3,351	+92	open	—	04-15 20:55
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2.8K	13,479	13,479	+0	open	—	01-31 00:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$2.6K	5,500	5,500	+0	open	—	05-15 13:51
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$2.4K	60,000	10,000	+50,000	open	—	03-13 17:28
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$2.3K	20,565	0	+20,565	open	—	01-31 00:58
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	3	$2.2K	9,028	1,198	+7,829	open	—	04-15 20:51
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 18 2026 456	4	$2.1K	8,255	8,255	+0	open	—	04-17 19:04
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$2.0K	6,654	0	+6,654	open	—	02-09 00:40
btc updown 5m 1776451200	3	$1.7K	1,335	1,273	+62	open	—	04-17 18:46
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$1.7K	2,945	2,945	+0	open	—	04-15 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	7	$1.6K	1,192	1,192	+0	open	—	04-30 21:44
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$1.5K	42,426	42,426	+0	open	—	04-16 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$1.4K	988	988	+0	open	—	05-01 01:59
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	2	$1.3K	15,393	15,393	+0	open	—	01-29 17:29
btc updown 5m 1776467400	2	$1.1K	775	746	+28	open	—	04-17 23:15
bitcoin up or down on february 1	1	$1.1K	7,333	0	+7,333	open	—	02-01 01:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$1.0K	31,939	0	+31,939	No	$-1,010	05-08 20:00
bitcoin above 92k on january 28	1	$1000	11,935	0	+11,935	open	—	01-27 21:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	1	$1000	2,778	0	+2,778	Yes	$-1,000	05-08 20:22
btc updown 5m 1776476700	4	$971	862	671	+191	open	—	04-18 01:51
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$957	663	663	+0	open	—	04-22 00:23
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$940	5,577	5,577	+0	open	—	04-17 02:48
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	3	$926	733	45,733	-45,000	open	—	04-30 01:37
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	3	$893	699	699	+0	open	—	04-29 19:06
Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?	2	$864	465	465	+0	open	—	04-29 19:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 17:04:10	Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$4	0x62eb30…
05-18 19:18:07	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	459	57¢	$261	0x7060dc…
05-18 19:17:06	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	24	57¢	$14	0x497bee…
05-18 19:13:01	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xa489b7…
05-18 19:13:01	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x80286a…
05-18 19:12:40	Will Bento be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xd20762…
05-18 19:00:23	Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0x71549b…
05-18 18:48:17	Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x810cad…
05-18 18:46:48	Will Andrey Santos be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	Yes	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x30f943…
05-15 14:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xf734b2…
05-15 14:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0xce4726…
05-15 14:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	283	35¢	$100	0x459e4b…
05-15 14:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xa9f64f…
05-15 14:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	661	4¢	$25	0x4ccb21…
05-15 14:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,370	7¢	$100	0xf01394…
05-15 14:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	852	12¢	$100	0xb805f0…
05-15 14:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x0d7cd8…
05-15 14:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	258	39¢	$100	0xeefd7b…
05-15 14:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	287	75¢	$216	0x18a04f…
05-15 14:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	287	33¢	$95	0x0c5359…
05-15 14:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0xfd03b9…
05-15 14:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	559	2¢	$13	0x402eea…
05-15 14:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	171	3¢	$5	0x15c881…
05-15 14:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	448	6¢	$25	0x4c8807…
05-15 14:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	469	92¢	$433	0x59b3b6…
05-15 14:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	241	41¢	$100	0xb618c9…
05-15 14:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	227	44¢	$100	0x5e1474…
05-15 13:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf71274…
05-15 13:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x646a6d…
05-15 13:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0x52cf2c…
05-15 13:51:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,070	9¢	$366	0x8fb45c…
05-15 13:51:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,188	0¢	$2	0x69b55c…
05-12 23:10:34	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb90637…
05-12 23:01:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,188	2¢	$19	0x6846c5…
05-12 22:59:48	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	15,000	0¢	$30	0xe0e9af…
05-12 22:34:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,430	16¢	$229	0x4153eb…
05-12 19:02:25	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,720	0¢	$3	0x449a25…
05-08 20:22:33	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	4,079	10¢	$403	0xbccff6…
05-08 20:22:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	11,254	4¢	$500	0x409bc8…
05-08 20:22:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	2,778	36¢	$1,000	0x21ed49…
05-08 20:00:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,615	4¢	$510	0x4fba13…
05-08 19:51:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,500	36¢	$1,980	0x7de842…
05-08 19:50:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19,324	3¢	$500	0xdfd92b…
05-01 03:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x2cc41f…
05-01 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	18¢	$6	0xea63c5…
05-01 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0xdd0d65…
05-01 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xdc1a43…
05-01 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xaef09b…
05-01 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	171	18¢	$31	0x5174ac…
05-01 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x35083b…
05-01 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	101	18¢	$18	0x25208d…
05-01 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	212	18¢	$38	0x1b4758…
05-01 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0x12c9fc…
05-01 03:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	47	18¢	$8	0x0b65c4…
05-01 02:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	736	72¢	$529	0xde6116…
05-01 02:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	35	67¢	$24	0x364401…
05-01 02:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	462	11¢	$53	0x8f67a9…
05-01 02:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	309	15¢	$47	0x61e779…
05-01 01:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	988	97¢	$954	0x90f40b…
05-01 01:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	988	40¢	$400	0x05c456…
05-01 01:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	606	16¢	$96	0xb4f11d…
05-01 01:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x8b37e1…
05-01 01:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	415	47¢	$194	0xb537cf…
05-01 01:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	696	44¢	$306	0x4b29bc…
05-01 01:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	320	15¢	$46	0xaff7f4…
05-01 01:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	484	11¢	$54	0x848810…
04-30 22:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	714	4¢	$25	0xd136d1…
04-30 22:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	131	19¢	$25	0x409241…
04-30 22:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	290	34¢	$100	0x605d8a…
04-30 22:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	300	33¢	$100	0x661dd0…
04-30 22:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	305	33¢	$100	0x5e9a05…
04-30 22:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	303	33¢	$100	0x310984…
04-30 22:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	306	33¢	$100	0x05b60c…
04-30 22:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	603	17¢	$100	0xaf83a9…
04-30 22:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	503	20¢	$100	0x15c386…
04-30 22:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	413	24¢	$100	0xb04095…
04-30 22:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	419	24¢	$100	0xd0c484…
04-30 22:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xef074e…
04-30 22:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xee934b…
04-30 22:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xe2dd91…
04-30 22:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xac4926…
04-30 22:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	991	10¢	$100	0x36693e…
04-30 22:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	90	15¢	$14	0xf50171…
04-30 22:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	758	13¢	$100	0xe16176…
04-30 22:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	667	15¢	$100	0xa1c0ee…
04-30 22:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	644	14¢	$92	0x0c840d…
04-30 22:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	179	30¢	$54	0xd97a3d…
04-30 22:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xb073fb…
04-30 22:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	204	49¢	$100	0x1284c6…
04-30 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	487	21¢	$100	0xb72b19…
04-30 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0x71708a…
04-30 21:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x425d41…
04-30 21:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0x1d40ef…
04-30 21:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1,192	94¢	$1,117	0x8794de…
04-30 21:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	330	30¢	$100	0x2d30e6…
04-30 21:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x906c27…
04-30 21:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x82673d…
04-30 21:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x3d1bf8…
04-30 21:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0x8c1455…
04-30 21:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x874cdf…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	66	$107.3K	1,729	06-01 04:51
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	62	$109.4K	1,565	06-01 05:53
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	47	$13.8K	2,172	05-15 14:24
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	46	$448.6K	7,163	06-02 13:48
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	46	$17.5K	2,439	05-15 14:24
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	44	$16.1M	22,089	06-01 03:20
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	44	$90.4K	2,978	05-15 14:24
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	44	$11.8K	3,413	05-15 14:24