Magnificent-Sphynx — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

Trades

170

lifetime

Volume

$1.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-26 00:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 79% +$27

Politics

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1782430500	2	$306	762	762	+0	open	—	06-25 23:38
btc updown 5m 1782432000	2	$219	253	119	+133	open	—	06-26 00:02
btc updown 5m 1782162600	3	$210	194	194	+0	open	—	06-22 21:15
btc updown 5m 1782432300	3	$161	144	82	+62	open	—	06-26 00:09
btc updown 5m 1782429300	2	$112	102	102	+0	open	—	06-25 23:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$86	288	100	+188	open	—	06-16 06:20
btc updown 5m 1782430800	1	$50	147	0	+147	open	—	06-25 23:41
btc updown 5m 1776706800	4	$46	41	39	+2	open	—	04-20 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$46	32	32	+0	Up	+$8	05-06 15:33
btc updown 5m 1782430200	2	$30	63	0	+63	open	—	06-25 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$29	22	22	+0	Down	+$9	05-05 21:07
btc updown 5m 1776629400	2	$29	22	21	+1	open	—	04-19 20:15
btc updown 5m 1782432600	4	$27	69	22	+47	open	—	06-26 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$27	21	21	+0	Down	+$7	05-13 11:23
btc updown 5m 1781591400	2	$27	28	28	+0	open	—	06-16 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$26	37	37	+0	open	—	05-14 18:34
btc updown 5m 1782429600	1	$25	69	0	+69	open	—	06-25 23:21
btc updown 5m 1776892200	2	$23	21	20	+1	open	—	04-22 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$22	39	19	+21	open	—	05-14 18:39
btc updown 5m 1776752400	2	$21	23	22	+1	open	—	04-21 06:23
btc updown 5m 1776632700	3	$21	16	13	+3	open	—	04-19 21:09
btc updown 5m 1776632100	5	$21	13	12	+0	open	—	04-19 21:00
btc updown 5m 1782429900	1	$20	36	0	+36	open	—	06-25 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$18	26	12	+15	Down	$-6	05-05 19:29
btc updown 5m 1782162000	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	06-22 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 10:03
btc updown 5m 1776702300	2	$15	80	74	+5	open	—	04-20 16:28
btc updown 5m 1781591700	1	$15	38	0	+38	open	—	06-16 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 21:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-26 00:14:47	btc updown 5m 1782432600	Down	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x17a7cf…
06-26 00:14:17	btc updown 5m 1782432600	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0x930f09…
06-26 00:14:11	btc updown 5m 1782432600	Up	SELL	17	61¢	$10	0x739acf…
06-26 00:13:37	btc updown 5m 1782432600	Up	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0xb0bc1d…
06-26 00:11:01	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0x5a1a19…
06-26 00:10:59	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	1¢	$1	0xbc3f05…
06-26 00:10:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0x7d3031…
06-26 00:10:52	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	77	4¢	$3	0x50b244…
06-26 00:09:01	btc updown 5m 1782432300	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x3cac4c…
06-26 00:08:10	btc updown 5m 1782432300	Up	SELL	82	62¢	$51	0x91cc35…
06-26 00:06:28	btc updown 5m 1782432300	Up	BUY	82	73¢	$60	0x679742…
06-26 00:02:19	btc updown 5m 1782432000	Down	SELL	119	59¢	$70	0x8358fd…
06-26 00:02:10	btc updown 5m 1782432000	Down	BUY	253	59¢	$148	0xfca001…
06-25 23:41:17	btc updown 5m 1782430800	Up	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xc5c13a…
06-25 23:38:10	btc updown 5m 1782430500	Up	SELL	762	27¢	$206	0xe8a762…
06-25 23:37:55	btc updown 5m 1782430500	Up	BUY	762	13¢	$100	0x044ee6…
06-25 23:30:29	btc updown 5m 1782430200	Down	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x7c8098…
06-25 23:30:19	btc updown 5m 1782430200	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x8836f3…
06-25 23:25:26	btc updown 5m 1782429900	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x295254…
06-25 23:21:23	btc updown 5m 1782429600	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x75f1d8…
06-25 23:17:19	btc updown 5m 1782429300	Up	SELL	102	61¢	$62	0xf54860…
06-25 23:15:58	btc updown 5m 1782429300	Up	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x0f1fe9…
06-22 21:15:01	btc updown 5m 1782162600	Up	SELL	119	94¢	$111	0xffd3ef…
06-22 21:14:53	btc updown 5m 1782162600	Up	SELL	76	84¢	$64	0x88d97c…
06-22 21:13:26	btc updown 5m 1782162600	Up	BUY	194	18¢	$35	0x779565…
06-22 21:08:05	btc updown 5m 1782162000	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe62aa4…
06-22 21:00:40	btc updown 5m 1782162000	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5ca3d2…
06-22 12:36:34	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x8df5b8…
06-22 12:36:07	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x5d7890…
06-20 16:37:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x493d39…
06-19 17:07:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x38a779…
06-19 17:07:46	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf210ba…
06-16 06:35:54	btc updown 5m 1781591700	Down	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x2b0ab2…
06-16 06:32:22	btc updown 5m 1781591400	Down	SELL	28	42¢	$12	0xcc9ab3…
06-16 06:30:54	btc updown 5m 1781591400	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x71962a…
06-16 06:20:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	288	2¢	$5	0x80e0b8…
06-16 03:43:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0xedd13c…
06-15 17:41:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	111	4¢	$4	0x8ba453…
06-09 23:22:04	btc updown 5m 1781047200	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x44cb76…
06-09 23:20:16	btc updown 5m 1781047200	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc1f874…
06-09 23:10:51	btc updown 5m 1781046600	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x027804…
06-09 22:59:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0x3bcf26…
05-14 18:49:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x035672…
05-14 18:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x72e4ef…
05-14 18:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xefc007…
05-14 18:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xa64e65…
05-14 18:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0xd11466…
05-14 18:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xabe098…
05-14 18:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x6cd02d…
05-14 18:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x406788…
05-14 18:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xa3847a…
05-14 18:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xc05a39…
05-14 18:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	33¢	$9	0xfdea76…
05-13 11:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	21	81¢	$17	0xe74c85…
05-13 11:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6a6b88…
05-13 10:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x5761b6…
05-13 10:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$6	0x876372…
05-13 09:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2b3da8…
05-13 09:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xe1663e…
05-13 09:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x198b93…
05-13 09:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x669775…
05-07 20:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	13	61¢	$8	0x11d422…
05-07 20:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x1b69a7…
05-07 20:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xcbe48b…
05-07 20:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x31ff58…
05-07 20:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd77de1…
05-07 20:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x7be032…
05-07 20:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf06089…
05-07 20:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x958c96…
05-07 17:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x4a3095…
05-07 17:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb0748f…
05-07 17:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x64caa8…
05-07 17:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x4b59c8…
05-07 17:40:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x454cd3…
05-07 17:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xe152a7…
05-07 17:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4ad134…
05-07 17:34:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x6d3f31…
05-07 17:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd6dafa…
05-07 17:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xdf42e2…
05-07 17:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa8d34c…
05-06 15:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	32	85¢	$27	0x266311…
05-06 15:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0x39ab19…
05-05 21:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	22	88¢	$19	0x7a1d08…
05-05 21:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa18104…
05-05 21:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x774d50…
05-05 21:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xfd62a9…
05-05 19:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x11c720…
05-05 19:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x0f50ce…
05-05 19:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4cacf6…
05-05 19:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x02c76a…
05-05 19:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xadb122…
05-05 19:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x60a2cb…
05-05 19:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7c88be…
05-05 19:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x8801f9…
04-25 16:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xa8d713…
04-25 15:56:34	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	393	0¢	$1	0x9bdc07…
04-22 21:13:52	btc updown 5m 1776892200	Down	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x7d27a1…
04-22 21:11:02	btc updown 5m 1776892200	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x951a93…
04-22 21:07:14	btc updown 5m 1776891900	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x19787a…
04-22 21:06:32	btc updown 5m 1776891900	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xef4b51…