Magnificent-Sphynx — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$6

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

8.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

7 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$63

$63 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-13 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 50% $-6

Politics

33% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+38	$21	66¢	$25	+$4	05-06 15:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$27	0	32	-32	Up	$-5	05-06 15:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$21	38	0	+38	open	—	05-06 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-13 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-05 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-07 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-07 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x2b3da8…
05-13 09:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x669775…
05-07 20:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x31ff58…
05-07 20:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf06089…
05-06 15:35:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	55¢	$21	0x3c89e0…
05-06 15:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	32	85¢	$27	0x266311…
05-05 19:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4cacf6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$1.38K	43	05-13 09:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	5	$2.47K	82	05-13 09:59
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	4	$1.06K	27	05-07 20:46
Agile-Spacing 0xce25…7fdc	4	$863	34	05-07 20:46
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	4	$531	11	05-13 09:59
Sweltering-Conifer 0x50b9…4467	3	$772	4	05-10 07:46
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	3	$724	37	05-13 09:59