Sweltering-Conifer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$221

Unrealized P&L

-$206

Hit rate

46.0%

Resolved

109

Trades

1,222

lifetime

Volume

$195.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$160

Open exposure

$621

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-13 14:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

76% — —

Crypto

13% 34% +$117

Politics

11% 100% +$104

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No		+1,396	$827	44¢	$621	$-206	06-24 23:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	82	$36.9K	29,645	29,645	+0	open	—	07-04 17:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	12	$9.3K	12,220	2,734	+9,486	open	—	06-14 21:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	8	$6.6K	3,352	7,436	-4,084	open	—	06-14 22:16
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	18	$6.2K	3,843	3,843	+0	open	—	07-01 14:46
wta alexand jovic 2026 07 03	4	$5.0K	3,046	3,046	+0	open	—	07-03 15:02
wta parry kalinsk 2026 07 01	2	$3.5K	3,766	3,766	+0	open	—	07-01 16:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	51	$3.2K	9,893	8,497	+1,396	open	—	06-24 23:04
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	1	$3.0K	4,975	0	+4,975	open	—	07-01 17:21
atp almeida villanu 2026 06 27	2	$3.0K	2,227	2,227	+0	open	—	06-27 16:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	7	$3.0K	847	3,330	-2,483	open	—	05-26 15:56
Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	3	$2.9K	1,605	1,604	+1	open	—	05-25 17:05
wta willia joint 2026 06 29	3	$2.4K	1,540	1,540	+0	open	—	06-30 21:22
wta paolini montgom 2026 06 29	6	$2.4K	2,553	2,553	+0	open	—	06-30 12:44
wta blinkov kostyuk 2026 07 02	2	$1.9K	1,851	925	+925	open	—	07-02 16:11
atp dimitro berrett 2026 07 04	2	$1.9K	5,808	0	+5,808	open	—	07-04 17:51
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	6	$1.8K	1,513	1,513	+0	open	—	07-05 19:44
wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07 set 2 winner Kostyuk vs Paolini	2	$1.8K	2,337	0	+2,337	open	—	07-08 13:20
atp doubles ribezeb casatav 2026 06 18	2	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	06-18 23:01
fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	2	$1.8K	1,199	1,199	+0	open	—	06-17 22:06
atp jodar mochizu 2026 07 03	2	$1.7K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	07-03 16:10
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	4	$1.7K	1,256	1,256	+0	open	—	06-02 21:57
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	13	$1.4K	4,234	900	+3,334	open	—	06-13 17:17
Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs Cobolli	7	$1.4K	1,024	1,024	+0	open	—	06-03 15:34
atp khachan cobolli 2026 07 04	1	$1.3K	2,377	0	+2,377	open	—	07-04 14:49
Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?	7	$1.2K	0	1,264	-1,264	open	—	06-03 11:47
wta parry kalinsk 2026 07 01 set 2 winner Parry vs Kalinskaya	7	$1.2K	2,005	0	+2,005	open	—	07-01 14:39
atp sinner borges 2026 07 01	5	$1.2K	10,949	8,774	+2,175	open	—	07-01 13:47
atp lehecka molcan 2026 07 02 set handicap home 2pt5	7	$1.2K	1,200	600	+600	open	—	07-02 18:22
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	6	$1.1K	808	808	+0	open	—	06-05 13:11
atp justo hardt 2026 06 19	3	$1.1K	2,872	0	+2,872	open	—	06-19 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-13 14:25:58	btc updown 5m 1783952700	Down	BUY	70	31¢	$22	0xfc8c00…
07-13 14:24:25	btc updown 5m 1783952400	Up	SELL	98	25¢	$24	0xf1eb4b…
07-13 14:23:17	btc updown 5m 1783952400	Up	BUY	98	10¢	$10	0xbebb6e…
07-13 14:16:38	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	119	49¢	$58	0x6b9c3b…
07-13 14:16:38	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x1da504…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf7672b…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xdcab04…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0xc2dd47…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x9c52c1…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x780ca8…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6e8d3e…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5bbf16…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x5ac05e…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x479e01…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x30b977…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x2e751c…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	52	49¢	$25	0x21f905…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x0af0fe…
07-13 14:16:37	btc updown 5m 1783952100	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x067eb9…
07-13 14:11:25	btc updown 5m 1783951800	Down	BUY	422	36¢	$150	0xe43a13…
07-13 14:06:05	btc updown 5m 1783951500	Down	BUY	315	48¢	$150	0x45b857…
07-13 14:01:46	btc updown 5m 1783951200	Down	BUY	555	43¢	$238	0xd4eee2…
07-13 14:00:46	btc updown 5m 1783951200	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x2c0f02…
07-13 13:56:14	btc updown 5m 1783950900	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0x18398a…
07-13 13:54:25	btc updown 5m 1783950900	Down	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0xac4505…
07-13 13:46:43	btc updown 5m 1783950300	Down	BUY	117	30¢	$35	0x857e7e…
07-13 13:45:40	btc updown 5m 1783950300	Down	BUY	199	42¢	$84	0x160a37…
07-13 13:40:49	btc updown 5m 1783950000	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x90a538…
07-13 13:38:14	btc updown 5m 1783949700	Up	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x741fdb…
07-13 13:36:10	btc updown 5m 1783949700	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x301659…
07-13 13:32:41	btc updown 5m 1783949400	Down	BUY	90	7¢	$6	0xe0c214…
07-13 13:31:58	btc updown 5m 1783949400	Up	SELL	130	92¢	$119	0xa3732b…
07-13 13:30:52	btc updown 5m 1783949400	Up	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x37ac9d…
07-11 15:20:08	atp manas sachko 2026 07 11	Manoj Dhamne Manas	BUY	329	35¢	$115	0x21aa60…
07-11 14:22:58	atp virtane dietric 2026 07 11	Otto Virtanen	BUY	1,176	34¢	$400	0x831304…
07-11 13:12:38	atp doubles helipat arevpav 2026 07 11	Arevalo/Pavic	BUY	1,100	26¢	$286	0xd4ddce…
07-11 13:12:14	atp doubles helipat arevpav 2026 07 11	Arevalo/Pavic	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x6f34dc…
07-11 13:12:13	atp doubles helipat arevpav 2026 07 11	Arevalo/Pavic	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x7f1b8e…
07-11 11:17:44	atp michals hemery 2026 07 11	Daniel Michalski	BUY	602	25¢	$150	0x847521…
07-11 10:56:23	atp monteir herbert 2026 07 11	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x2d3ce6…
07-11 10:56:01	atp monteir herbert 2026 07 11	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	373	27¢	$100	0x86c451…
07-11 07:30:20	will anyone say rick 20 times during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838972	Yes	BUY	54	65¢	$35	0x306378…
07-11 00:17:02	will anyone say morty 20 times during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838973	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xa8cd52…
07-11 00:09:50	will anyone say summer 5 times during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838974	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xab74c5…
07-10 14:28:34	atp fery zverev 2026 07 10 set 3 winner Fery vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0xdb3abf…
07-10 05:14:19	will anyone say drug during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838979	Yes	BUY	44	55¢	$24	0x045687…
07-10 05:13:32	will anyone say chart during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838975	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x7ffc77…
07-10 05:12:52	will anyone say summer 5 times during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838974	Yes	BUY	73	45¢	$33	0x77c7ab…
07-10 05:12:32	will anyone say morty 20 times during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838973	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x75793f…
07-09 17:04:47	wta kostyuk noskova 2026 07 09	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	1,170	30¢	$350	0x41b5ba…
07-09 11:56:17	will anyone say rick 20 times during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838972	Yes	BUY	75	72¢	$54	0x92fa32…
07-09 11:31:13	will anyone say possible or impossible during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838984	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc8f46c…
07-09 09:50:52	will anyone say possible or impossible during rick and morty e8 s9 20260707143838984	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x6c8d52…
07-08 16:19:01	atp cobolli fery 2026 07 08	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	558	3¢	$15	0x526627…
07-08 16:07:47	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08 set totals 3pt5	Under 3.5	BUY	684	56¢	$383	0xd4ff73…
07-08 16:07:41	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08 set totals 3pt5	Under 3.5	BUY	102	56¢	$57	0xf06c23…
07-08 16:07:34	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08 set totals 3pt5	Under 3.5	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xe85ddc…
07-08 16:06:07	atp cobolli fery 2026 07 08	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x82711d…
07-08 16:03:07	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08 set 3 winner Fritz vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0xba869c…
07-08 16:03:07	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08 set 3 winner Fritz vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	50	55¢	$27	0x52dec4…
07-08 16:00:41	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08 set 3 winner Fritz vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	296	52¢	$154	0x36e5f7…
07-08 16:00:14	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08 set 3 winner Fritz vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x50685b…
07-08 16:00:13	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08 set 3 winner Fritz vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x0ac778…
07-08 16:00:10	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08 set 3 winner Fritz vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc85db5…
07-08 15:58:01	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08 set 3 winner Fritz vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6e74fc…
07-08 15:58:01	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08 set 3 winner Fritz vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2f1985…
07-08 15:56:22	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08	Taylor Fritz	SELL	1,351	11¢	$149	0x660a6d…
07-08 15:09:04	atp fritz zverev 2026 07 08	Taylor Fritz	BUY	1,351	37¢	$500	0x0f5ca3…
07-08 13:20:34	wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07 set 2 winner Kostyuk vs Paolini	Kostyuk	BUY	126	75¢	$94	0x22655d…
07-08 13:20:01	wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07 set 2 winner Kostyuk vs Paolini	Kostyuk	BUY	2,211	76¢	$1,683	0xfed037…
07-08 13:20:01	wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	300	10¢	$30	0xb373a9…
07-08 13:20:01	wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	204	10¢	$20	0x3492b5…
07-08 13:19:55	wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x252dde…
07-08 13:19:52	wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	395	10¢	$40	0xd47464…
07-08 12:43:46	wta noskova mertens 2026 07 08	Elise Mertens	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xbbe52c…
07-08 12:43:05	wta kostyuk paolini 2026 07 07	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	939	32¢	$300	0xfc294f…
07-07 19:23:23	will the announcers say scare or scared during the argentina vs egypt fifa world cup match 20260707021240078	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x80880d…
07-07 18:07:55	atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	Novak Djokovic	BUY	1,986	52¢	$1,033	0x6d3174…
07-07 15:15:01	wta osaka muchova 2026 07 07	Karolina Muchova	BUY	1,049	30¢	$315	0xbeb72b…
07-06 21:06:35	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x9b02e5…
07-06 20:55:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xbed0c5…
07-05 19:47:40	wta bencic gauff 2026 07 05	Belinda Bencic	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x57d1ea…
07-05 19:44:59	wta bencic gauff 2026 07 05	Belinda Bencic	BUY	2,078	47¢	$977	0xfcc9d7…
07-05 19:44:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	1,513	65¢	$983	0x6c1c70…
07-04 18:42:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	197	64¢	$126	0xc2f303…
07-04 17:51:56	atp dimitro berrett 2026 07 04	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	2,778	32¢	$889	0xa4f3a8…
07-04 17:51:23	atp dimitro berrett 2026 07 04	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	3,030	33¢	$1,000	0xac99ae…
07-04 17:44:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	2,440	79¢	$1,928	0xd3865d…
07-04 16:34:20	wta cirstea noskova 2026 07 04	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	2,264	41¢	$933	0xada130…
07-04 16:31:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,200	79¢	$948	0x480853…
07-04 16:29:16	wta anisimo keys 2026 07 04	Amanda Anisimova	BUY	3,026	31¢	$938	0x82d5ba…
07-04 16:28:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,213	79¢	$959	0x699e7f…
07-04 14:49:38	atp khachan cobolli 2026 07 04	Karen Khachanov	BUY	2,377	53¢	$1,258	0x8d39ac…
07-04 14:49:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,618	79¢	$1,278	0xacd4bd…
07-04 13:12:20	wta mertens rybakin 2026 07 04	Elena Rybakina	BUY	1,117	50¢	$558	0xaf267e…
07-04 13:11:50	Will Selena Gomez be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?	No	SELL	366	98¢	$359	0x0e9c72…
07-04 12:33:43	wta mertens rybakin 2026 07 04 set handicap away 1pt5	Rybakina	BUY	372	49¢	$182	0x7f8412…
07-04 12:33:26	wta mertens rybakin 2026 07 04 set handicap away 1pt5	Rybakina	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x28e22b…
07-04 12:33:22	wta mertens rybakin 2026 07 04 set handicap away 1pt5	Rybakina	BUY	525	49¢	$257	0xb151d8…
07-04 12:25:59	wta mertens rybakin 2026 07 04 set handicap away 1pt5	Rybakina	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb2945d…