Oval-Buying — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$684

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

1,697

Trades

4,569

lifetime

Volume

$42.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 10-27 10:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Other

85% 40% -$710

Crypto

15% 62% +$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?	12	$472	302	302	+0	No	+$33	06-27 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 25?	5	$411	331	331	+0	No	-$32	06-25 08:02
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?	13	$403	371	371	+0	No	-$2	06-27 10:44
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 29?	6	$400	209	209	-0	No	+$17	06-29 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 28?	4	$389	197	197	+0	No	+$4	06-28 04:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 4?	2	$383	200	200	+0	No	+$9	07-03 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 1?	4	$368	194	194	+0	No	+$18	07-01 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on July 9?	2	$366	189	189	+0	No	+$11	07-09 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?	5	$357	481	481	+0	No	-$43	06-24 07:24
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?	14	$321	275	275	-0	Yes	-$46	06-29 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?	4	$310	178	178	+0	No	+$4	06-24 08:15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?	12	$286	226	226	+0	Yes	+$38	07-27 09:44
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 8?	3	$281	142	142	-0	No	+$3	07-08 09:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?	2	$274	146	146	+0	Yes	+$15	07-02 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 29?	9	$266	233	233	+0	No	-$66	06-29 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 3?	3	$249	134	134	+0	No	+$15	07-03 05:51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 30?	3	$249	130	130	+0	No	+$8	06-30 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26?	3	$239	132	132	+0	No	+$23	06-26 05:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?	7	$239	131	131	+0	No	+$15	06-28 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 30?	3	$239	131	131	+0	No	+$23	06-30 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 2?	5	$234	136	136	+0	No	+$1	07-02 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?	4	$226	119	119	+0	No	+$11	06-27 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 14?	3	$208	105	105	+0	No	+$1	07-13 07:18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 25?	4	$208	108	108	+0	No	+$5	06-25 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 23?	4	$208	109	109	+0	No	+$4	06-23 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 23?	2	$202	102	102	+0	No	+$2	06-23 07:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?	7	$200	125	125	+0	No	+$9	06-26 03:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 25?	3	$200	115	100	+15	Yes	-$4	06-25 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on July 7?	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$3	07-07 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 8?	2	$195	100	100	+0	No	+$5	07-08 09:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 10:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfaf115…
10-27 10:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x01480a…
10-27 10:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x2132e6…
10-27 10:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x9141e2…
10-27 10:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x1c13d2…
10-27 09:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xb78182…
10-27 09:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x2787a6…
10-27 09:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x14b850…
10-27 05:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x4169f4…
10-27 05:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf58c29…
10-27 05:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x98d0ef…
10-27 05:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x79e657…
10-27 05:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x878a01…
10-23 10:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe63405…
10-23 10:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x9b2bed…
10-23 10:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xecc8fe…
10-23 09:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x49e9d3…
10-23 09:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xaefc3e…
10-23 09:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x8ff4f7…
10-23 09:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x7d8122…
10-23 09:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6e88d3…
10-23 09:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x71a18a…
10-23 09:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x672f5a…
10-23 09:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xaf91a3…
10-23 09:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xb35117…
10-23 09:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x8ad962…
10-23 09:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x8b507d…
10-23 09:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x902f1b…
10-23 09:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xea6319…
10-23 09:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xbfe693…
10-23 09:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x7f6404…
10-23 09:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x4060c3…
10-23 09:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xfaad40…
10-23 09:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xeae946…
10-23 09:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x70a191…
10-23 09:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xba4cdd…
10-23 09:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x54f0c7…
10-23 09:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x343049…
10-23 09:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xd981c7…
10-23 08:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x5921f3…
10-23 08:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x409c03…
10-23 08:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xabb098…
10-23 08:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x48ff57…
10-23 07:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xb05cfb…
10-23 07:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xf4be27…
10-23 07:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc65036…
10-23 07:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xd22558…
10-23 07:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xf8cc13…
10-23 07:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1f3d9c…
10-23 07:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x3c041a…
10-23 07:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc7a248…
10-23 07:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7c6bbf…
10-22 09:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x182d76…
10-22 09:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x86d949…
10-22 09:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xde88ba…
10-22 09:22:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-22 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x8f8f2b…
10-22 08:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x3260e2…
10-22 08:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc1926d…
10-22 08:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x6fee26…
10-22 08:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6548d6…
10-22 08:39:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xd1b96c…
10-22 08:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x425af6…
10-22 08:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0xd8983f…
10-22 08:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe7df08…
10-22 08:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x62fee6…
10-22 08:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x15cf55…
10-22 08:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x76c523…
10-22 08:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb7c289…
10-22 08:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x07367e…
10-22 08:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x22be67…
10-22 08:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x4cb01a…
10-22 08:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0xe261e5…
10-22 08:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb378d6…
10-22 08:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x669579…
10-22 07:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0x761265…
10-22 07:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x20eb16…
10-22 07:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xeb7643…
10-22 07:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xeec1d6…
10-22 07:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x09a427…
10-22 06:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa1a2cb…
10-22 06:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xd2977b…
10-22 06:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x72f1e8…
10-22 06:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x99cce3…
10-22 06:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5740bc…
10-22 06:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdc3083…
10-22 06:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x57bf8b…
10-22 06:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5aaa97…
10-22 06:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5c227b…
10-22 06:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x72c93b…
10-22 06:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf8c0f7…
10-22 06:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 23?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd5f90f…
10-21 10:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xc964dc…
10-21 10:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5cdfdb…
10-21 09:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	14	9¢	$1	0xa76ddb…
10-21 09:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x485a3b…
10-21 09:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc420f6…
10-21 09:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x3471ee…
10-21 09:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x560bbf…
10-21 09:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9eabcf…
10-21 09:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x9956d2…