Safe-Irony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$234

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

21,102

Trades

27,179

lifetime

Volume

$117.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-18 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 241 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 72% -$239

Politics

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 08:00 UTC	18	$126	129	0	+129	Up	+$3	01-05 08:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 22:35 UTC	48	$93	67	110	-43	Up	+$2	07-05 22:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 23:55 UTC	44	$87	70	101	-31	Up	+$1	07-05 23:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 05:25 UTC	39	$84	65	106	-41	Down	+$0	07-06 05:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:55 UTC	31	$73	55	89	-34	Up	-$4	07-06 03:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:50 UTC	37	$72	50	94	-44	Down	+$0	07-06 00:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 01:15 UTC	32	$69	40	90	-50	Down	+$1	07-06 01:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 01:05 UTC	33	$68	45	90	-45	Up	+$3	07-06 01:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 22:50 UTC	32	$67	43	90	-47	Up	-$1	07-05 22:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:55 UTC	32	$66	40	90	-50	Up	+$2	07-06 02:58
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$65	72	72	+0	Yes	+$5	02-08 08:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 20:10 UTC	29	$65	40	85	-45	Up	-$1	07-05 20:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 05:50 UTC	25	$61	35	85	-50	Up	+$1	07-06 05:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 22:05 UTC	29	$61	35	82	-47	Down	+$3	07-05 22:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 00:30 UTC	2	$60	81	0	+81	Down	-$19	07-20 00:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:00 UTC	2	$60	75	0	+75	Down	-$22	07-20 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 00:20 UTC	28	$59	35	80	-45	Down	+$4	07-06 00:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 05:15 UTC	29	$58	35	75	-40	Down	+$3	07-06 05:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 20:45 UTC	29	$58	35	80	-45	Up	+$3	07-05 20:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 05:20 UTC	28	$57	40	70	-30	Up	+$1	07-06 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:20 UTC	23	$56	35	77	-42	Down	$0	07-06 03:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 02:15 UTC	29	$56	35	80	-45	Up	-$2	07-06 02:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 04:45 UTC	24	$56	30	80	-50	Up	$0	07-06 04:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 01:55 UTC	30	$55	30	79	-49	Down	$0	07-06 01:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 20:30 UTC	25	$54	30	70	-40	Up	+$1	07-05 20:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:25 UTC	24	$54	30	75	-45	Down	+$3	07-06 03:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 03:00 UTC	25	$54	45	58	-13	Up	-$8	07-06 03:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 21:25 UTC	25	$53	28	75	-47	Up	+$3	07-05 21:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 20:55 UTC	25	$52	25	75	-50	Down	+$1	07-05 20:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 01:20 UTC	25	$51	35	65	-30	Down	+$2	07-06 01:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 02:43:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-18 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0xc9d4b7…
10-18 02:43:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x2389f0…
10-17 20:42:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x99aa9b…
10-17 20:41:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xd1c061…
10-17 19:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc7fb86…
10-17 19:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x796724…
10-16 22:56:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	52	43¢	$22	0x8cea2a…
10-16 22:56:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	49	59¢	$29	0x0d025e…
10-16 02:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	59	21¢	$13	0xec85d2…
10-14 23:43:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	61	56¢	$34	0x9914cc…
10-13 17:44:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xda80d0…
10-13 17:44:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-13 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0xb81d36…
10-12 00:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0x35415c…
10-12 00:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xb2ab03…
10-11 21:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0xd6cede…
10-11 21:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	61	55¢	$34	0xb61c05…
10-11 07:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xdf2b21…
10-11 07:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	40¢	$24	0xe948b6…
10-10 23:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x7c3ec2…
10-10 23:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0xb59ea5…
10-10 15:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	52	76¢	$39	0x658450…
10-10 15:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	48	15¢	$7	0x9a0a7f…
10-10 15:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xd5b1eb…
10-10 15:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	59	65¢	$38	0x402790…
10-07 14:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	68¢	$17	0x2a1a63…
10-07 14:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	31¢	$8	0x4e93fa…
10-07 13:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x7eac72…
10-07 13:11:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xd11115…
10-06 22:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7bea9e…
10-05 22:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0xb51f71…
10-05 22:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xeeef71…
10-04 09:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 09:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x6a6829…
10-01 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0xa15e8b…
10-01 23:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xd93a23…
10-01 23:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	64¢	$34	0x439290…
10-01 15:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0x3162c9…
09-27 18:10:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 18:10 UTC	Up	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x89abe2…
09-27 18:10:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-27 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x0723f3…
09-26 13:11:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	58	8¢	$4	0x2a8472…
09-26 13:11:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	56	64¢	$36	0x1d79f8…
09-26 12:58:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	84¢	$11	0x090f77…
09-26 06:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x62de99…
09-26 06:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xc79c33…
09-24 04:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	86¢	$18	0xa0b2a7…
09-24 04:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0x81f9eb…
09-23 02:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x086dd2…
09-23 02:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x3029e3…
09-18 19:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x1e19e3…
09-18 19:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x62d33d…
09-16 11:58:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	28	26¢	$7	0x0131b0…
09-14 10:41:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x7cf3b3…
09-14 10:41:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-14 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	41	62¢	$26	0x6d6422…
09-14 03:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xef626e…
09-14 03:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8f9ae5…
09-14 01:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0x5c966e…
09-14 01:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x2b4b4f…
09-13 03:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0xac187a…
09-13 00:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	10¢	$5	0xe22c0d…
09-13 00:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	41	80¢	$33	0x148ddc…
09-10 19:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	42	84¢	$36	0x6e33d5…
09-10 19:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	16¢	$7	0x19fe8d…
09-10 10:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	65¢	$26	0xbc825e…
09-10 10:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	30¢	$12	0x880888…
09-09 01:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	33¢	$8	0xe32577…
09-09 01:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0x76cbe1…
09-07 21:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	51¢	$13	0x5b8929…
09-07 21:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	43¢	$11	0x2d74eb…
09-07 05:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xfa5988…
09-07 05:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0xd30d69…
09-07 04:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x57d25a…
09-07 04:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0xccf2ea…
09-07 03:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xddb129…
09-07 03:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x9a522d…
09-05 22:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x741469…
09-05 06:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	80¢	$19	0xecfe10…
09-05 06:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x450b2f…
09-01 12:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xaa1eba…
09-01 12:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x305012…
08-31 18:29:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 18:25 UTC	Down	BUY	21	35¢	$7	0xe784fa…
08-31 18:28:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xe012b3…
08-31 04:40:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x8b629c…
08-31 04:40:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x069677…
08-30 05:56:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	26¢	$6	0xeb4ee3…
08-30 05:56:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0xe890d8…
08-29 17:12:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0xcf0cbd…
08-29 17:12:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x805162…
08-29 02:10:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x97abf1…
08-29 02:10:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x9dfcff…
08-27 22:55:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0xa33b1b…
08-27 22:55:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0xb1cc2e…
08-27 22:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0x9b9111…
08-27 22:42:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0x1a26b3…
08-24 07:55:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-24 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xb8fb06…
08-24 07:55:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x03230e…
08-23 17:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xb61a09…
08-23 17:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x954d45…
08-23 16:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x714422…
08-23 16:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x03396c…
08-22 22:27:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x1276e2…
08-22 22:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x34abba…