Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$154

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

$324

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-21 16:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

65% 80% -$175

Other

25% 100% +$10

Politics

9% 100% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-110	-$101	98¢	$-108	-$7	07-21 08:49
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	-118	-$91	76¢	$-90	+$1	07-20 08:46
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-70	-$69	98¢	$-68	+$0	07-21 08:49
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	-43	-$40	96¢	$-41	-$1	05-19 19:03
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-130	-$34	12¢	$-16	+$18	07-14 07:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	11	$919	465	465	+0	No	+$0	01-21 12:17
Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	7	$806	407	407	+0	No	+$0	02-01 14:27
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	6	$754	380	380	+0	No	+$1	03-28 13:29
will ethereum dip to 2600 january 19 25	2	$648	340	340	+0	No	+$0	01-21 15:16
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	13	$565	242	337	-95	No	-$2	03-15 01:47
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	2	$538	271	271	+0	No	+$0	07-21 16:44
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	3	$501	344	344	+0	Yes	-$177	01-30 02:41
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$493	260	260	+0	Yes	+$1	01-15 13:32
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	2	$490	250	250	+0	No	+$0	01-13 15:36
Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	3	$480	246	246	+0	No	+$0	01-22 08:37
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	1	$445	449	0	+449	No	+$4	01-07 13:00
Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$398	400	0	+400	No	+$2	02-04 07:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$318	329	0	+329	No	+$11	03-31 02:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$299	150	150	+0	No	+$0	03-05 07:14
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	3	$298	100	200	-100	No	-$1	03-01 13:09
will the fed cutcutpause in the next three decisions octdecjan	4	$298	160	160	+0	Yes	+$1	01-13 13:28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	2	$283	145	145	+0	No	+$2	04-08 12:37
will bitcoin dip to 86k january 19 25	1	$252	255	0	+255	No	+$3	01-26 03:32
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$230	117	117	+0	No	+$0	03-16 20:04
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	4	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-24 14:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$1	02-12 02:50
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$187	94	94	+0	No	+$0	03-20 05:47
will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	+$0	03-27 10:11
will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	2	$178	90	90	+0	No	+$0	03-04 16:19
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$176	90	90	+0	No	+$0	02-05 10:47
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$174	90	90	+0	No	+$1	02-01 14:33
Trove FDV above $80M one day after launch?	3	$156	80	80	+0	No	+$0	01-16 01:12
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	2	$155	80	80	+0	No	+$0	02-05 08:52
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$147	77	77	+0	No	+$0	01-13 15:08
Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$133	68	68	+0	No	+$0	02-04 12:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 16:44:43	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	271	99¢	$269	0x6036f9…
07-21 08:49:21	MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xcbaa87…
07-21 08:49:13	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	70	98¢	$69	0x396331…
07-21 08:49:07	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	110	92¢	$101	0x38ffc2…
07-20 08:46:42	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	107	77¢	$82	0xe64c22…
07-14 17:16:13	Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	11	77¢	$9	0xbb871c…
07-14 11:14:44	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	271	99¢	$269	0xa2e33d…
07-14 07:59:29	Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	130	26¢	$34	0x25ca55…
05-19 19:03:19	Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	43	94¢	$40	0xfa2bf8…
04-08 12:37:59	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	SELL	145	98¢	$142	0x833212…
04-07 02:43:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0x1e68e6…
03-31 07:08:49	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x66f159…
03-31 02:20:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	329	97¢	$318	0xa4a6db…
03-28 13:29:35	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0xe6dac3…
03-27 10:11:55	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xcf9dbe…
03-24 14:13:13	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x955650…
03-24 14:13:05	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x4bbab3…
03-24 13:49:29	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x38f1a6…
03-23 07:31:49	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x5a88ac…
03-20 05:47:21	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xdf8dc3…
03-20 05:45:57	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x46c755…
03-19 02:40:47	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x749d09…
03-16 20:04:35	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	117	98¢	$115	0x766108…
03-16 07:59:13	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	117	98¢	$115	0x3ed2a2…
03-15 01:47:49	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xcd0c4b…
03-15 01:47:43	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$28	0x3d1130…
03-15 01:46:03	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x2475ff…
03-09 17:42:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x3b7e17…
03-08 12:19:17	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0xa4691a…
03-07 09:11:15	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x5d629c…
03-07 07:33:57	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x28ef09…
03-07 06:15:39	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0xe3e285…
03-07 04:49:45	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xd9adf8…
03-07 04:46:09	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x1d33de…
03-05 07:49:19	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0xa9472e…
03-05 07:48:49	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xca4e94…
03-05 07:14:37	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x7e75a5…
03-04 16:19:59	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x241fe5…
03-02 07:43:51	will bnb reach 900 in march	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x8bacd6…
03-02 07:43:05	will ethereum dip to 600 in march 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc2b85a…
03-02 07:42:45	will bitcoin dip to 35k in march 2026	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x755748…
03-01 13:09:41	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xbdc6b2…
03-01 03:35:45	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xdd9e82…
03-01 01:55:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	150	100¢	$149	0xddb96c…
03-01 01:55:05	Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x489441…
03-01 01:54:27	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x228506…
03-01 01:53:49	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x96b5d0…
03-01 01:53:37	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x67748c…
02-12 02:50:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x63b171…
02-12 02:17:45	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xfe5fbc…
02-12 01:24:15	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x55ee87…
02-11 23:06:01	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	47	93¢	$43	0xe703b9…
02-11 21:24:33	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x9aad14…
02-07 01:28:29	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	70	92¢	$64	0x641af0…
02-05 10:47:51	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0xe8ccff…
02-05 08:52:03	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	SELL	80	97¢	$77	0x9b227c…
02-05 07:37:01	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0x90b72c…
02-05 07:36:33	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	80	97¢	$77	0x90bbe1…
02-04 12:24:10	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	60	97¢	$59	0x095285…
02-04 08:07:36	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xcd4a49…
02-04 07:56:00	Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$398	0x3f79a7…
02-04 07:55:26	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xc0ce95…
02-04 07:55:00	Space FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x54c1ae…
02-01 14:33:10	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	97¢	$87	0x72fc6f…
02-01 14:27:48	Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	53	99¢	$53	0x1dabfd…
02-01 14:15:12	Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	145	99¢	$144	0xa4cad9…
02-01 14:13:00	Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$104	0xd9d787…
02-01 14:09:36	Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xbcb9f5…
01-30 14:16:54	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	85	97¢	$83	0x18df9f…
01-30 02:41:06	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	340	47¢	$160	0xffc73d…
01-30 02:01:10	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x1ef074…
01-29 08:07:54	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	BUY	344	98¢	$339	0xea33ed…
01-26 03:32:06	will bitcoin dip to 86k january 19 25	No	BUY	255	99¢	$252	0x7bb650…
01-22 08:37:30	Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	41	98¢	$40	0xd7ddde…
01-22 07:51:32	Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	205	98¢	$200	0xcf5565…
01-22 07:16:16	Sentient FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	246	98¢	$240	0x3b27a8…
01-22 07:15:52	Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	330	99¢	$328	0x768038…
01-21 15:16:36	will ethereum dip to 2600 january 19 25	No	SELL	340	95¢	$324	0x860e8f…
01-21 12:17:32	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x56913a…
01-21 12:15:36	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x66d767…
01-21 12:14:18	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x429ba9…
01-21 11:58:16	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x26f6a2…
01-21 11:55:18	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x3a29d8…
01-21 11:41:54	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x880a0c…
01-21 11:33:44	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	SELL	160	99¢	$158	0x997f38…
01-21 11:26:18	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9d487d…
01-21 11:20:44	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	BUY	345	99¢	$341	0x0e81f1…
01-21 11:20:20	will ethereum dip to 2600 january 19 25	No	BUY	340	95¢	$324	0xbba257…
01-16 20:33:28	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x40c465…
01-16 14:59:18	Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x986efd…
01-16 01:12:52	Trove FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0xce9c44…
01-15 21:33:02	Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	77	97¢	$75	0x356e83…
01-15 13:32:34	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	260	95¢	$247	0x2d3e67…
01-15 12:56:30	Trove FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x8643d0…
01-15 12:37:42	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x263e55…
01-15 12:37:18	Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0xe0dbf0…
01-15 12:37:14	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	260	95¢	$246	0x584cbe…
01-15 12:36:56	Trove FDV above $80M one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	97¢	$78	0x32494c…
01-13 15:36:49	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	No	SELL	250	98¢	$245	0xe42ee5…
01-13 15:08:33	Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	77	96¢	$74	0xf23604…