Self-Assured-Guide — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.59K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

4,154

Trades

16,538

lifetime

Volume

$93.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 09-11 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 54% -$1,519

Other

1% 31% -$76

Politics

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 542 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7AM ET	92	$768	884	528	+356	Down	+$24	05-15 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	109	$719	753	458	+295	Up	-$2	05-15 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET	143	$675	735	653	+82	Down	-$90	05-15 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4PM ET	108	$665	767	508	+259	Down	-$12	05-15 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	85	$636	912	451	+461	Down	-$62	05-11 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	5	$630	323	323	+0	Up	+$10	05-01 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	114	$616	811	581	+230	Down	+$11	05-11 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET	89	$533	536	312	+223	Up	+$43	05-15 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET	52	$515	522	477	+45	Up	+$36	05-11 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	7	$470	498	358	+140	Up	-$230	05-01 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9AM ET	46	$468	368	288	+80	Down	+$6	05-15 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET	50	$451	497	197	+301	Down	+$30	05-15 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1PM ET	49	$433	535	163	+372	Up	+$18	05-15 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	3	$419	221	221	+0	Up	+$19	05-01 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	41	$410	357	194	+163	Up	+$24	05-15 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	3	$405	207	207	+0	Up	+$5	05-01 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8AM ET	53	$380	409	303	+105	Down	+$3	05-15 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	5	$365	472	93	+379	Up	-$60	05-01 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4AM ET	113	$363	583	198	+385	Up	+$0	05-16 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	4	$351	869	661	+208	Down	-$41	05-01 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6PM ET	21	$349	405	405	+0	Up	+$29	05-11 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$347	445	196	+249	Up	-$4	05-01 13:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 14:45 UTC	54	$299	368	206	+162	Down	-$93	08-31 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	42	$290	452	333	+119	Down	+$20	05-11 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	48	$288	305	187	+118	Down	+$38	05-11 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	37	$277	419	76	+343	Up	-$4	05-11 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	44	$270	360	174	+186	Up	+$25	05-11 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$250	327	0	+327	Down	+$77	05-01 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$250	267	0	+267	Up	+$17	05-01 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	19	$242	259	0	+259	Down	+$18	04-30 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 22:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	73	3¢	$2	0x4640dd…
09-11 22:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x0d0a82…
09-11 22:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x108b94…
09-11 21:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x296f85…
09-11 21:57:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xf8ed7b…
09-11 21:54:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x4db8cc…
09-11 20:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xe8ed93…
09-11 20:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x9e5c26…
09-11 20:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x225088…
09-11 18:48:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x2db0dc…
09-11 16:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0x9776af…
09-11 16:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x7eedf1…
09-11 16:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4fa934…
09-11 16:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0x62326d…
09-11 16:14:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x40d9ef…
09-11 16:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xd20d1b…
09-11 15:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x20be70…
09-11 15:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0xfb1f72…
09-11 15:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xf5bd8d…
09-11 15:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xce053e…
09-11 15:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xff5570…
09-11 15:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x53445b…
09-11 15:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x01962f…
09-11 15:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x26bae5…
09-11 10:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xf5f0b6…
09-11 10:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xbb2a37…
09-11 10:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	31	30¢	$9	0xd132bf…
09-11 10:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xfce92c…
09-11 08:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xfff2e9…
09-11 08:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x4d9009…
09-11 08:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xb96d85…
09-11 08:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xadc4f6…
09-11 08:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$10	0x6e5818…
09-11 08:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc15fa1…
09-11 08:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0xf07087…
09-11 08:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xe3452e…
09-10 21:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x4de769…
09-10 21:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x5ab2c6…
09-10 20:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x87c60b…
09-10 20:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf6221f…
09-10 20:44:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xf4551b…
09-10 20:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0x87face…
09-10 20:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xcd4ef0…
09-10 20:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x06340a…
09-10 20:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x5713dd…
09-10 20:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x8791c7…
09-10 20:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x79bdea…
09-10 20:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd3cbe6…
09-10 20:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xd3ebe2…
09-10 20:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xad45d6…
09-10 20:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x60b3f2…
09-10 20:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0xa981b6…
09-10 20:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xd8652c…
09-10 19:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x940088…
09-10 19:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x5efd12…
09-10 19:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x80639b…
09-10 19:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x78e5db…
09-10 19:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe156c2…
09-10 19:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdeb431…
09-10 19:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x15ac73…
09-10 19:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc60c65…
09-10 19:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb9bd24…
09-10 19:31:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xf677b5…
09-10 19:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x1cc145…
09-10 19:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x418293…
09-10 19:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xd2b2de…
09-10 19:29:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbeed8f…
09-10 19:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x4c6fab…
09-10 19:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x671203…
09-10 19:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc101c1…
09-10 12:13:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x28331d…
09-10 12:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x1e603c…
09-10 12:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xce1008…
09-10 12:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcc42df…
09-10 12:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xc215b1…
09-10 12:06:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x96230c…
09-10 12:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x28e291…
09-10 12:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x38ff06…
09-10 12:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7cb8c6…
09-10 11:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcbcf54…
09-10 11:59:39	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x94117a…
09-10 11:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x468372…
09-10 11:54:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x2be347…
09-10 11:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xf43957…
09-10 11:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x074e40…
09-10 11:49:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x84315b…
09-10 11:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x777f2b…
09-10 11:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe29946…
09-10 11:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xaf6cae…
09-10 11:39:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1d6414…
09-10 11:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x59b923…
09-10 11:39:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x296bc0…
09-10 11:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x45192e…
09-10 11:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xff5353…
09-10 11:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x259172…
09-10 11:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc6fc71…
09-10 11:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfdd7d0…
09-10 11:24:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa9fb3b…
09-10 11:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x28c1e4…
09-10 11:15:15	Ethereum Up or Down - September 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x94ac10…