Common-Affect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.1%

Resolved

1,316

Trades

5,233

lifetime

Volume

$393.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 10-14 10:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

85% 77% -$5,910

Crypto

8% 37% +$326

Politics

6% 80% +$464

Sports

0% 67% +$28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$19.4K	10,449	10,449	+0	No	+$1,360	03-28 05:20
highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 23corhigher	4	$10.9K	11,037	0	+11,037	No	+$137	03-30 08:09
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	2	$10.3K	5,696	5,696	+0	No	+$263	03-04 02:32
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 21c	7	$10.2K	10,601	0	+10,601	Yes	-$2,459	04-01 07:35
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 21c	4	$9.5K	9,517	0	+9,517	Yes	+$17	03-28 09:02
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 18c	4	$9.0K	9,100	0	+9,100	No	+$56	04-03 04:42
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 23c	2	$6.0K	6,030	0	+6,030	No	+$22	04-02 07:25
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 29 2026 27c	30	$5.4K	5,446	220	+5,226	Yes	+$142	03-29 07:47
highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 22c	1	$5.0K	5,012	0	+5,012	Yes	+$12	04-02 07:25
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 22 2026 28c	2	$4.9K	4,920	0	+4,920	No	+$33	03-22 10:30
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$4.7K	4,695	0	+4,695	No	+$19	03-02 08:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 23 2026 26c	3	$4.6K	4,547	1,535	+3,013	Yes	-$1,377	03-23 08:41
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	1	$4.5K	4,676	0	+4,676	No	+$128	03-01 14:18
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$4.2K	4,317	0	+4,317	No	+$104	03-04 12:45
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 26 2026 29c	5	$3.8K	3,815	447	+3,368	Yes	-$394	03-26 09:22
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 22c	15	$3.6K	3,363	337	+3,025	No	+$47	04-01 03:28
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 28 2026 28c	2	$2.9K	2,862	0	+2,862	Yes	+$3	03-28 09:08
highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 22c	4	$2.8K	2,834	0	+2,834	Yes	+$34	03-30 08:07
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 25 2026 28c	6	$2.6K	2,673	0	+2,673	Yes	+$93	03-25 09:23
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 17c	11	$2.5K	1,736	839	+897	No	+$33	04-01 01:59
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 20c	2	$2.4K	2,424	0	+2,424	No	+$10	03-29 07:53
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 29 2026 29c	15	$2.4K	2,537	0	+2,537	No	+$163	03-29 06:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 27c	6	$2.3K	2,324	0	+2,324	Yes	+$24	03-24 11:31
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 13?	7	$2.2K	1,136	1,136	+0	No	+$35	06-13 04:40
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 27 2026 29c	6	$2.1K	2,204	0	+2,204	No	+$85	03-27 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 29?	7	$2.1K	1,073	1,073	+0	No	+$84	06-29 06:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28?	2	$2.0K	2,108	0	+2,108	No	-$46	05-28 13:24
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 16c	1	$2.0K	2,104	0	+2,104	No	-$2,000	04-03 04:39
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 11?	7	$2.0K	2,028	0	+2,028	Yes	+$40	06-11 04:14
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on May 7?	6	$2.0K	2,025	0	+2,025	No	+$45	05-07 03:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 10:27:08	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 15?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa25884…
10-14 00:55:54	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 14?	No	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0x65d980…
10-13 14:13:35	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 14?	No	BUY	52	95¢	$50	0xf5740d…
10-13 14:13:20	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 14?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf92d95…
10-12 14:25:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 13?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x6dcdd9…
10-12 14:24:29	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 13?	No	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0x488444…
08-08 23:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x960856…
08-08 23:39:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$1	0xe3f951…
08-08 23:39:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x7f36a7…
08-08 23:39:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	72	51¢	$37	0xa0e964…
08-08 23:34:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:35 UTC	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x26c31c…
08-08 23:33:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x12829d…
07-25 00:28:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x360639…
07-24 19:15:00	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x271a05…
07-24 15:38:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	538	93¢	$500	0x85fc8b…
07-24 15:37:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 24?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xc0f182…
07-24 15:37:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$350	0xd2c7ef…
07-24 15:05:22	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 25?	No	BUY	219	91¢	$200	0x7467db…
07-24 14:54:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xf05ab7…
07-24 13:55:37	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 25?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x4d13e6…
07-24 11:55:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 25?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xeb07bf…
07-24 07:25:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	71	98¢	$70	0x14f8f8…
07-24 07:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf000d1…
07-24 07:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	61	98¢	$60	0x0912b5…
07-24 07:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xfd8670…
07-24 07:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0xd07753…
07-24 07:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x8801b7…
07-24 07:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 24?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xfe17d9…
07-24 06:06:57	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x7d3736…
07-24 04:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 24?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xabcaf4…
07-24 03:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x751ad8…
07-23 20:29:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	84	84¢	$70	0x2d1aeb…
07-23 13:39:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	82	14¢	$11	0xd0d337…
07-23 13:39:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x7da23b…
07-23 13:32:24	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xb2d4a0…
07-23 12:43:03	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0xb8adea…
07-23 12:15:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 24?	No	BUY	276	72¢	$200	0x1ebe6b…
07-23 06:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on July 23?	No	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x9bde13…
07-22 16:13:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0xce9896…
07-22 10:24:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0xc84138…
07-22 05:37:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	300	10¢	$30	0xf10e5c…
07-22 05:25:24	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 22?	No	BUY	54	87¢	$47	0x6462c1…
07-22 04:56:45	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	12	87¢	$11	0x42c785…
07-22 04:22:51	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0x8b88b7…
07-22 04:22:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	227	89¢	$201	0x0cd279…
07-22 03:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 22?	No	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xdb20e7…
07-22 03:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 22?	No	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0xd2a36c…
07-22 03:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 22?	No	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xdf94d9…
07-22 03:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 22?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x0c4dae…
07-22 00:37:25	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0xf628a0…
07-21 16:31:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xdd2430…
07-21 16:30:54	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 22?	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0xd07703…
07-21 16:28:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 22?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x00d9e6…
07-21 13:28:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	201	2¢	$4	0x458c51…
07-21 13:14:52	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xc7d29b…
07-21 12:31:54	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xd30f47…
07-21 12:28:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xcb5f49…
07-21 12:26:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 21?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x028539…
07-21 12:24:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf7acf0…
07-21 12:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 21?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xf62fbe…
07-21 12:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 21?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x5b8dea…
07-21 12:22:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	SELL	205	100¢	$205	0xbe5262…
07-21 12:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 21?	No	SELL	306	100¢	$306	0x8364f9…
07-21 11:07:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$45	0x945afb…
07-21 11:06:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 21?	No	SELL	70	38¢	$27	0x6a07a7…
07-21 09:48:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xf8d43c…
07-21 09:17:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 21?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xa859cf…
07-21 06:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xe93c72…
07-21 05:24:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbe1a89…
07-21 05:07:54	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	91	2¢	$1	0x7f3698…
07-21 04:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x4d060a…
07-21 04:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x618f9c…
07-21 04:51:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	85	88¢	$75	0x0b3b50…
07-21 03:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xce5066…
07-21 02:57:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa81cbc…
07-21 02:26:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa12d74…
07-21 00:54:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x594596…
07-21 00:54:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 21?	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x7c9891…
07-21 00:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xa12751…
07-21 00:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xbcf05e…
07-20 10:44:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xc512e8…
07-20 10:43:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x8a9668…
07-20 10:35:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	36	91¢	$33	0xd04bf6…
07-20 05:31:58	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xf685e7…
07-20 05:31:12	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	91	7¢	$6	0xd35cc2…
07-20 05:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x33ae5f…
07-20 05:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0x269ae7…
07-20 05:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?	No	SELL	89	17¢	$15	0x85e37a…
07-20 04:53:31	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 20?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xeaf4d5…
07-20 04:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x8f2023…
07-20 04:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 20?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0xa2bcef…
07-20 04:06:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	163	8¢	$13	0x459000…
07-20 03:56:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xe80693…
07-20 02:19:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x80b83a…
07-20 02:08:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x35d330…
07-20 02:03:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xa2fded…
07-20 01:33:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xf22ef4…
07-20 00:36:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xc5c237…
07-19 14:07:27	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 20?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xc14fe0…
07-19 13:37:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 20?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8f7d2f…