Quiet-Declaration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

341

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-20 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

59% 50% $-8

Crypto

41% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba den phi 2026 01 05	4	$79	75	75	+0	open	—	01-06 03:54
nba tor lal 2026 01 18	4	$75	98	36	+62	open	—	01-19 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	5	$57	69	63	+6	open	—	05-20 05:49
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$57	82	82	+0	Cavaliers	+$21	05-14 02:04
nba min hou 2026 01 16	3	$55	59	34	+25	open	—	01-17 04:55
nba uta gsw 2026 01 03	2	$53	36	36	+0	open	—	01-04 04:53
nba sas ind 2026 01 02	4	$53	67	34	+33	open	—	01-03 01:42
bitcoin above 94k on january 6	4	$53	53	53	+0	open	—	01-06 15:22
nba por sas 2026 01 03	4	$48	84	42	+43	open	—	01-04 02:50
nba nyk sas 2025 12 31	2	$41	28	28	+0	open	—	01-01 02:44
nba dal sac 2026 01 06	4	$41	35	35	+0	open	—	01-07 06:40
nba mem lal 2026 01 04	4	$40	35	35	+0	open	—	01-05 04:57
nba atl nyk 2026 01 02	2	$39	30	30	+0	open	—	01-03 02:22
nba lal nop 2026 01 06	2	$39	28	28	+0	open	—	01-07 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	7	$39	70	46	+23	open	—	05-20 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	6	$37	41	41	+0	open	—	05-20 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$37	32	32	+0	open	—	05-20 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	4	$36	49	49	+0	open	—	05-20 03:25
nba cle ind 2026 01 06	2	$36	24	24	+0	open	—	01-07 02:09
nba phx hou 2026 01 05	2	$35	37	37	+0	open	—	01-06 02:41
nba okc mem 2026 01 09	3	$32	36	36	+0	open	—	01-10 03:30
nba den bos 2026 01 07	2	$32	33	33	+0	open	—	01-08 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$32	32	32	+0	open	—	05-20 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$30	37	29	+8	open	—	05-20 05:29
nba was mil 2025 12 31	4	$29	29	29	+0	open	—	01-01 03:25
nba phi orl 2026 01 09	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	01-10 02:01
nba hou dal 2026 01 03	2	$26	63	0	+63	open	—	01-04 02:55
nba mia det 2026 01 01	4	$26	55	22	+33	open	—	01-02 01:43
nba okc mia 2026 01 17	3	$25	30	23	+8	open	—	01-18 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	5	$24	25	25	+0	open	—	05-20 04:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6bedf7…
05-20 13:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xf7ac93…
05-20 13:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8f579d…
05-20 13:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4d69ba…
05-20 13:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x16fdb1…
05-20 13:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5e11d9…
05-20 12:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xda454d…
05-20 12:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbf4dfa…
05-20 12:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x466bb6…
05-20 12:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x5ca2e1…
05-20 12:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x8e5f77…
05-20 12:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc10773…
05-20 12:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	17	50¢	$8	0xa5ff6e…
05-20 12:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xaf5f71…
05-20 12:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xcfa7ca…
05-20 12:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xa21f87…
05-20 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x99652f…
05-20 12:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0x7a16e4…
05-20 12:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x2f03b0…
05-20 12:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x27d73a…
05-20 12:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x4817ad…
05-20 12:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xbf2daf…
05-20 12:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe3c040…
05-20 11:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1841af…
05-20 11:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$5	0x29553d…
05-20 11:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf3b455…
05-20 09:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	29	15¢	$4	0xed92c3…
05-20 09:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x9bae2f…
05-20 08:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcdf7e4…
05-20 08:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x83e9ce…
05-20 08:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x743b75…
05-20 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0x3fdca3…
05-20 08:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0ddf3f…
05-20 08:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	69¢	$7	0xee69b1…
05-20 08:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0xd04b13…
05-20 07:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x645a21…
05-20 07:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x35bdc4…
05-20 07:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	59¢	$8	0x8b3b9f…
05-20 07:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x62cfcb…
05-20 07:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x06990a…
05-20 07:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x079a54…
05-20 07:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x21bc97…
05-20 07:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xd001b4…
05-20 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	46¢	$6	0xb2f0a8…
05-20 07:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x155232…
05-20 07:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0ae61d…
05-20 07:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3cc479…
05-20 07:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x21d200…
05-20 07:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x9ee1df…
05-20 07:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe6b606…
05-20 07:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x3b4756…
05-20 07:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xbe006c…
05-20 07:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x872fc0…
05-20 07:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xe7ac9b…
05-20 07:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7dab69…
05-20 07:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x698f21…
05-20 07:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x607010…
05-20 07:21:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0b361a…
05-20 07:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	23	41¢	$9	0xb6e614…
05-20 07:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5b6609…
05-20 07:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xb9b8eb…
05-20 07:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0xb4b528…
05-20 07:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x10f0a7…
05-20 07:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0x26dc01…
05-20 07:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x3888d6…
05-20 07:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x996ded…
05-20 07:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x6a6234…
05-20 07:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0x279a14…
05-20 07:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x4a9125…
05-20 06:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x252ffb…
05-20 06:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xcb28c3…
05-20 06:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x0560b1…
05-20 06:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xfc534f…
05-20 06:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x90992b…
05-20 06:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x3040a5…
05-20 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	81	18¢	$15	0xdeafad…
05-20 06:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x97aa97…
05-20 06:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x72c0ff…
05-20 06:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1de46c…
05-20 06:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xa533fa…
05-20 06:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x555d1a…
05-20 06:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x4cc84f…
05-20 06:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x476a90…
05-20 05:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x5414d9…
05-20 05:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x1352d8…
05-20 05:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xb80b51…
05-20 05:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xa01df5…
05-20 05:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0xea0154…
05-20 05:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xd05a4f…
05-20 05:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x0fc487…
05-20 05:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xea19a7…
05-20 05:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x3ffa3b…
05-20 05:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x2c339e…
05-20 05:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x896747…
05-20 05:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	18	69¢	$12	0xa662ae…
05-20 05:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0ac807…
05-20 05:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0x7b91b5…
05-20 05:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0x3dd287…
05-20 05:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x8d7f4e…
05-20 05:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x335d76…