Incredible-Timber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

3,199

Trades

3,311

lifetime

Volume

$32.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-27 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 256 days

Categories

Other

82% 98% +$9

Sports

14% 100% +$5

Crypto

3% 98% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	3	$30	20	10	+10	No	+$0	03-08 22:14
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Under	$0	03-22 01:13
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$0	02-11 10:15
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 1.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	06-01 04:48
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:02
lol ig1 omg 2026 02 11 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	Invictus Gaming	+$0	02-11 11:25
val fsnx nsb 2026 02 19 map handicap home 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	FUSION X	+$0	02-19 11:18
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 25?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-25 02:08
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:14
Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	2	$20	20	0	+20	Brandon Nakashima	+$0	10-22 20:15
Valorant: Asterisk vs No Salary Peek (BO3) - VCL South Asia: Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	Asterisk	+$0	05-27 17:22
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:00
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game1	2	$20	10	10	+0	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	+$0	02-10 14:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-29 22:14
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-05 08:55
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	4	$20	10	10	+0	The Otter Side	+$0	05-25 18:11
Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2	$20	20	0	+20	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	+$0	10-24 14:16
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-23 15:37
lol hle drxc 2026 02 10 game2	2	$20	10	10	+0	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	+$0	02-10 14:50
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 2.5	4	$20	10	10	+0	Over	+$0	05-30 04:48
chris moneymaker 20260707142702023	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:33
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	05-31 04:48
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-12 23:04
Notre Dame vs. BYU	2	$20	20	0	+20	BYU	+$0	10-18 03:35
val rbt flk 2026 01 19	2	$20	10	10	+0	Ramboot Club	+$0	03-04 04:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:12:08	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x761e79…
10-25 09:30:59	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x900b49…
10-24 19:01:02	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdfde49…
10-24 14:16:02	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3203e…
10-24 14:15:05	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a4b8f…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x7751eb…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1f3687…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x431dff…
10-24 13:00:03	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa02c1a…
10-23 16:52:29	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x285563…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x062124…
10-22 20:15:35	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb249b4…
10-22 20:12:26	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1be4f…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d6228…
10-20 22:55:48	Lyon Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61def2…
10-20 18:47:41	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc61fc0…
10-20 18:39:09	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc891ef…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa61555…
10-18 03:35:41	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c1eb1…
10-15 20:32:44	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x93e1ee…
10-15 19:37:43	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbf877c…
10-14 20:56:45	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c07fe…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8dc7e9…
10-13 20:58:52	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5208e5…
10-13 15:53:25	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5368fb…
10-13 14:15:22	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa368e7…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xdf57b9…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97ce95…
10-12 09:04:07	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab917f…
10-11 10:49:51	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbaa2c7…
10-11 10:26:11	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8606d2…
10-10 11:08:43	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21ef26…
10-10 10:21:46	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x913037…
10-09 02:09:53	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6dd7d…
10-07 14:42:14	Villena: Edas Butvilas vs Max Hans Rehberg	Max Hans Rehberg	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7349b5…
10-07 13:53:46	Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi	Polina Iatcenko	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x361df8…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfaa070…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb60f5b…
10-06 16:07:30	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x04b28d…
10-04 23:23:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1be255…
10-04 20:17:38	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x707ef3…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6d733b…
10-03 14:50:32	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x217aca…
10-03 06:09:56	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x225381…
10-03 02:52:56	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79d674…
10-02 18:11:15	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15986b…
10-02 14:15:38	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1a3e17…
10-02 14:12:30	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3de2c5…
10-01 20:46:18	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x55cc3a…
10-01 20:36:08	Will Malta win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd7974d…
10-01 20:36:06	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xee1246…
10-01 16:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe48d74…
10-01 14:13:02	atp giustin donald 2026 10 01	Matthew William Donald	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40bf98…
10-01 11:34:18	wta dart qu 2026 09 30	Harriet Dart	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x346879…
10-01 06:03:11	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x610c26…
10-01 05:13:27	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a98cc…
10-01 04:48:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9b1e2…
09-30 23:54:53	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8dc708…
09-30 12:27:59	atp kuzmano sachko 2026 09 30	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc7c9c7…
09-30 06:59:36	atp struff tirante 2026 09 29	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe66517…
09-30 01:53:35	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x128e95…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2f187f…
09-29 13:58:50	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x24e36f…
09-29 13:20:14	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x995fff…
09-29 13:18:53	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7ec1b1…
09-29 00:54:11	atp dickers pereir 2026 09 28	Jose Pereira	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xee706e…
09-28 16:53:14	atp angelin johns 2026 09 28	Lorenzo Angelini	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75eb0e…
09-28 10:07:56	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x937586…
09-27 20:32:17	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8aa5ad…
09-27 14:05:47	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5de39d…
09-27 13:31:20	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0afae…
09-27 12:29:15	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc7ee2…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13ebdb…
09-26 20:05:59	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ab76e…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9fc9b3…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee55f5…
09-25 22:57:42	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x02e769…
09-25 21:05:11	atp marcond gomez 2026 09 25	Igor Ribeiro Marcondes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22f8d7…
09-25 10:31:17	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x555e28…
09-25 10:28:51	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x674001…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21eb46…
09-24 20:44:21	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x781fbd…
09-23 22:37:44	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x64639d…
09-23 16:19:31	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2245e4…
09-23 04:45:08	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc5068b…
09-21 18:44:36	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x623059…
09-21 13:01:32	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd89025…
09-21 02:23:38	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca4c61…
09-20 22:25:38	Browns vs. Buccaneers	Browns	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2ae2a…
09-20 21:08:28	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0c278…
09-20 19:43:13	Islanders vs. Devils	Devils	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c420a…
09-20 12:44:48	cs2 sta6 ttbs 2026 09 20	STATE	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d02d4…
09-20 04:25:15	wta shublad astakho 2026 09 19	Darya Astakhova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa40cd0…
09-20 03:28:09	Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49e948…
09-20 02:59:34	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x265a90…
09-20 01:26:42	Florida State vs. Alabama	Alabama	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae59a9…
09-19 01:33:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x921144…
09-18 20:03:34	Will Manchester City WFC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4e593d…
09-18 19:32:18	Will AC Oulu win on 2026-09-18?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54cfb2…
09-17 17:27:45	lol ckz esb 2026 09 19 game1	CITA Kaizen	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf27821…