Winding-Cartel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

690

lifetime

Volume

$4.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-12 10:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 100% +$28

Politics

3% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 129 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1776977400	11	$182	201	0	+201	open	—	04-23 20:54
eth updown 5m 1774383900	7	$152	163	53	+110	open	—	03-24 20:29
eth updown 5m 1774266600	6	$149	160	20	+140	open	—	03-23 11:54
eth updown 5m 1774264800	3	$145	146	0	+146	open	—	03-23 11:23
eth updown 5m 1774381500	9	$140	147	0	+147	open	—	03-24 19:48
eth updown 5m 1774374900	9	$123	145	0	+145	open	—	03-24 17:59
eth updown 5m 1774386000	8	$120	130	0	+130	open	—	03-24 21:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	6	$119	105	105	+0	open	—	03-23 09:32
eth updown 5m 1776975000	17	$107	109	0	+109	open	—	04-23 20:14
eth updown 5m 1774371000	11	$106	111	0	+111	open	—	03-24 16:54
eth updown 5m 1774384800	8	$105	123	0	+123	open	—	03-24 20:43
eth updown 5m 1776976500	4	$102	107	2	+104	open	—	04-23 20:39
eth updown 5m 1776975900	12	$92	94	0	+94	open	—	04-23 20:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	7	$83	85	0	+85	Up	+$2	05-05 10:24
eth updown 5m 1774386600	4	$80	86	0	+86	open	—	03-24 21:14
eth updown 5m 1774380300	7	$80	86	0	+86	open	—	03-24 19:29
eth updown 5m 1776694500	14	$79	89	0	+89	open	—	04-20 14:19
eth updown 5m 1776976200	9	$76	85	0	+85	open	—	04-23 20:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	26	$75	77	0	+77	Up	+$2	05-05 11:44
eth updown 5m 1776704700	16	$74	89	0	+89	open	—	04-20 17:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	26	$72	76	0	+76	Up	+$4	05-06 11:39
eth updown 5m 1774370400	9	$70	75	0	+75	open	—	03-24 16:43
eth updown 5m 1774387500	6	$70	73	0	+73	open	—	03-24 21:29
eth updown 5m 1774380600	6	$70	72	0	+72	open	—	03-24 19:34
eth updown 5m 1776680400	14	$69	72	0	+72	open	—	04-20 10:24
eth updown 5m 1774369500	8	$66	74	0	+74	open	—	03-24 16:29
eth updown 5m 1776694200	13	$63	69	0	+69	open	—	04-20 14:14
eth updown 5m 1774385100	5	$62	63	13	+50	open	—	03-24 20:49
eth updown 5m 1774384200	5	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	03-24 20:33
eth updown 5m 1776974700	11	$56	64	0	+64	open	—	04-23 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 10:53:21	will x a xii be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212476	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbc7922…
05-19 06:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x38918f…
05-19 06:39:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x28b13c…
05-19 06:38:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xf2f28c…
05-19 06:38:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xfa5b6b…
05-19 06:38:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x7d2fef…
05-19 06:38:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x838443…
05-19 06:37:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x598e37…
05-19 06:37:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7cde3f…
05-19 06:37:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb0a826…
05-19 06:34:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2a1c53…
05-19 06:34:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2e85d6…
05-19 06:33:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x97e069…
05-19 06:33:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xa25a84…
05-19 06:33:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xece078…
05-19 06:33:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6ce9c1…
05-19 06:32:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd31354…
05-18 06:08:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0bbed3…
05-18 06:08:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xab6345…
05-18 06:04:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x124767…
05-17 11:54:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0xbc8e42…
05-17 11:54:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x623f63…
05-17 11:19:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xce83e9…
05-17 11:19:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xda1955…
05-13 07:14:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3f2108…
05-13 07:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x796b40…
05-13 07:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x72b472…
05-13 07:12:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x57648d…
05-13 06:52:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ed195…
05-13 06:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x450994…
05-13 06:49:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x781adc…
05-13 06:49:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2b8624…
05-13 06:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfe60a7…
05-13 06:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff9558…
05-13 06:44:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd942b9…
05-13 06:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee8e1a…
05-13 06:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x817e9d…
05-13 06:44:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x1d0125…
05-13 06:39:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe13226…
05-13 06:39:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87af44…
05-13 06:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x16302c…
05-13 06:39:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb31bb9…
05-13 06:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb44139…
05-13 06:38:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6cdaa5…
05-13 06:38:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x592cc8…
05-13 06:38:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa5347d…
05-13 06:38:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x954263…
05-13 06:37:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb19b64…
05-13 06:37:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x365992…
05-13 06:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe40433…
05-13 06:34:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x43c8e1…
05-13 06:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc8496…
05-13 06:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x66baf3…
05-13 06:34:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfadde1…
05-13 06:34:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5b54a3…
05-13 06:34:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3f9a90…
05-13 06:33:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2bad1f…
05-11 10:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xa44eee…
05-11 10:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2bf55c…
05-11 10:00:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x163666…
05-11 09:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xc854a2…
05-11 09:59:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xacc9dd…
05-11 09:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xe98dae…
05-11 09:59:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xc2729a…
05-11 09:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x036dda…
05-11 09:59:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2d449a…
05-11 09:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7dbfb5…
05-10 12:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x5e69c3…
05-10 12:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5157b9…
05-10 12:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0c95cb…
05-10 12:34:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb4ec42…
05-10 12:34:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6a9256…
05-10 12:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbb8cdb…
05-10 12:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5606f1…
05-10 12:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x228c2a…
05-10 12:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0ae9c3…
05-10 12:34:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcf6e1b…
05-10 12:34:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2227ff…
05-10 12:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcd1d29…
05-10 12:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x97ee30…
05-10 12:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x402e98…
05-10 12:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x274cbd…
05-08 06:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd2d1c5…
05-08 06:34:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9c4636…
05-08 06:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfa446a…
05-08 06:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6a83ce…
05-08 06:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3c15ef…
05-08 06:34:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x347499…
05-08 06:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7c4de8…
05-08 06:34:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x777f5a…
05-08 06:34:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2840c2…
05-08 06:33:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7c059b…
05-08 06:33:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x169f01…
05-08 06:33:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9394b9…
05-06 11:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xfce671…
05-06 11:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc37d1e…
05-06 11:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa09389…
05-06 11:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x75efd8…
05-06 11:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb737dc…
05-06 11:54:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7734b4…