Well-To-Do-Survey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

849

Trades

1,770

lifetime

Volume

$128.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$73

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 10-26 15:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 58% -$394

Other

4% 43% -$628

Sports

1% 27% -$67

Politics

0% 17% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 09:40 UTC	5	$1.5K	1,384	719	+664	Up	-$71	04-01 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:25 UTC	7	$1.4K	1,337	596	+742	Down	-$201	03-21 17:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 08:35 UTC	5	$1.3K	1,055	730	+325	Down	+$133	03-21 08:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:45 UTC	6	$1.1K	1,008	423	+585	Down	-$281	03-28 16:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 14:45 UTC	5	$1.1K	839	486	+354	Up	-$113	04-01 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 05:25 UTC	5	$1.1K	782	583	+199	Up	+$91	03-31 05:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 03:15 UTC	5	$1.1K	800	472	+327	Down	-$130	03-21 03:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 04:10 UTC	7	$986	860	389	+471	Up	-$209	03-30 04:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 16:25 UTC	4	$974	767	479	+288	Down	-$19	03-28 16:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 08:20 UTC	6	$912	692	465	+228	Up	+$22	03-22 08:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 09:55 UTC	6	$899	706	403	+303	Down	-$93	04-01 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 19:10 UTC	5	$827	696	331	+365	Up	-$171	03-21 19:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 04:00 UTC	4	$824	553	428	+126	Down	+$28	03-31 04:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 03:40 UTC	4	$810	592	411	+181	Up	+$16	03-31 03:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 09:10 UTC	3	$782	652	386	+266	Down	-$12	03-26 09:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 08:50 UTC	6	$761	621	375	+246	Up	-$14	03-26 08:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 08:20 UTC	3	$736	445	440	+5	Down	+$141	03-21 08:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 09:40 UTC	5	$736	543	339	+204	Down	-$63	03-21 09:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 10:05 UTC	3	$726	719	329	+390	Down	-$64	04-01 10:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 04:05 UTC	4	$712	603	302	+302	Down	-$112	03-26 04:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:15 UTC	5	$688	676	291	+386	Up	-$109	03-21 17:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 16:00 UTC	5	$687	747	189	+559	Up	-$310	03-21 16:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:15 UTC	4	$685	483	339	+144	Up	-$11	03-20 10:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 14:30 UTC	5	$684	606	287	+319	Down	-$113	03-28 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 08:05 UTC	3	$674	485	479	+6	Down	+$280	03-21 08:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 14:15 UTC	4	$669	509	373	+137	Down	+$74	03-26 14:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 10:05 UTC	3	$658	364	362	+2	Down	+$60	03-20 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 16:35 UTC	4	$658	724	331	+393	Down	+$2	03-21 16:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 09:50 UTC	4	$655	539	358	+181	Up	+$60	03-28 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-01 09:30 UTC	4	$644	495	348	+147	Down	+$56	04-01 09:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 15:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x334e44…
10-26 15:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xccfdf7…
10-26 14:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xfa857b…
10-26 14:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x7db8e3…
10-26 14:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x26bf7a…
10-26 12:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x425ba7…
10-26 12:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2e654e…
10-26 09:11:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x81d33a…
10-26 08:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa7ffb1…
10-26 08:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x4d46a4…
10-26 08:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x03e087…
10-26 08:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xf9242f…
10-25 11:47:23	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8c396a…
10-25 11:46:56	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x25bb18…
10-24 18:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x478e17…
10-24 18:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x8d5168…
10-24 18:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x056de0…
10-24 18:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xdf02b2…
10-24 18:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe2b69b…
10-24 18:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x48a5a9…
10-24 18:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbe5943…
10-24 18:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x027d38…
10-24 15:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x88632c…
10-24 15:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xe70a9e…
10-24 13:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x71131c…
10-24 13:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd3c01f…
10-24 13:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x0899fb…
10-24 13:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x68a81f…
10-24 13:23:57	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x62d679…
10-24 13:16:05	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2ad6d8…
10-24 13:15:45	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x28fe38…
10-24 12:50:23	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x251800…
10-24 12:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x1a2520…
10-24 12:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x77811f…
10-24 12:30:56	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x174970…
10-24 12:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfb3c75…
10-24 12:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf86466…
10-24 12:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x758587…
10-24 12:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0a5a89…
10-23 16:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0df6d4…
10-23 16:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe56edf…
10-23 16:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x89d16f…
10-23 16:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb13c69…
10-23 16:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x214aee…
10-23 16:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xa8fe99…
10-23 15:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x8990ac…
10-23 15:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf9135a…
10-23 15:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x8e63ef…
10-23 15:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x30e755…
10-23 14:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf93c9e…
10-23 14:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xc8bba6…
10-23 14:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x71ad53…
10-23 14:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x31c809…
10-23 14:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe90e31…
10-23 14:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x670626…
10-23 13:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x367411…
10-23 13:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xcf933d…
10-23 13:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x871c25…
10-23 13:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xcf4182…
10-23 13:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xac7d1a…
10-23 13:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x51fc38…
10-23 13:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	180	61¢	$110	0x8841e5…
10-23 13:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	385	0¢	$1	0x806702…
10-23 13:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xfed416…
10-23 12:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdfda15…
10-23 12:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	129	85¢	$110	0x864521…
10-23 12:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x507201…
10-23 12:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x711166…
10-23 12:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x552fe2…
10-23 12:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xade2c7…
10-23 12:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6bafc7…
10-23 12:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x1c6054…
10-23 12:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8ce03f…
10-23 12:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x1a6c51…
10-23 12:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xc4c9e5…
10-23 11:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x53acbe…
10-23 11:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x8e55eb…
10-23 09:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf7d905…
10-23 09:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x4fa9ef…
10-20 12:39:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdcc4a2…
10-20 12:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	53	63¢	$33	0x30e16e…
10-20 12:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x802922…
10-20 12:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x3c7613…
10-20 12:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2f7c09…
10-20 12:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0x0d6a01…
10-20 12:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	139	44¢	$61	0x95a791…
10-20 12:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x762bce…
10-20 12:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x2bf7ca…
10-20 12:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x5e478a…
10-20 12:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x771e5e…
10-20 12:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x3c4a73…
10-20 12:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xb32291…
10-20 11:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x29c442…
10-20 11:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x1b8fb6…
10-20 11:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xee1525…
10-20 11:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x22113d…
10-20 11:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x09b7f4…
10-20 11:34:14	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xe567c3…
08-02 07:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x83559a…
08-02 07:12:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 07:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4cf667…