Admirable-Hydrocarbon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

$110

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-15 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

80% 0% $-2

Politics

12% — —

Tech

4% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+115	$110	96¢	$110	$-0	06-15 13:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
GTA VI released before June 2026?	7	$2.0K	1,016	1,016	+0	open	—	05-11 18:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$997	504	504	+0	open	—	04-07 09:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$996	504	504	+0	open	—	04-08 06:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$995	501	501	+0	open	—	04-07 10:09
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$993	515	515	+0	Yes	$-2	04-08 07:35
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$936	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-08 09:57
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	16	$387	199	199	+0	open	—	01-17 11:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$110	115	0	+115	open	—	06-15 13:28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$108	109	0	+109	open	—	04-17 11:59
will gta 6 cost 100	4	$103	52	52	+0	open	—	02-12 20:22
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	5	$102	53	53	+0	open	—	02-18 14:17
will claude 5 be released on february 19 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	02-18 14:33
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	04-08 07:34
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	03-16 11:09
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	03-01 08:30
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	03-16 15:14
btc updown 5m 1770925800	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	02-12 19:55
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	$-0	03-16 15:32
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	03-16 15:40
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$50	37	37	+0	open	—	02-12 20:25
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	03-22 07:44
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$24	0	25	-25	open	—	01-17 10:26
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	01-22 14:39
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 18:10
will claude 5 be released on february 13 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 18:10
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-13 18:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 13:28:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	115	96¢	$110	0xf1f607…
05-11 18:03:03	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	963	99¢	$956	0xe16020…
05-11 17:50:37	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	963	99¢	$957	0xc723c0…
04-17 11:59:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x067968…
04-08 09:57:27	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	1,000	43¢	$426	0xb43bcd…
04-08 09:53:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1,000	51¢	$510	0x723522…
04-08 07:35:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	515	96¢	$495	0xaf25c9…
04-08 07:34:41	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x228ef4…
04-08 07:19:35	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7d6534…
04-08 07:07:57	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	515	97¢	$497	0xbdaad8…
04-08 06:53:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	SELL	504	99¢	$498	0xec8629…
04-08 06:19:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	504	99¢	$497	0xebf823…
04-07 10:09:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	501	99¢	$497	0xc3abcd…
04-07 10:00:47	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	501	99¢	$498	0x0fb765…
04-07 09:45:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	504	99¢	$498	0x19d886…
04-07 09:34:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	504	99¢	$499	0x3f62f4…
03-22 07:44:23	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xd03b51…
03-16 15:40:35	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0xf4b1f8…
03-16 15:33:09	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	95¢	$25	0x2fe9ce…
03-16 15:32:49	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x3a0979…
03-16 15:14:49	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x8184e1…
03-16 15:14:33	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xdeae50…
03-16 15:04:17	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x5f33b6…
03-16 11:09:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	26	97¢	$26	0x690773…
03-16 11:05:31	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0x263d11…
03-01 08:30:43	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x24c2c7…
02-26 07:35:50	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0b4441…
02-18 14:33:42	will claude 5 be released on february 19 2026	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x7ce2f6…
02-18 14:17:24	will claude 5 be released on february 19 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xd06d6e…
02-18 14:17:04	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0xa735b7…
02-13 18:11:29	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0e0ed0…
02-13 18:10:59	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4a6acb…
02-13 18:10:03	will claude 5 be released on february 13 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x606516…
02-13 18:09:07	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa327eb…
02-12 20:26:37	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0xd3c00d…
02-12 20:26:19	will claude 5 be released on february 13 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa9679…
02-12 20:26:05	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08f96b…
02-12 20:25:57	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd11f20…
02-12 20:25:35	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x6be0bb…
02-12 20:25:19	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	1	68¢	$0	0x912f80…
02-12 20:25:13	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	36	68¢	$25	0x7bef60…
02-12 20:24:51	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	37	69¢	$25	0x4e4460…
02-12 20:24:29	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x6fc4ff…
02-12 20:24:05	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0x3f1969…
02-12 20:23:41	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$26	0x017e73…
02-12 20:23:13	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0x976448…
02-12 20:22:47	will gta 6 cost 100	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x758e70…
02-12 20:21:49	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xa5cc6f…
02-12 20:21:25	will gta 6 cost 100	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xd332cb…
02-12 20:20:19	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xeed596…
02-12 19:55:19	btc updown 5m 1770925800	Down	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xa47c39…
02-12 19:54:11	btc updown 5m 1770925800	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x0c37f9…
02-12 19:53:17	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	27	95¢	$25	0xe18bbe…
01-31 17:27:50	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x3c80d6…
01-22 14:39:44	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x16fa90…
01-17 11:25:48	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x7a2b9b…
01-17 11:25:12	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x0ab082…
01-17 11:24:50	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x07acb3…
01-17 11:23:52	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x92d80e…
01-17 11:23:36	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x45bbab…
01-17 11:22:38	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x970aab…
01-17 11:22:24	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x61c5a5…
01-17 11:22:00	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x95f6d1…
01-17 11:21:20	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x968cb2…
01-17 11:20:32	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x3d6d52…
01-17 11:20:12	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x0d8a16…
01-17 11:19:24	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xc83be4…
01-17 11:19:08	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x7b74bb…
01-17 11:17:54	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x161ee7…
01-17 11:17:38	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xcfbafe…
01-17 11:17:14	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xc4d1dc…
01-17 10:26:10	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xe6a3be…