Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$311

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

44.4%

Resolved

792

Trades

1,654

lifetime

Volume

$6.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

4 positions

First seen

2026-09-24

last 10-31 06:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

80% 47% -$228

Sports

15% 30% -$80

Politics

4% 29% -$5

Crypto

0% 60% +$3

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 285 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+12	$7	79¢	$10	+$3	10-28 00:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+12	$6	71¢	$9	+$3	10-28 17:07
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+0	$0	98¢	$0	$0	10-03 21:31
Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?	No	+0	$0	63¢	$0	+$0	10-07 12:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?	18	$179	222	171	+51	Yes	-$49	10-11 09:08
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	11	$134	152	152	-0	No	-$6	10-12 01:05
US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	4	$122	116	116	+0	No	-$1	10-12 01:10
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 11?	7	$120	102	102	+0	No	+$10	10-11 17:45
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12?	6	$112	120	120	+0	Yes	-$5	10-11 06:06
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	2	$108	101	101	+0	open	—	10-12 01:05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11?	7	$84	50	50	+0	Yes	+$6	10-11 17:45
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15?	4	$84	150	150	+0	Yes	-$48	10-11 06:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	4	$76	100	100	+0	open	—	10-12 01:10
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?	8	$65	67	67	+0	No	-$10	10-11 17:45
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 11?	8	$57	103	52	+51	No	+$7	10-11 06:35
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	4	$55	94	7	+87	No	+$0	10-11 19:50
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	3	$54	102	0	+102	No	-$3	10-11 18:40
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?	3	$51	103	1	+101	Yes	+$0	10-11 17:45
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	5	$51	70	69	+1	No	-$2	10-14 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 11?	4	$50	102	0	+102	No	+$1	10-11 11:25
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 20 and 22.5 million views on day 1?	3	$50	102	0	+102	No	+$0	10-11 09:35
Spread: Rams (-1.5)	20	$48	41	41	+0	Broncos	+$8	09-28 02:21
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier	9	$35	52	52	+0	Daniel Altmaier	-$4	10-07 15:19
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?	9	$34	51	50	+1	No	-$10	10-11 07:10
val g21 pr1 2026 09 29	16	$34	31	31	+0	Paper Rex	-$3	09-29 09:53
Villena: Moez Echargui vs Raul Brancaccio	6	$32	28	28	+0	Moez Echargui	-$6	10-05 14:16
Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	$0	10-26 11:30
Heat vs. Raptors	16	$28	24	24	+0	Heat	-$3	10-03 23:08
Rams vs. Eagles	6	$28	23	23	+0	Rams	-$2	10-04 17:50
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)	34	$28	41	41	+0	100 Thieves	-$20	09-27 10:27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	2	$27	15	15	+0	No	+$0	10-16 20:28
Spread: Louisiana (-4.5)	6	$27	25	25	+0	Arkansas State	-$3	10-04 01:19
Will BNK FEARX win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?	5	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	10-16 09:27
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	12	$25	19	19	+0	Nemiga	+$2	10-01 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 06:03:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 1?	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x6aced8…
10-31 02:38:36	Nuggets vs. Suns	Nuggets	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x26f6e5…
10-31 00:47:33	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x1797b0…
10-30 22:37:54	Devils vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xd34d60…
10-30 14:50:30	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot	Holger Rune	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x70900d…
10-30 10:44:33	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu	Claire Liu	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x94db4a…
10-30 09:46:12	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	46¢	$6	0x779d92…
10-30 02:34:31	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 29?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x14b033…
10-30 00:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on October 31?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xed0d8e…
10-30 00:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 31?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x192d0d…
10-29 23:48:58	Blackhawks vs. Red Wings	Blackhawks	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x331703…
10-29 23:45:58	Capitals vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xfe74d1…
10-29 23:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 31?	No	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x0f427d…
10-29 23:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on October 31?	No	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x32b92d…
10-29 17:32:44	highest temperature in seattle on october 31 2026 52 53f	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x489e3f…
10-29 17:31:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xc93528…
10-29 17:24:05	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti	Arthur Fery	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x913d57…
10-29 15:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 29?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x5d7bba…
10-29 15:05:11	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 30?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x5e95f0…
10-29 11:01:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on October 30?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x502797…
10-29 10:30:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on October 29?	No	BUY	1	54¢	$1	0x601a94…
10-29 10:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 31?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x53be34…
10-29 09:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 31?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x497949…
10-29 09:04:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 31?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x32095e…
10-29 04:43:10	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on October 30?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xd1e4c8…
10-29 03:29:56	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Elise Mertens	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xafb511…
10-29 02:44:38	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xa432b9…
10-29 01:33:26	Knicks vs. Bulls	Knicks	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xa646b3…
10-29 00:50:10	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0x4400d8…
10-29 00:42:29	Queretaro: Selena Janicijevic vs Elizabeth Mandlik	Elizabeth Mandlik	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xb9822b…
10-29 00:32:08	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Warriors	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xd5ad27…
10-29 00:14:13	Jacksonville State vs. New Mexico State	New Mexico State	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xd89356…
10-29 00:11:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 29?	No	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xdefd78…
10-29 00:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xb2e612…
10-29 00:05:47	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x0a0e20…
10-29 00:04:49	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xc14dfc…
10-28 23:19:02	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xcbffec…
10-28 23:14:43	Kennesaw State vs. Middle Tennessee	Kennesaw State	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xc41df7…
10-28 22:30:13	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xc44a4f…
10-28 18:41:23	Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0xfaa772…
10-28 18:40:05	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Partizan	ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xfe7031…
10-28 18:32:56	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x119f4c…
10-28 18:13:25	M25 Norman, OK: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Giles Hussey	Giles Hussey	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7db058…
10-28 18:05:31	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x086280…
10-28 17:56:07	Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x382dfe…
10-28 17:34:56	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Jakub Mensik	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x6c5fff…
10-28 17:21:26	Courmayeur: Gabriela Knutson vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x02e988…
10-28 17:07:23	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x0e40d1…
10-28 17:06:55	Erste Bank Open: Jurij Rodionov vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6b1c78…
10-28 15:31:22	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x18e228…
10-28 14:37:43	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xaa80eb…
10-28 13:46:01	Maple Leafs vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x6b819b…
10-28 13:20:11	Swiss Indoors Basel: Nuno Borges vs Casper Ruud	Nuno Borges	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6079e5…
10-28 12:50:01	Brest: Borna Gojo vs Dino Prizmic	Dino Prizmic	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xadb49e…
10-28 12:46:04	Will Persib Bandung win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x3aec6e…
10-28 12:45:01	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Tallon Griekspoor	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x936db8…
10-28 12:23:44	Courmayeur: Robin Montgomery vs Lisa Pigato	Robin Montgomery	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa1c267…
10-28 11:32:40	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Dayana Yastremska	Han Shi	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0xb9fa59…
10-28 10:23:46	Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Talia Gibson	Talia Gibson	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf1ff3f…
10-28 10:05:40	Will Gamba Osaka win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x1b014f…
10-28 09:18:02	Guangzhou Open: Harriet Dart vs Janice Tjen	Janice Tjen	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0xcd6df7…
10-28 04:46:46	Pan Pacific Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Maya Joint	Maya Joint	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xab5329…
10-28 02:41:36	Pan Pacific Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Kamilla Rakhimova	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x619ea0…
10-28 02:34:08	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x92148a…
10-28 00:33:54	Pistons vs. Knicks	Pistons	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xabf107…
10-28 00:20:32	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x8d4457…
10-27 23:30:45	Sioux Falls: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Ozan Baris	Ozan Baris	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x5ab560…
10-27 23:10:56	Devils vs. Stars	Devils	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x94123d…
10-27 22:56:24	Brest: Stefano Travaglia vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x84a37c…
10-27 21:54:35	Guayaquil: Franco Roncadelli vs Valerio Aboian	Valerio Aboian	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x9aef78…
10-27 21:44:36	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	12	46¢	$5	0x8eac67…
10-27 19:04:15	Valencia vs. Fenerbahce	Valencia	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x2d2818…
10-27 18:30:44	Queretaro: Fiona Ferro vs Sofia Johnson	Sofia Johnson	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x533a3f…
10-27 17:40:38	Swiss Indoors Basel: Alex Michelsen vs Botic van de Zandschulp	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x1873cd…
10-27 15:10:03	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x9584e8…
10-27 14:54:11	Curitiba: Francesca Jones vs Marria Urrutia	Francesca Jones	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x79162e…
10-27 12:43:51	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xc2567e…
10-27 08:38:03	Pan Pacific Open: Tereza Valentova vs Mia Pohankova	Mia Pohankova	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x5f0241…
10-27 06:43:00	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xccacec…
10-27 05:56:09	Seoul: Seong-Chan Hong vs Yibing Wu	Yibing Wu	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x13f0d3…
10-27 05:00:56	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x91750a…
10-27 03:01:50	Pan Pacific Open: Maya Joint vs Sorana Cirstea	Maya Joint	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xd0708d…
10-27 02:17:20	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xc13398…
10-27 01:38:30	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Atlanta Dream	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xa422b8…
10-26 23:51:23	Mavericks vs. Heat	Mavericks	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x6572ce…
10-26 23:48:35	Pacers vs. Bucks	Pacers	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xcfe7c0…
10-26 23:27:21	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x318615…
10-26 21:54:26	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1206fc…
10-26 21:43:21	Sioux Falls: Ozan Baris vs James Kent Trotter	James Kent Trotter	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xf3ccf2…
10-26 21:10:08	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Anyone's Legend	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x3feeaf…
10-26 19:36:33	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales - Game 1 Winner	Team Secret Whales	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9db950…
10-26 19:13:02	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5e5e41…
10-26 18:08:05	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc0bb33…
10-26 17:51:09	Brest: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Federico Cina	Shintaro Mochizuki	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x6ec3a0…
10-26 17:33:53	LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	T1	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x2e7fd9…
10-26 17:30:57	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc83046…
10-26 16:09:27	Brest: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tom Paris	Tom Paris	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xab128a…
10-26 16:06:29	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xdd9692…
10-26 15:39:15	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x998bbb…
10-26 14:14:45	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x17164d…