Insignificant-Heater — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

1,106

Trades

8,111

lifetime

Volume

$76.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 09-18 10:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 64% -$1,365

Politics

2% 67% -$34

Other

0% 29% -$13

Sports

0% 50% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 18 3pm et	8	$1.3K	707	707	+0	Down	-$1	01-18 21:45
bitcoin up or down january 14 10am et	247	$1.3K	1,096	725	+371	Up	+$74	01-14 16:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$1.0K	516	516	+0	Yes	+$15	03-03 12:14
bitcoin up or down january 15 10am et	168	$973	834	488	+346	Up	-$33	01-15 16:23
bitcoin up or down january 15 11am et	172	$824	888	333	+555	Up	-$173	01-15 17:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 13:15 UTC	19	$822	1,291	0	+1,291	Up	-$284	02-09 13:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 21:45 UTC	13	$821	855	615	+240	Up	+$23	01-18 21:55
ethereum up or down january 15 11am et	153	$788	731	435	+296	Up	+$12	01-15 17:09
xrp up or down january 15 3am et	136	$757	640	415	+225	Up	+$22	01-15 09:02
bitcoin up or down january 14 6pm et	107	$727	578	386	+192	Up	-$9	01-15 00:01
bitcoin up or down january 15 3am et	154	$722	710	346	+364	Up	-$100	01-15 09:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 16:15 UTC	2	$700	845	0	+845	Down	+$145	01-20 16:25
bitcoin up or down january 14 5pm et	95	$696	455	410	+45	Down	+$88	01-14 23:01
bitcoin up or down january 15 6am et	131	$663	610	356	+254	Down	-$44	01-15 12:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 13:00 UTC	13	$630	774	0	+774	Up	-$6	02-09 13:14
bitcoin up or down january 15 8am et	124	$624	594	334	+260	Down	+$15	01-15 14:04
bitcoin up or down january 15 7am et	115	$609	543	315	+228	Up	+$8	01-15 12:59
ethereum up or down january 15 5am et	111	$598	519	320	+199	Down	-$19	01-15 11:10
ethereum up or down january 14 1pm et	94	$539	460	292	+168	Down	+$5	01-14 19:04
xrp up or down january 14 11am et	111	$508	576	266	+310	Up	+$6	01-14 17:04
bitcoin up or down january 14 11am et	87	$508	402	501	-99	Up	-$1	01-14 17:04
solana up or down january 15 9am et	45	$495	373	238	+135	Down	-$20	01-15 15:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 23:00 UTC	9	$492	500	492	+8	Up	-$5	01-15 23:02
solana up or down january 14 1pm et	98	$487	447	285	+162	Up	+$43	01-14 19:05
solana up or down january 15 7am et	106	$485	511	239	+271	Up	-$25	01-15 13:49
solana up or down january 14 11am et	94	$483	516	245	+271	Up	-$44	01-14 17:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 22:45 UTC	8	$462	500	492	+8	Down	-$24	01-15 22:45
xrp up or down january 14 4pm et	92	$449	407	235	+172	Down	+$15	01-14 22:01
bitcoin up or down january 14 3pm et	54	$431	245	285	-40	Up	+$69	01-14 21:10
bitcoin up or down january 14 12pm et	106	$430	481	140	+342	Down	-$156	01-14 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 10:57:51	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	2,273	4¢	$98	0xa172ad…
07-02 19:35:11	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	74	38¢	$28	0x369b93…
07-01 10:59:05	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xac4dac…
06-23 14:05:29	world cup messi to score 2 penalties 20260605004829032	Yes	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xf96198…
06-17 19:30:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x19abab…
06-17 19:15:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x6238a8…
06-17 19:00:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6c4b10…
06-17 18:45:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x56e7cc…
06-17 18:15:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	56	49¢	$27	0x2b1e30…
06-17 18:00:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xa46c99…
06-17 17:45:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x2a8a69…
06-17 17:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xd7d1ad…
06-17 17:15:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6427aa…
06-17 17:00:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9077a3…
06-17 16:45:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x8876e2…
06-17 16:30:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x082499…
06-17 16:15:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc0fd40…
06-17 16:00:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6269fe…
06-17 15:45:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x36a657…
06-17 15:30:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9aa8c2…
06-17 15:00:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1f4aac…
06-17 14:45:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x784fb7…
06-17 14:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x81bfdb…
06-17 14:15:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9044b7…
06-17 14:00:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3da6d7…
06-17 13:45:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x03d95d…
06-17 13:30:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa5ccaa…
06-17 13:15:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6fe238…
06-17 13:00:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x74ef1d…
06-17 12:45:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xca8499…
06-17 12:30:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8d94a4…
06-17 12:15:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x57216a…
06-17 12:00:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4d17e0…
06-17 11:45:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfe494d…
06-17 11:30:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0x2a3b77…
06-17 11:15:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6506f3…
06-17 11:00:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x53f9ee…
06-17 10:45:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x8fad21…
06-17 10:30:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xc71f85…
06-17 10:15:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xab0b19…
06-17 10:00:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa91a6e…
06-17 09:45:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0xfbb092…
06-17 09:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	47¢	$8	0x99d629…
06-17 09:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xc1a7b8…
06-17 08:45:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf7c88c…
06-17 08:30:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdebd99…
06-17 08:15:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x8f99eb…
06-17 08:00:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x955899…
06-17 07:45:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5836e6…
06-17 07:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x941f26…
06-17 07:15:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xba5ac1…
06-17 07:00:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x00d1d9…
06-17 06:45:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x0e9045…
06-17 06:30:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc96471…
06-17 06:00:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x985529…
06-17 05:45:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x879523…
06-17 05:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x659a8e…
06-17 05:15:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xa6b560…
06-17 05:00:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf36c6d…
06-17 04:45:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1f48b3…
06-17 04:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xd3398a…
06-17 04:15:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x5437ec…
06-17 04:00:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x51c280…
06-17 03:45:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6c849d…
06-17 03:30:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9c3b20…
06-17 03:00:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	64	46¢	$30	0x0d4a0e…
06-17 02:45:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0xb2d474…
06-17 02:30:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x6397b9…
06-17 02:15:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xe4737b…
06-17 02:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x88b4bd…
06-17 01:45:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb65820…
06-17 01:30:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf055c0…
06-17 01:15:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x37f2e1…
06-17 01:00:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe426ed…
06-17 00:45:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd90675…
06-17 00:30:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x832c3e…
06-17 00:15:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x124de2…
06-17 00:00:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa3a0d2…
06-16 23:45:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x2b7469…
06-16 23:30:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x838b2c…
06-16 23:15:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x8c508b…
06-16 23:00:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x2b8f05…
06-16 22:45:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x847326…
06-16 22:30:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa345d2…
06-16 22:15:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8a22dc…
06-16 22:00:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xcae5e7…
06-16 21:45:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x58e2e4…
06-16 21:30:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7616c0…
06-16 21:15:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x88c840…
06-16 21:00:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5723e8…
06-16 20:30:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x88a626…
06-16 20:15:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x91d868…
06-16 20:00:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb2c9a9…
06-16 19:45:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0xcbccf3…
06-16 19:30:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xf62bb6…
06-16 19:00:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x871b1c…
06-16 18:45:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 18:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x966f47…
06-16 18:30:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x77b53f…
06-16 18:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4d6944…
06-16 18:00:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x38c456…