Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$674

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$44

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 09-23 12:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Sports

47% 100% +$3

Politics

34% 50% -$15

Other

15% 100% +$6

Tech

4% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+14	$10	86¢	$12	+$2	09-23 12:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+13	$10	88¢	$11	+$1	09-23 12:11
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+11	$10	94¢	$10	+$0	09-23 12:13
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+10	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	09-23 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-23 12:14:19	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa0616f…
09-23 12:13:14	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1b4db1…
09-23 12:11:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x1b90a6…
09-23 12:04:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x4e8f08…
03-18 18:50:07	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	100	63¢	$63	0xc13d9e…
03-01 00:09:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc7279d…
03-01 00:08:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa94945…
02-28 10:25:41	will t lm be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x820e13…
02-28 10:24:37	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x103455…
02-28 10:22:47	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xf17b7c…
02-22 20:09:48	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x5c0aba…
02-22 20:06:36	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0x27a7b5…
02-22 19:57:24	will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	149	100¢	$148	0x999179…
02-22 19:56:56	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe8bc30…
02-20 22:07:26	will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	149	99¢	$146	0x16449b…
02-12 11:28:03	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xa8d055…
02-12 11:27:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x288055…
02-02 17:27:56	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xeb667a…
01-30 19:13:36	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	14	87¢	$12	0xe46a7a…
01-30 19:13:30	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xabb30b…
01-30 11:03:58	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xffd94f…
01-30 11:03:06	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa16481…
01-30 11:02:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x8ad3ef…
01-30 11:02:36	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x94777e…
01-17 14:17:22	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x85594d…
01-17 14:17:22	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x50976c…
01-17 14:17:20	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xebab2e…
01-17 14:15:48	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	70	83¢	$58	0x3b0e17…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$295	149	149	+0	Yes	+$2	02-22 19:57
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	5	$146	100	100	+0	No	-$20	03-18 18:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$30	21	11	+11	Yes	+$1	02-28 10:22
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$30	22	11	+11	Yes	+$1	02-12 11:27
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$22	14	14	+0	Yes	+$2	01-30 19:13
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	02-22 19:56
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$20	21	0	+21	Yes	+$1	02-22 20:06
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	1	$20	22	0	+22	Yes	+$2	02-22 20:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	03-01 00:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	09-23 12:11
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	09-23 12:14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	09-23 12:04
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	Yes	+$4	01-30 11:02
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	02-28 10:24
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	02-28 10:25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	09-23 12:13