Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$699

Unrealized P&L

+$170

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,598

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$91

4 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 08-11 04:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

94% 84% +$682

Politics

5% 50% +$17

Sports

1% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	No	+71	$66	98¢	$70	+$4	08-10 02:41
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	Yes	+20	-$91	70¢	$14	+$105	08-10 06:49
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	No	+20	$2	30¢	$6	+$4	08-08 13:08
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	+71	-$57	2¢	$1	+$58	08-10 12:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	73	$3.0K	3,220	2,554	+666	No	+$80	08-10 17:33
will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	97	$2.3K	2,237	2,137	+100	open	—	08-10 00:00
will russia capture svitle by october 31 20260805161409631	100	$1.7K	2,456	2,426	+30	Yes	+$48	08-10 06:51
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?	100	$1.5K	2,233	2,193	+40	open	—	08-10 06:49
will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	147	$1.1K	2,340	2,244	+96	No	-$22	08-08 12:04
Will Chris Bryant be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	61	$869	2,319	2,280	+40	open	—	08-09 00:11
will lionel messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 ballon dor	40	$843	1,104	1,104	+0	Yes	+$14	08-08 02:09
will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	23	$709	874	625	+249	open	—	08-11 04:33
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?	19	$702	874	874	+0	open	—	08-09 02:59
etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	43	$670	1,040	1,040	+0	No	+$18	08-11 04:42
Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?	37	$594	1,098	1,098	+0	No	+$62	08-10 04:56
will lamine yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	26	$584	967	967	+0	Yes	+$94	08-08 07:28
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	15	$523	546	546	+0	open	—	08-09 15:08
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?	23	$494	722	722	-0	No	+$23	08-10 06:50
Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth 25%-29%?	14	$449	650	322	+328	No	+$64	08-10 12:13
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	94	$425	2,179	2,037	+143	open	—	08-10 12:15
Will Angela Eagle be the first to leave the Burnham cabinet?	43	$411	575	364	+211	open	—	08-09 00:25
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?	24	$409	421	421	+0	Yes	+$39	08-10 04:20
Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in July?	24	$404	566	566	+0	No	+$26	08-08 04:28
wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	10	$375	403	403	+0	Yes	+$56	08-10 09:59
Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in July?	19	$361	476	306	+170	No	+$42	08-08 23:25
will andurils valuation hit high 175b by december 31	21	$347	839	839	+0	open	—	08-08 05:38
Will United Russia win the next Murmansk Oblast Parliament elections?	85	$346	2,360	2,360	+0	Yes	-$2	08-10 06:51
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%?	30	$331	710	710	+0	open	—	08-10 10:26
Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	28	$319	918	898	+20	open	—	08-10 19:51
Will Jahmyr Gibbs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?	37	$298	921	921	+0	open	—	08-08 12:03
Will Nuisance Bear win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	24	$292	997	997	+0	open	—	08-10 11:08
will kylian mbappe finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	11	$256	346	159	+188	Yes	+$40	08-08 10:39
will rodri finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	6	$251	305	305	+0	No	+$66	08-10 06:58
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August?	26	$247	445	445	+0	Yes	+$61	08-08 03:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 04:42:06	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	SELL	102	8¢	$8	0xf8c932…
08-11 04:41:48	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x746149…
08-11 04:41:37	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x438e1e…
08-11 04:33:39	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	SELL	99	77¢	$76	0x213a79…
08-11 04:33:27	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0xd9986b…
08-11 04:04:12	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xf77461…
08-11 02:44:27	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x247d69…
08-11 01:09:24	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x38160a…
08-11 01:03:03	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0xf49fd2…
08-11 00:40:36	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x892b8a…
08-11 00:33:33	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	58	8¢	$5	0x59057a…
08-10 23:50:19	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0x2e111a…
08-10 23:49:10	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0xbf6b87…
08-10 23:48:58	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x48995e…
08-10 23:39:27	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x1f4ea6…
08-10 23:39:25	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x852808…
08-10 23:39:24	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x166bf0…
08-10 23:33:04	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0xef33e0…
08-10 23:32:46	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	35	9¢	$3	0xc491f0…
08-10 23:32:10	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xbb63d8…
08-10 23:31:10	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xbb6f09…
08-10 23:30:15	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x399d17…
08-10 23:29:55	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xee56a5…
08-10 23:29:39	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x231fcb…
08-10 23:28:21	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xba983b…
08-10 23:28:19	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcbc733…
08-10 23:28:16	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4d8065…
08-10 23:28:15	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x4ca118…
08-10 23:18:36	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xdb2efa…
08-10 23:18:34	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	22	13¢	$3	0xd2f2f6…
08-10 23:18:28	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	41	14¢	$6	0x452974…
08-10 23:17:21	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	SELL	23	13¢	$3	0x593641…
08-10 23:16:33	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xdad046…
08-10 23:16:19	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	No	BUY	354	58¢	$204	0xf9b479…
08-10 22:46:21	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x0a016e…
08-10 22:44:10	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x0eb868…
08-10 22:06:31	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x71fc6e…
08-10 21:38:55	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x42df1c…
08-10 19:53:07	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	65	14¢	$9	0x3b2f13…
08-10 19:52:49	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0xc09560…
08-10 19:52:03	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xb0349a…
08-10 19:51:00	Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	Yes	SELL	204	15¢	$31	0x9d3492…
08-10 19:49:48	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x4054c4…
08-10 19:49:48	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x29b0bb…
08-10 19:40:03	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x4b4ae9…
08-10 19:39:48	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x0a92f3…
08-10 18:21:10	Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xedad1e…
08-10 18:10:22	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x315e90…
08-10 18:10:21	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7c97ff…
08-10 18:09:55	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	SELL	68	18¢	$12	0x0e65fa…
08-10 18:09:10	Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	Yes	SELL	42	18¢	$8	0x0e055a…
08-10 18:09:00	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	SELL	120	32¢	$39	0x40b35d…
08-10 18:04:40	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x1b2a4e…
08-10 18:04:37	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x658980…
08-10 18:04:33	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9f8ec6…
08-10 17:48:24	Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1925e3…
08-10 17:33:55	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	SELL	66	17¢	$11	0xd520b0…
08-10 17:33:45	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	SELL	144	17¢	$24	0xc52cd0…
08-10 17:31:09	Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	Yes	SELL	75	20¢	$15	0x05bd73…
08-10 17:30:00	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xc0cdb9…
08-10 17:29:12	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	SELL	84	19¢	$16	0x97e7af…
08-10 17:28:21	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xd8f6d0…
08-10 17:27:42	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	SELL	96	21¢	$20	0xb6c875…
08-10 17:25:39	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	Yes	BUY	334	15¢	$50	0x534dd1…
08-10 17:25:28	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	652	85¢	$554	0xc1bb07…
08-10 17:25:00	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x00964a…
08-10 17:24:00	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	35	26¢	$9	0x33cd10…
08-10 17:23:31	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xc2cf3a…
08-10 17:23:07	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2685ec…
08-10 17:22:27	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	SELL	30	28¢	$9	0xb318be…
08-10 17:22:19	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x87d277…
08-10 17:21:27	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xe4364d…
08-10 17:21:10	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	150	85¢	$127	0xcf33d8…
08-10 17:20:31	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x3b0334…
08-10 17:20:21	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	27	85¢	$23	0x1a6ce2…
08-10 17:20:19	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	27	86¢	$23	0x483537…
08-10 17:18:25	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	45	86¢	$39	0xe97528…
08-10 17:17:10	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xaa112c…
08-10 17:16:21	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xb54e09…
08-10 17:16:07	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x93d9e9…
08-10 17:15:30	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0xc923ad…
08-10 17:14:42	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x67667a…
08-10 17:14:22	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	52	84¢	$44	0x79e1ca…
08-10 17:14:15	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3dde72…
08-10 17:14:01	Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	Yes	SELL	104	19¢	$20	0xd42b29…
08-10 17:13:27	Will Ralph Norman win the SC Republican Senate special primary by less than 5%?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa7d08d…
08-10 17:13:27	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x8206aa…
08-10 17:10:55	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4aba1a…
08-10 17:09:00	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xa7f330…
08-10 17:08:45	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x63a326…
08-10 17:08:15	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	77	85¢	$65	0xb67c87…
08-10 17:07:21	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x3d86a7…
08-10 17:06:31	Will Francesca Hong win Dane County in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?	No	SELL	638	0¢	$1	0xd6c077…
08-10 17:06:06	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0xc9e724…
08-10 17:02:00	etor quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 11 2026 0pt58	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd12286…
08-10 16:59:21	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	45	86¢	$39	0x7e5c48…
08-10 16:58:30	will the serbian national assembly be dissolved by august 31 20260629164744651	No	SELL	168	77¢	$129	0xf87b8e…
08-10 16:57:55	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 55 or higher 20260729192434648	Yes	SELL	80	39¢	$31	0xf19ac3…
08-10 16:57:40	Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x48b253…
08-10 16:57:37	Will Alexis Vega (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2027 Liga MX Clausura?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x409323…