Puzzled-Maelstrom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.10K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

2,300

Trades

10,410

lifetime

Volume

$51.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 11-02 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 193 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% +$4,100

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	39	$249	380	10	+370	Up	-$237	09-14 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	30	$217	300	0	+300	Down	+$83	09-09 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 22:40 UTC	36	$212	340	0	+340	Up	+$128	08-27 22:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 20:40 UTC	18	$211	270	0	+270	Down	-$211	04-04 20:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-25 23:00 UTC	42	$196	347	0	+347	Up	-$196	08-25 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	35	$195	324	0	+324	Up	+$129	10-25 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	38	$194	380	0	+380	Down	+$186	09-12 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 15:55 UTC	30	$188	440	0	+440	Up	-$188	04-16 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	34	$188	340	0	+340	Up	+$152	09-07 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	16	$184	240	0	+240	Up	+$55	04-25 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	51	$181	387	10	+377	Down	-$172	09-12 09:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 23:40 UTC	45	$180	360	0	+360	Down	-$180	08-27 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-18 07:30 UTC	26	$175	259	0	+259	Up	+$85	09-18 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	34	$174	307	0	+307	Up	-$174	05-09 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	31	$173	312	5	+307	Down	+$143	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	37	$169	360	10	+350	Up	-$163	09-07 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	35	$167	350	0	+350	Up	+$183	09-07 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	27	$166	300	0	+300	Down	+$134	10-17 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 15:55 UTC	17	$162	240	0	+240	Down	-$162	04-03 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 01:55 UTC	16	$160	240	0	+240	Down	-$160	03-26 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	18	$158	209	0	+209	Down	-$158	11-02 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	12	$158	240	0	+240	Up	-$158	05-17 00:29
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 06:40 UTC	20	$156	200	0	+200	Down	+$44	03-20 06:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 00:45 UTC	15	$148	210	0	+210	Down	+$62	04-17 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	36	$146	340	0	+340	Up	-$146	09-07 04:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:55 UTC	24	$142	200	20	+180	Down	+$76	10-16 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	18	$141	180	0	+180	Down	+$39	04-29 20:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-27 23:30 UTC	34	$137	300	0	+300	Down	+$163	08-27 23:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 05:30 UTC	11	$137	165	0	+165	Down	+$28	03-28 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	33	$135	324	0	+324	Down	-$135	10-17 19:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xee2f05…
11-02 03:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xd86f76…
11-02 03:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xf27e37…
11-02 03:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xb2be19…
11-02 03:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x3e133b…
11-02 03:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x3acea6…
11-02 03:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xb5f8a0…
11-02 03:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0xaeb687…
11-02 03:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x76b873…
11-02 03:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x707672…
11-02 03:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x5652b6…
11-02 03:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x03f645…
11-02 03:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xfec310…
11-02 03:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xf71968…
11-02 03:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6aaa03…
11-02 03:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x2071e5…
11-02 03:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xb14acb…
11-02 03:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x7042e2…
11-02 03:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x48b3ee…
11-02 03:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x3cba6b…
11-02 03:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x37318c…
11-02 03:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x32a607…
11-02 00:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xe37a0b…
11-02 00:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xcc6bb6…
11-02 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xf84251…
11-02 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0xe9e2c3…
11-02 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0xd41832…
11-02 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	63¢	$8	0xcebe4d…
11-02 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xc6c80c…
11-02 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x8e3bfb…
11-02 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8444e5…
11-02 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x816360…
11-02 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0x2e796a…
11-02 00:58:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x1ce3e3…
11-02 00:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xa04033…
11-02 00:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xf91271…
11-02 00:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xdcb52b…
11-02 00:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xd0a465…
11-02 00:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xb43474…
11-02 00:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x5c5915…
11-02 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xc2940a…
11-02 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x768c5d…
11-02 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x2fb3d5…
11-02 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x0bead2…
11-02 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf86ce6…
11-02 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xf62cfb…
11-02 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xe28e02…
11-02 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xca45f7…
11-02 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xa562c9…
11-02 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x52b37f…
11-02 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x4b2331…
11-02 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1f2656…
11-02 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x124a5a…
11-02 00:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x0f7557…
11-02 00:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xdad7df…
11-02 00:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xb27f87…
11-02 00:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xa2e0d0…
11-02 00:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x48654f…
11-02 00:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9b8f35…
11-02 00:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x775831…
10-31 23:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x4cf219…
10-31 23:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x3fda75…
10-31 23:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x900110…
10-31 23:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x266c41…
10-31 18:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xab77df…
10-31 18:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x05f41c…
10-31 18:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x98287f…
10-31 18:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x5c1197…
10-31 18:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x8f9a28…
10-31 18:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x6223dc…
10-31 18:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf7bf1d…
10-31 18:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0xf965ad…
10-31 18:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x4f09fa…
10-31 18:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x440949…
10-31 17:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x646a80…
10-31 17:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xcc350e…
10-31 17:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x72063c…
10-31 17:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe4a3ac…
10-31 15:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x5b3d44…
10-31 15:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x46c503…
10-31 15:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xed67b6…
10-31 15:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x064aa3…
10-31 15:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xfd4ca1…
10-31 15:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x8b87f3…
10-31 15:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x0bd2b4…
10-31 15:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	36¢	$4	0x83bb08…
10-31 15:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x2164af…
10-31 15:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xd88f23…
10-31 15:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x0e8d2e…
10-31 15:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x3461c4…
10-31 15:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x0d4f1c…
10-31 15:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xb0b09a…
10-31 15:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x46d074…
10-31 15:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd46410…
10-31 15:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x79aafb…
10-31 15:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xe4b78b…
10-31 15:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xba42d4…
10-31 15:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x9f634e…
10-31 15:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x7bf6b2…
10-31 15:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xf17d6c…