Lively-Dish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-01 08:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

57% 75% $-3

Sports

27% — —

Other

14% 100% +$0

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	4	$466	234	234	+0	open	—	04-19 07:44
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$413	207	207	+0	open	—	02-13 11:04
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$389	195	195	+0	open	—	01-13 10:31
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$289	145	145	+0	open	—	03-12 06:09
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$265	133	133	+0	open	—	03-20 07:01
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$265	133	133	+0	open	—	03-20 07:26
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$239	121	121	+0	open	—	03-27 10:28
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$223	112	112	+0	open	—	04-04 08:06
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	02-10 10:58
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	02-10 11:24
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	01-24 10:43
Will Burnley win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	01-24 11:04
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$209	105	105	+0	open	—	02-03 07:00
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$209	104	104	+0	open	—	01-24 11:30
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	01-13 09:15
Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	01-18 08:04
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	01-13 10:39
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	01-13 10:49
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$184	92	92	+0	open	—	01-13 11:06
will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on february 25	1	$149	149	0	+149	open	—	02-25 09:36
bitcoin above 68k on february 28	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	02-28 12:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 56000 58000 on march 3	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	03-03 04:57
googl above 350 on february 27 2026	1	$148	148	0	+148	open	—	02-27 17:28
bitcoin above 60k on february 15	1	$147	147	0	+147	open	—	02-15 10:48
ethereum above 2300 on march 10	1	$144	144	0	+144	open	—	03-10 06:11
ethereum above 2300 on march 6	1	$144	145	0	+145	open	—	03-06 10:11
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	1	$144	144	0	+144	open	—	03-04 05:45
bitcoin above 62k on march 7	1	$143	143	0	+143	open	—	03-07 08:32
will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	1	$141	141	0	+141	open	—	03-08 03:55
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	1	$137	137	0	+137	open	—	03-14 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 08:12:26	Heilbronn: Frederico Ferreira Silva vs Pedro Martinez	Frederico Ferreira Silva	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x4676ae…
05-31 11:34:45	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Jakub Mensik	BUY	8	46¢	$3	0x00b9f8…
05-30 10:13:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x0adae4…
05-28 11:00:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xdb86cb…
05-27 11:59:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb114c8…
05-24 07:28:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x6c8d9b…
05-24 07:00:01	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9636b9…
05-23 04:38:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x476b0a…
05-22 10:37:58	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $102.50 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0xdf96f8…
05-21 07:39:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x7e8053…
05-20 10:59:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x7cd95f…
05-20 10:56:19	Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins	Minnesota Twins	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x845cb4…
05-19 10:06:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x217a78…
05-19 09:50:37	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x207912…
05-18 06:49:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x8b47d2…
05-17 08:22:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xec4734…
05-15 07:50:26	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x492eee…
05-13 08:31:33	Will XRP reach $1.60 on May 13?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0xf95a6c…
05-12 11:17:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x4d298b…
05-11 06:45:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x402f5e…
05-09 13:18:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x4c6961…
05-08 04:19:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xe3de05…
05-07 11:10:43	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x6e2db9…
05-06 10:45:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,167	0¢	$4	0x744e69…
05-03 04:03:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x0e575e…
05-01 06:01:02	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $315 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x85c8c8…
04-30 09:04:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x18bda9…
04-29 06:54:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xe6ed9c…
04-28 09:29:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	118	99¢	$118	0xb8080d…
04-27 07:55:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xffe57a…
04-25 05:54:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x0e5213…
04-24 10:56:44	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 24	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x4db65b…
04-23 12:29:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 23	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0xb32c22…
04-23 12:27:08	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangers	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x02a414…
04-22 11:33:56	elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 115 139	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0x5e3276…
04-21 07:48:16	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x949ad2…
04-19 07:56:40	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x6dd213…
04-19 07:47:56	nhl bos buf 2026 04 19	Sabres	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x5e0c73…
04-19 07:44:46	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x5fb57b…
04-19 07:27:20	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xc4384d…
04-16 10:07:40	bitcoin above 80k on april 16	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x1af2a4…
04-15 03:57:42	ethereum above 2600 on april 15	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xe232ed…
04-14 12:00:35	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x19529f…
04-13 01:35:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x64815d…
04-12 06:28:13	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 12	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x5f7d22…
04-12 06:22:55	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$116	0x703377…
04-12 04:48:03	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x2087eb…
04-11 12:24:17	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 11	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x8d2f2c…
04-10 04:11:13	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xc543e9…
04-09 05:56:39	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x1a5956…
04-08 11:41:19	bitcoin above 66k on april 8	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xe88ab9…
04-08 09:27:51	nba atl cle 2026 04 08	Cavaliers	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xfef84b…
04-07 12:12:19	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x6c2df1…
04-06 07:42:17	bitcoin above 64k on april 6	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x335b30…
04-05 07:45:39	bitcoin above 64k on april 5	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x790c7e…
04-04 08:15:17	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0xe30905…
04-04 08:06:27	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$111	0x42e58b…
04-04 07:47:09	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x409d3d…
04-02 05:56:05	bitcoin above 72k on april 2	No	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0xb8b67a…
04-01 06:11:55	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x8e3728…
03-31 04:53:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x72b512…
03-30 07:53:18	bitcoin above 72k on march 30	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xb8c2ba…
03-29 11:50:00	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 23 29	Yes	BUY	772	0¢	$2	0xa8aa5c…
03-29 11:33:46	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 29	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x4ffbd9…
03-29 11:32:32	ethereum above 1800 on march 29	No	BUY	450	0¢	$2	0x12f6aa…
03-29 11:30:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 29	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$2	0x230810…
03-29 11:30:12	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0xcc7d9c…
03-28 14:11:57	bitcoin above 64k on march 28	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x45450b…
03-28 02:17:05	will bitcoin dip to 64k on march 27	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x16c64f…
03-27 10:36:29	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	No	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xcd1062…
03-27 10:28:05	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	121	99¢	$119	0xa6ba44…
03-27 10:08:07	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x1c4d24…
03-25 11:49:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 25	Yes	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0x2de6cd…
03-25 11:48:31	ethereum above 2000 on march 25	No	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0xc28e94…
03-25 11:47:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	Yes	BUY	1,062	0¢	$3	0x6ffd8c…
03-25 11:42:49	nhl bos buf 2026 03 25	Sabres	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x51d2be…
03-24 07:16:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x5313f6…
03-22 05:32:57	will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xb70554…
03-21 07:02:17	bitcoin above 74k on march 21	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x49b1d6…
03-20 07:36:51	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x91bc9e…
03-20 07:27:31	cehl mou tri 2026 03 20	Mountfield HK	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x084345…
03-20 07:26:29	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$132	0x0badaa…
03-20 07:02:57	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0x01ceec…
03-20 07:01:43	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$132	0x460023…
03-20 06:16:45	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x0ea3d9…
03-16 11:23:25	ethereum above 2500 on march 16	No	BUY	133	100¢	$132	0xbad9f7…
03-16 10:40:49	atp butvila kukushk 2026 03 16	Edas Butvilas	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x708902…
03-14 06:00:13	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xf675ff…
03-13 10:07:29	bitcoin above 66k on march 13	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xc00467…
03-12 06:20:45	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 12	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$2	0xa7fcc9…
03-12 06:20:15	ethereum above 2200 on march 12	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x4e03ba…
03-12 06:18:47	bitcoin above 76k on march 12	Yes	BUY	1,150	0¢	$2	0x6d5974…
03-12 06:09:45	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	145	100¢	$144	0xbf9648…
03-12 05:42:21	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	145	100¢	$144	0x62e95f…
03-10 06:11:55	ethereum above 2300 on march 10	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0xee7a4c…
03-09 10:28:51	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 9	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x601043…
03-09 10:28:13	ethereum above 2200 on march 9	Yes	BUY	406	0¢	$2	0xcf6c88…
03-09 10:27:31	bitcoin above 62k on march 9	No	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0x723455…
03-09 10:23:45	cehl tri olo 2026 03 09	Olomouc	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc207b7…
03-08 03:55:01	will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xf5820b…