Long-Term-Squid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,044

lifetime

Volume

$28.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 05-18 12:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 100% +$5

Other

4% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 15m 1770646500	12	$984	500	500	+0	open	—	02-09 14:29
ethereum up or down february 9 7am et	13	$774	395	395	+0	open	—	02-09 12:59
xrp updown 15m 1770643800	9	$732	474	370	+103	open	—	02-09 13:41
xrp updown 15m 1770645600	19	$689	400	399	+1	open	—	02-09 14:10
eth updown 15m 1770640200	3	$605	305	305	+0	open	—	02-09 12:45
eth updown 15m 1770722100	5	$602	305	305	+0	open	—	02-10 11:30
xrp up or down february 9 8am et	12	$578	308	308	+0	open	—	02-09 13:51
eth updown 15m 1770647400	4	$569	300	300	+0	open	—	02-09 14:42
ethereum up or down february 9 8am et	8	$489	248	248	+0	open	—	02-09 14:00
eth updown 15m 1770656400	9	$470	330	257	+73	open	—	02-09 17:12
xrp updown 15m 1770655500	17	$447	293	290	+2	open	—	02-09 16:57
xrp up or down february 9 12pm et	7	$437	300	300	+0	open	—	02-09 18:00
xrp updown 15m 1770724800	12	$418	250	249	+1	open	—	02-10 12:14
xrp updown 15m 1770649200	6	$416	250	249	+2	open	—	02-09 15:05
sol updown 15m 1770640200	3	$407	208	208	+0	open	—	02-09 12:41
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 90 114	3	$406	220	220	+0	open	—	02-04 17:23
sol updown 15m 1770641100	4	$399	215	214	+0	open	—	02-09 12:54
xrp up or down february 10 5am et	12	$391	204	199	+5	open	—	02-10 10:55
btc updown 15m 1770649200	12	$382	212	212	+1	open	—	02-09 15:12
xrp updown 15m 1770642900	7	$382	200	200	+0	open	—	02-09 13:30
xrp updown 15m 1770652800	15	$369	221	221	+1	open	—	02-09 16:10
eth updown 15m 1770653700	9	$353	200	199	+1	open	—	02-09 16:27
xrp up or down february 9 10am et	9	$334	194	194	+0	open	—	02-09 15:43
xrp up or down february 10 10am et	18	$333	200	200	+0	open	—	02-10 15:57
eth updown 15m 1770719400	5	$321	314	207	+107	open	—	02-10 10:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	05-18 11:28
eth updown 15m 1770725700	9	$276	200	200	+0	open	—	02-10 12:20
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 90 114	3	$258	851	0	+851	open	—	02-06 10:42
eth updown 15m 1776776400	4	$254	143	141	+2	open	—	04-21 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$250	152	152	+0	open	—	04-28 15:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 12:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x26efa8…
05-18 12:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xcb834f…
05-18 12:35:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf42dc8…
05-18 12:35:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0xa7b8a4…
05-18 12:35:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x0e0448…
05-18 12:34:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x905966…
05-18 12:27:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x116bb5…
05-18 12:21:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xa88c63…
05-18 12:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x80f1d2…
05-18 12:17:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0334e9…
05-18 12:11:44	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	61	98¢	$59	0xcec711…
05-18 12:11:21	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xea45e3…
05-18 12:11:05	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa0af4d…
05-18 12:11:05	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0x45bbe0…
05-18 12:10:55	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x940fc0…
05-18 12:08:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	118	97¢	$114	0xcd6abb…
05-18 12:07:18	XRP Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0xf51de9…
05-18 12:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xf8f127…
05-18 11:44:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x024b12…
05-18 11:34:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5de228…
05-18 11:34:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x6e8990…
05-18 11:33:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	31	60¢	$19	0xa527c4…
05-18 11:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x1f2a9f…
05-18 11:28:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xc6a27b…
05-15 13:07:27	Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xf21954…
05-15 13:07:27	Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0xca7a3f…
05-15 11:37:42	Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducks	Beijing Ducks	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xfbd1b9…
05-06 03:07:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0x2fee17…
05-06 03:00:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xb1f7f1…
05-06 02:59:36	Shanghai Sharks vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x7c8ba6…
05-04 15:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	45¢	$10	0x51b4fa…
05-04 15:06:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	50¢	$11	0x655291…
05-04 15:03:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd514b1…
05-04 15:01:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8d9fdc…
05-04 14:37:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3a046f…
05-04 14:31:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8965a7…
05-03 12:35:20	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0xb9defd…
05-03 12:35:14	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x48d34f…
05-03 12:31:04	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x13dbf4…
05-03 12:13:04	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xaa5157…
05-03 12:11:50	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Liaoning Flying Leopards	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x2de295…
05-03 12:11:28	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd539bc…
05-03 12:09:14	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x3a95df…
05-02 14:00:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	64	99¢	$64	0x6be900…
05-02 13:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0x1f12cb…
05-02 13:50:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x628f40…
05-01 13:27:10	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfc8b58…
05-01 11:29:14	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x5aaf73…
05-01 11:24:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x72a25d…
05-01 11:21:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x1a16b2…
05-01 11:11:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	51	58¢	$29	0xed7922…
05-01 11:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x5c3923…
05-01 11:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	18	40¢	$7	0x50f0d0…
05-01 11:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x361939…
05-01 11:11:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x1e6d3f…
05-01 11:08:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe030b1…
05-01 11:07:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x2a26cd…
05-01 11:06:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa74137…
05-01 11:01:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x635ffd…
05-01 10:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc46a97…
05-01 10:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x39ee0d…
05-01 10:59:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x07b048…
05-01 10:59:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x8e0fac…
05-01 10:59:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xbce479…
05-01 10:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1ba75d…
05-01 09:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x254aa8…
05-01 09:44:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2b2909…
05-01 09:43:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	109	91¢	$100	0xa5d781…
05-01 09:38:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	29¢	$3	0x770f0a…
05-01 09:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	78	28¢	$22	0xfcb1f4…
05-01 09:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xe3d91f…
05-01 09:36:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x72a2b9…
05-01 09:33:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x305ffd…
05-01 09:33:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x29f606…
05-01 09:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcaad6f…
05-01 09:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa7fcc1…
05-01 09:25:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xabd2ba…
05-01 09:22:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x5bf03f…
05-01 09:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x558376…
05-01 09:19:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x338c5a…
05-01 09:19:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0x6b45ba…
05-01 09:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x61027b…
05-01 09:11:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x05c1ed…
05-01 09:11:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x35d4b5…
05-01 09:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x8e544a…
05-01 09:10:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	91¢	$51	0xef2a01…
05-01 09:10:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	91¢	$16	0x89eb01…
05-01 09:10:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x3ab45f…
05-01 09:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	15¢	$2	0x535aac…
05-01 09:05:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xb4ac74…
05-01 09:05:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	20¢	$4	0x09668d…
05-01 09:03:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x1c9674…
05-01 08:55:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x56ae58…
05-01 08:50:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x278f15…
05-01 08:46:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xbb1280…
05-01 08:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xdb539f…
05-01 08:43:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0x4a8c79…
05-01 08:33:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x10a16f…
04-29 05:25:52	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x8096af…
04-29 05:22:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd10e9f…