Complete-Soliloquy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

218

lifetime

Volume

$8.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$32

1 position

First seen

2026-03-16

last 06-22 09:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

59% — —

Politics

30% 0% $-4

Crypto

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No		+34	$32	94¢	$32	+$0	06-22 09:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	8	$388	201	201	+0	open	—	05-08 06:14
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$278	145	145	+0	open	—	04-21 09:55
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	10	$277	279	279	+0	No	$-0	05-10 07:04
will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$275	139	139	+0	open	—	04-07 11:01
will solana dip to 70 in march 2026	5	$264	141	141	+0	open	—	03-26 20:57
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	2	$164	85	85	+0	open	—	04-12 04:25
Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	2	$156	79	79	+0	open	—	04-20 16:26
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$156	79	79	+0	open	—	04-21 17:06
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$155	79	79	+0	open	—	04-24 13:54
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$155	79	79	+0	open	—	04-24 05:17
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	2	$154	81	81	+0	open	—	04-24 20:04
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$154	81	81	+0	open	—	04-27 09:54
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	6	$153	232	232	+0	open	—	03-28 02:40
Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	2	$153	77	77	+0	open	—	04-27 15:54
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$152	83	83	+0	open	—	04-09 10:38
new stranger things episode released by april 30	2	$152	77	77	+0	open	—	03-20 01:00
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 240 259	2	$150	97	97	+0	open	—	03-18 15:07
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	2	$150	80	80	+0	open	—	03-19 09:48
will sepp straka win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$149	76	76	+0	open	—	04-04 01:57
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 360 379	2	$149	76	76	+0	open	—	03-18 01:48
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$149	79	79	+0	open	—	04-12 15:43
military action against iran ends on march 30 2026	2	$146	76	76	+0	open	—	03-26 06:40
will xrp reach 1pt8 in march 2026	2	$146	74	74	+0	open	—	03-25 19:00
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	7	$145	228	228	+0	open	—	04-23 11:46
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$145	74	74	+0	open	—	04-15 12:46
military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	2	$144	73	73	+0	open	—	03-27 16:01
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	3	$144	77	77	+0	open	—	04-18 23:16
Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	2	$143	73	73	+0	open	—	04-25 19:09
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$143	74	74	+0	open	—	03-27 21:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	3	$143	73	73	+0	open	—	04-21 05:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 09:27:23	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x9c744f…
06-22 09:27:23	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	22	94¢	$21	0x844f22…
05-19 05:23:46	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	31	95¢	$30	0x66632d…
05-18 22:25:15	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0x1b81fb…
05-13 10:57:41	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x37dd51…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$17	0x092d25…
05-12 14:33:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	73	95¢	$69	0x158ab6…
05-12 12:38:35	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	BUY	73	95¢	$69	0x723b39…
05-12 05:06:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0xe6bbb2…
05-12 05:06:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x659f53…
05-12 01:30:49	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x84e388…
05-10 07:04:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0xf8f9a9…
05-10 07:04:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	4¢	$4	0xf57230…
05-10 05:18:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	4¢	$3	0xebc952…
05-10 05:18:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x8fcf32…
05-10 05:18:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0x6d93af…
05-10 04:50:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	72	96¢	$69	0x11a592…
05-10 03:19:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	72	96¢	$69	0x26793f…
05-09 18:05:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xfbae36…
05-09 18:05:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$39	0xad2e1a…
05-09 14:35:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$64	0x438834…
05-08 16:25:47	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xfd9976…
05-08 12:00:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	2¢	$3	0xc82362…
05-08 10:17:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xf1465e…
05-08 10:17:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xad8c83…
05-08 10:17:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	2¢	$2	0x372b34…
05-08 06:14:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$64	0xc60210…
05-08 02:53:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	66	97¢	$64	0x1d4a3f…
05-07 10:19:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	58	95¢	$55	0xd3437a…
05-07 10:19:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x091648…
05-07 04:21:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0xead961…
05-06 22:20:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	62	94¢	$58	0x6972d2…
05-06 22:19:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x0c25e2…
05-05 07:46:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$54	0x90ea1a…
05-05 07:46:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x5aed8d…
05-05 04:25:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	67	97¢	$65	0x8fb0a9…
05-02 00:01:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	148	6¢	$9	0x8bd7fd…
05-01 18:53:18	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	8¢	$12	0xf97916…
04-30 20:53:30	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	71	97¢	$69	0x32cfa7…
04-30 15:15:38	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xb465c1…
04-29 13:07:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x9b0912…
04-29 13:06:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	73	2¢	$2	0xc31342…
04-29 10:07:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0xc108c9…
04-29 10:07:46	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x5771f0…
04-27 15:54:44	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0xd3607e…
04-27 14:51:58	Will Iran strike Oman by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x6c24e9…
04-27 09:54:50	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	81	95¢	$77	0x58554b…
04-27 07:00:06	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	81	95¢	$77	0xf7650c…
04-27 01:39:54	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	SELL	14	97¢	$14	0xab7d9c…
04-26 23:25:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x7a3603…
04-26 13:25:22	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	156	2¢	$3	0xe667ba…
04-26 12:00:32	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x8b0132…
04-26 12:00:32	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x29e50e…
04-26 06:18:34	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	6¢	$9	0xdccd39…
04-26 06:18:34	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	6¢	$2	0x8feef8…
04-26 03:39:34	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	6¢	$2	0x8f7e89…
04-26 03:38:56	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	6¢	$8	0x685014…
04-25 19:09:08	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	73	98¢	$71	0xbbf4a7…
04-25 16:40:22	Will Iran strike Turkey by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$72	0xd66432…
04-25 11:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	SELL	57	95¢	$54	0xeb97e2…
04-25 09:33:06	Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0x572c31…
04-25 01:16:54	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	72	98¢	$70	0xa7ed50…
04-24 22:21:44	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0xa8a57d…
04-24 20:04:18	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	81	95¢	$77	0x88e302…
04-24 18:15:34	Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	96¢	$77	0xc5e1af…
04-24 13:54:16	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0x9fd468…
04-24 11:21:30	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0xf244f3…
04-24 05:17:40	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$77	0x63fbf0…
04-24 03:22:52	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$77	0x4e2638…
04-23 11:46:10	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xc01491…
04-23 11:46:10	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x2f5835…
04-23 08:34:56	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x886df9…
04-23 08:34:56	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x5dcd95…
04-23 03:40:38	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	2¢	$2	0xa00600…
04-23 00:59:48	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0xc4d213…
04-23 00:59:48	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	2¢	$1	0x38488d…
04-22 13:43:38	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xd3a8d5…
04-22 13:43:38	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0x0aa85b…
04-22 09:48:12	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$71	0x6949da…
04-22 03:44:06	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	158	3¢	$4	0x6b1e51…
04-22 01:37:18	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	79	3¢	$2	0xf051d9…
04-22 01:37:18	Will Qatar strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	79	3¢	$2	0x52f3ca…
04-21 17:06:32	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0x54cfde…
04-21 16:34:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x1d6eeb…
04-21 09:55:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	75	95¢	$71	0x2aa377…
04-21 07:21:32	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x11c1e2…
04-21 05:07:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xa8d986…
04-21 05:07:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x445486…
04-21 00:52:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	73	98¢	$71	0x64a917…
04-20 16:26:04	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	99¢	$78	0x0811f8…
04-20 12:32:20	Will Iran strike Georgia by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0xd67c36…
04-18 23:16:04	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	74	93¢	$69	0xeda8d2…
04-18 23:16:04	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x071009…
04-18 18:42:38	Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	77	94¢	$72	0x3165d2…
04-15 12:46:40	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	44	98¢	$43	0x93a6bc…
04-15 11:21:52	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0x42c220…
04-15 07:11:52	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	74	98¢	$72	0x6be7aa…
04-12 15:43:35	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	79	94¢	$74	0x99a02d…
04-12 12:44:09	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xf2fde4…
04-12 12:44:07	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0xaecee6…