Drafty-Native — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.37K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

642

lifetime

Volume

$7.58M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11.8K

Open exposure

$282

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 09:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

65% 100% +$3,216

Other

29% 100% +$150

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No		+300	$283	94¢	$282	$-2	06-29 07:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	52	$2.72M	2,718,872	0	+2,718,872	Yes	+$2,719	05-09 19:30
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	40	$764.4K	510,258	255,176	+255,081	open	—	06-18 00:28
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	122	$747.6K	798,205	548,315	+249,890	open	—	01-04 23:08
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	52	$704.1K	437,896	287,364	+150,532	open	—	03-04 16:13
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	112	$580.1K	560,318	650,293	-89,975	open	—	02-03 18:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	17	$496.3K	496,822	0	+496,822	Yes	+$497	05-09 19:43
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	11	$262.1K	258,631	4,700	+253,931	open	—	06-03 16:01
will edgex launch a token in 2025	35	$250.7K	251,009	0	+251,009	open	—	01-03 00:26
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	29	$211.1K	211,982	0	+211,982	open	—	04-08 16:05
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	18	$153.4K	153,719	0	+153,719	open	—	02-03 20:03
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	1	$149.8K	150,000	0	+150,000	Yes	+$150	05-04 17:24
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$99.7K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	01-28 16:53
will bitcoin dip to 80k in february 2026 869 956	1	$67.2K	67,246	0	+67,246	open	—	02-01 06:20
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	22	$64.4K	64,470	0	+64,470	open	—	03-31 09:11
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	14	$60.3K	60,312	0	+60,312	open	—	05-28 17:00
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$54.6K	27,445	27,445	+0	open	—	01-01 14:05
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	1	$44.8K	44,825	0	+44,825	open	—	01-03 06:40
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	17	$44.7K	22,409	22,409	+0	open	—	06-17 15:57
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	16	$36.6K	0	40,000	-40,000	open	—	02-12 02:53
uel fen1 ast4 2026 01 22 fen1	2	$22.7K	30,000	8,630	+21,370	open	—	01-22 17:23
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	17	$20.0K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	03-06 04:30
nhl min stl 2026 04 13	3	$7.3K	10,920	5,460	+5,460	open	—	04-13 15:39
uel cel4 lil 2026 01 22 cel4	1	$4.9K	8,675	0	+8,675	open	—	01-22 19:56
fl1 ogc hac 2026 04 12 ogc	1	$4.7K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-12 15:09
lol blg al 2026 04 19	1	$4.3K	14,500	0	+14,500	open	—	04-19 10:36
nba cha hou 2026 02 05 spread home 4pt5	25	$2.3K	0	229,000	-229,000	open	—	02-06 04:21
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	2	$2.1K	2,322	0	+2,322	open	—	01-08 14:21
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	5	$1.5K	1,091	1,091	+0	open	—	02-12 16:23
will satoshi move any bitcoin in 2025	1	$1.2K	1,242	0	+1,242	open	—	01-01 04:19
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$630	742	0	+742	open	—	04-19 14:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 09:40:05	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x63d672…
06-29 07:05:59	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	300	94¢	$283	0x785fa7…
06-18 00:28:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	911	100¢	$910	0xf36cca…
06-18 00:27:53	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0x162244…
06-18 00:27:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb6ada2…
06-18 00:27:35	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x07f67c…
06-18 00:27:17	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x1e4843…
06-18 00:27:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x122db2…
06-18 00:26:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xf3e7cd…
06-18 00:26:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x717217…
06-18 00:26:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x6e2654…
06-18 00:26:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	100,000	100¢	$99,900	0x471bab…
06-18 00:26:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x28885c…
06-18 00:25:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	40,000	100¢	$39,960	0xc71459…
06-18 00:25:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x01c931…
06-18 00:25:41	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xc72dfc…
06-18 00:25:41	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x40b0b3…
06-18 00:25:41	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x340c59…
06-18 00:25:41	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2367ca…
06-18 00:25:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,015	100¢	$1,014	0xd23a79…
06-17 18:41:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	50,000	100¢	$49,850	0x501a65…
06-17 18:27:11	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	215,176	100¢	$214,746	0x49e845…
06-17 15:57:55	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	16,667	100¢	$16,634	0xac3428…
06-17 15:57:49	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd46bcb…
06-17 15:57:49	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x54cc90…
06-17 15:57:41	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4a186c…
06-17 15:57:22	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9cde20…
06-17 15:57:19	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,994	0x1ff490…
06-17 15:57:11	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4aedf0…
06-17 15:57:10	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	2,686	100¢	$2,681	0x3612df…
06-17 15:46:14	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0e2b9…
06-17 15:46:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xe6b2a6…
06-17 15:44:49	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x0b6eb9…
06-17 15:44:23	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0xd8dd27…
06-17 15:43:17	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x58b60b…
06-17 15:42:55	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9db5f7…
06-17 15:42:53	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	1,234	100¢	$1,232	0xb19766…
06-17 15:42:08	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	10,020	100¢	$10,000	0x5396c1…
06-17 15:41:34	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	5,010	100¢	$5,000	0x7b070c…
06-17 15:41:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	40,000	100¢	$39,960	0xda53ad…
06-17 15:38:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	878	100¢	$878	0xbb50bc…
06-17 15:38:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xef0590…
06-17 15:38:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc28a9e…
06-17 15:38:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1ffd3f…
06-17 15:38:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xb068a3…
06-17 15:38:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x90bb6c…
06-17 15:38:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x549997…
06-17 15:38:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x29d26c…
06-17 15:38:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	31,602	100¢	$31,571	0xbfc4bb…
06-17 15:34:46	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,832	100¢	$1,830	0x92c7af…
06-17 15:34:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa0e0fe…
06-17 15:34:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x72033b…
06-17 15:34:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x598e63…
06-17 15:34:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfec0a6…
06-17 15:33:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x4d472d…
06-17 15:33:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x41cbdc…
06-17 15:33:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	777	100¢	$777	0x3c3ff2…
06-17 15:33:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	87,498	100¢	$87,411	0x7437ec…
06-17 11:12:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	122,344	100¢	$122,222	0x4e1b3b…
06-03 16:01:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	195,590	100¢	$195,003	0xfc343b…
06-02 19:58:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18,341	99¢	$18,158	0x462f9b…
06-02 16:20:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,803	99¢	$5,745	0xe72f68…
06-02 16:18:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14,197	99¢	$14,055	0x4cc57e…
06-02 14:12:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20,000	99¢	$19,880	0x5ff4b9…
06-02 07:06:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,700	99¢	$4,663	0x3927ff…
06-01 17:01:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,540	99¢	$4,499	0x631992…
06-01 16:58:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	47¢	$15	0xf84db5…
06-01 16:58:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	111	47¢	$52	0x79d9c5…
06-01 16:58:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x452991…
06-01 16:58:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x32f64a…
05-28 17:00:31	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,121	100¢	$5,116	0x14e1a2…
05-28 17:00:17	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,275	100¢	$2,272	0xe9b664…
05-28 17:00:03	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x5c2f54…
05-28 16:59:38	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3b79e4…
05-28 16:59:37	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xa39b3c…
05-28 16:58:46	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x1c88ad…
05-28 16:58:44	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9,040	100¢	$9,031	0xbb6f5d…
05-28 16:58:35	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaab094…
05-28 16:58:16	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15,613	100¢	$15,597	0x7bfd04…
05-28 16:54:41	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xdfeb71…
05-28 16:53:40	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4,251	100¢	$4,246	0x8cddcd…
05-28 16:53:27	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x61157f…
05-28 16:53:10	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x3381f1…
05-28 16:53:05	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xad681e…
05-25 14:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	47	50¢	$24	0xf54731…
05-09 19:43:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65,617	100¢	$65,552	0xcf9b72…
05-09 19:43:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16,100	100¢	$16,084	0x7187d8…
05-09 19:43:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29,480	100¢	$29,451	0xe9e149…
05-09 19:43:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,000	100¢	$3,996	0xcf4a40…
05-09 19:43:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x7b9230…
05-09 19:43:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,600	100¢	$4,595	0xc70fdf…
05-09 19:43:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0xba0824…
05-09 19:43:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x057448…
05-09 19:43:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0xc5cbeb…
05-09 19:43:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,000	100¢	$7,992	0x741444…
05-09 19:43:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77,738	100¢	$77,660	0x5afc86…
05-09 19:38:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189,901	100¢	$189,711	0x390cdd…
05-09 19:38:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x4f7df0…
05-09 19:38:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x6779bb…
05-09 19:38:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0x38ea27…