Different-Conclusion — Polymarket

├──spot/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

├──perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──favourites

│ ├──heatmap

│ ├──treemap

│ └──orderflow

├──cex-perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──funding

│ ├──spreads

│ ├──sentiment

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

└──options/

├──btc

├──eth

└──sol

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

11

Trades

13

lifetime

Volume

$163

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$7

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 91% $-14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up		+8	$8	57¢	$5	$-3	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up		+8	$8	32¢	$3	$-5	05-05 15:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$20	21	+21	Down	+$1	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$20	20	+20	Down	+$0	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$17	29	+29	Down	$-17	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-05 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-05 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-05 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-05 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-05 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-05 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-05 04:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	05-05 15:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x8e58b3…
05-05 15:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x747719…
05-05 06:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x302279…
05-05 05:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64e10a…
05-05 04:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x024dea…
05-05 04:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x13f777…
05-05 04:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x93fb0a…
05-05 04:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x206d4c…
05-05 03:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd25a4f…
05-05 01:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	57¢	$17	0xc2c979…
05-05 01:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x13af5b…
05-04 23:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa129e2…
05-04 22:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x8302c1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	13	$1.11K	59	05-05 16:04
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	12	$2.95K	40	05-05 16:02
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	11	$605	42	05-05 16:02
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	10	$601	41	05-05 16:02
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	9	$985	51	05-05 16:02
Serene-Impression 0xce05…13c5	8	$958	8	05-05 06:04
Hidden-Plywood 0xee34…4f48	8	$533	20	05-05 06:04
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	6	$11.2K	8	05-05 16:04

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