Different-Conclusion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$532

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

2,860

Trades

7,778

lifetime

Volume

$55.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 08-23 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 87% +$100

Other

24% 33% -$632

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 43 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	6	$6.5K	5,040	5,040	+0	Yes	-$138	01-25 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 12?	3	$294	159	159	+0	No	-$6	08-11 03:03
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 03:15 UTC	88	$266	503	0	+503	Down	-$16	04-18 03:27
dota2 liquid vg 2026 04 20	2	$202	105	105	+0	Team Liquid	+$2	04-20 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 13?	7	$169	97	97	+0	No	+$4	07-13 04:08
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 02:40 UTC	46	$159	288	0	+288	Down	-$19	04-18 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 11:55 UTC	64	$147	292	0	+292	Up	-$2	03-14 11:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 03:55 UTC	52	$145	298	0	+298	Up	-$6	04-18 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	3	$145	110	110	+0	Yes	+$67	08-14 07:12
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 13?	2	$138	106	106	+0	Yes	+$74	08-13 08:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:05 UTC	55	$137	284	0	+284	Up	+$1	03-14 07:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:40 UTC	52	$137	271	0	+271	Up	+$1	03-14 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:50 UTC	49	$135	275	0	+275	Down	+$2	03-14 05:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 06:00 UTC	55	$135	260	0	+260	Down	-$2	03-14 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:15 UTC	46	$129	254	0	+254	Down	-$4	03-14 07:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 05:20 UTC	40	$127	253	0	+253	Down	-$2	03-14 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 15?	2	$126	105	105	+0	Yes	+$84	08-15 08:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 13:00 UTC	2	$126	67	67	+0	Up	+$6	06-05 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$125	65	65	+0	Up	+$3	06-05 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 06:10 UTC	46	$123	249	0	+249	Down	+$2	03-14 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 08:20 UTC	2	$123	63	63	+0	Up	+$3	06-05 08:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$122	62	62	+0	Down	+$1	04-27 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$122	62	62	+0	Up	+$1	04-27 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 06:25 UTC	40	$120	243	0	+243	Down	+$1	03-14 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 06:40 UTC	45	$120	251	0	+251	Down	-$1	03-14 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 12:10 UTC	3	$119	61	61	+0	Up	+$1	06-05 12:15
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 10?	3	$119	67	67	+0	No	-$1	07-09 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 12:00 UTC	40	$118	230	0	+230	Up	-$2	03-14 12:04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 15?	3	$117	208	105	+103	No	-$41	08-14 01:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 06:30 UTC	40	$115	226	0	+226	Down	-$2	03-14 06:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-23 13:20:22	Will TEAM VISION Win The International 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	70¢	$25	0xa94770…
08-23 10:15:10	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	TEAM VISION	SELL	61	16¢	$10	0x8befff…
08-23 09:31:43	Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	TEAM VISION	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x16a3ee…
08-23 03:57:48	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22 game2	Team Yandex	SELL	97	12¢	$12	0x1c7bdd…
08-23 03:43:12	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8ea85f…
08-23 03:36:42	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x5fd659…
08-23 02:36:33	dota2 ty ts8 2026 08 22 game1	Team Yandex	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x3bd3db…
08-17 00:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	106	1¢	$1	0x02ec33…
08-17 00:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	104	3¢	$3	0x7bdf88…
08-17 00:49:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	106	7¢	$7	0xec71c8…
08-16 08:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	106	8¢	$8	0xfe7bd5…
08-16 08:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	104	26¢	$27	0x4ed50e…
08-16 08:25:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	106	31¢	$33	0x8bdd20…
08-15 09:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x60a6d8…
08-15 09:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x5f6ebb…
08-15 08:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xcc80d9…
08-14 19:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$9	0xe107a5…
08-14 19:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	105	34¢	$36	0xac2547…
08-14 19:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	109	7¢	$7	0xae12d4…
08-14 19:29:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	110	2¢	$2	0x57cc34…
08-14 11:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	110	4¢	$4	0x95058b…
08-14 11:51:48	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	109	17¢	$18	0x4cdb40…
08-14 11:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	106	36¢	$38	0x3dcfa7…
08-14 07:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$104	0x6fa903…
08-14 01:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$5	0xbeaef1…
08-14 01:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	106	13¢	$14	0xed442a…
08-14 01:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x71e316…
08-14 01:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	106	4¢	$5	0xc852a0…
08-14 00:27:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	108	1¢	$1	0xe4e55f…
08-14 00:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	108	23¢	$25	0x1c1cee…
08-14 00:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	105	9¢	$10	0xe9e7fe…
08-14 00:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	105	1¢	$1	0xdbd765…
08-14 00:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	106	20¢	$21	0xa9bafc…
08-14 00:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	107	6¢	$6	0xf39076…
08-13 23:44:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	108	1¢	$1	0x6a6b41…
08-13 23:44:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	109	3¢	$4	0x773ca8…
08-13 23:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	109	13¢	$14	0x2e0621…
08-13 23:44:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	SELL	105	36¢	$38	0x88e64f…
08-13 21:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 14?	Yes	SELL	37	53¢	$20	0x978bbf…
08-13 21:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 14?	Yes	SELL	86	33¢	$28	0xf7f2b4…
08-13 20:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x156d69…
08-13 20:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xdd5fc4…
08-13 14:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	107	7¢	$7	0xa5fcdc…
08-13 14:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	105	20¢	$21	0x59bd44…
08-13 14:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	105	41¢	$43	0xd07466…
08-13 14:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	108	6¢	$6	0x4a1265…
08-13 14:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	109	8¢	$9	0x395d31…
08-13 14:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	109	20¢	$22	0x8299a9…
08-13 14:47:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	105	37¢	$39	0x4a82ad…
08-13 08:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0xa74245…
08-13 06:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	108	8¢	$9	0xf5f80e…
08-13 06:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	104	25¢	$26	0x38c200…
08-13 06:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	104	42¢	$44	0x2e0876…
08-13 03:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	48	1¢	$0	0x04d757…
08-13 00:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x9a1893…
08-13 00:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xdf294b…
08-12 09:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xa407c2…
08-12 09:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xd81278…
08-12 09:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x29768f…
08-12 09:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	110	36¢	$39	0x51a501…
08-12 09:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	105	31¢	$32	0xdc10b7…
08-12 09:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	105	13¢	$14	0x632027…
08-12 09:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xb71aeb…
08-12 09:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x71ca2c…
08-12 09:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x215b79…
08-12 09:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0dde50…
08-12 09:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0xfcdc6d…
08-12 07:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	54	1¢	$1	0xe2740d…
08-12 07:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0xb3c8ea…
08-12 03:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf1db6a…
08-12 02:42:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	110	15¢	$17	0x9819c8…
08-12 02:38:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	114	34¢	$39	0x3d9caa…
08-12 02:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	116	14¢	$16	0x7186a5…
08-12 02:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x375e9b…
08-11 17:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4f1572…
08-11 11:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	106	30¢	$32	0x1a4292…
08-11 11:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	106	21¢	$22	0x802cf4…
08-11 11:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	106	10¢	$10	0x0d60f2…
08-11 09:58:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x19ec14…
08-11 09:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	104	40¢	$42	0xf5e2ce…
08-11 09:52:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xa016eb…
08-11 06:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x61ca2a…
08-11 06:30:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa3a400…
08-11 04:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe89f01…
08-11 04:32:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xd88fd7…
08-11 04:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x71e34f…
08-11 04:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0xaf5d4a…
08-11 03:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xf693a6…
08-11 03:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd2bdc1…
08-11 03:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	40	1¢	$0	0x034402…
08-11 03:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x2ba8a7…
08-11 03:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0xf5a50f…
08-11 03:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 11?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x6d10e8…
08-11 03:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 11?	No	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0xcebffa…
08-11 03:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 11?	No	SELL	21	85¢	$17	0xab661f…
08-11 03:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 11?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xcaf7f2…
08-11 03:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 11?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0730de…
08-11 03:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x1f453b…
08-11 03:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 12?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x076427…
08-11 03:04:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0x820e71…