Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$280

Unrealized P&L

+$767

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

134

lifetime

Volume

$30.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$228

Open exposure

$33

2 positions

First seen

2026-11-04

last 11-07 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

96% 100% +$267

Crypto

3% 86% +$13

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	—	+33	$32	98¢	$33	+$1	11-07 17:58
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	Yes		+0	-$766	99¢	$0	+$766	11-04 13:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?	7	$9.3K	5,069	5,069	+0	open	—	11-04 13:09
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	9	$7.9K	4,356	4,356	+0	Yes	+$103	11-04 02:42
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	6	$4.1K	2,269	2,269	+0	Yes	+$74	11-04 02:12
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	2	$2.4K	1,346	1,346	+0	open	—	11-04 02:21
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,111	1,111	+0	Yes	+$11	11-04 02:15
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	5	$2.0K	1,079	1,079	+0	Yes	+$30	11-04 01:18
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$1.1K	591	591	+0	Yes	+$40	11-04 01:31
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	2	$498	266	266	+0	Yes	+$9	11-04 01:38
Dogecoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$116	118	0	+118	Up	+$2	11-07 17:18
Solana Up or Down - November 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$89	90	0	+90	Down	+$1	11-07 15:49
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	7	$88	92	0	+92	Up	+$4	11-07 16:34
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	6	$77	85	0	+85	Down	+$8	11-07 15:29
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	5	$73	75	0	+75	Up	+$2	11-07 16:59
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$71	72	0	+72	Down	+$1	11-07 17:09
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	5	$61	61	0	+61	Up	+$1	11-07 15:23
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$56	57	0	+57	Up	+$1	11-07 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$55	74	0	+74	Up	+$18	11-07 17:32
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$55	56	0	+56	Up	+$1	11-07 17:02
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	11-07 12:17
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$50	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	11-07 17:24
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	11-07 14:35
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$49	51	0	+51	Down	+$3	11-07 15:33
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$46	47	0	+47	Down	+$1	11-07 17:08
Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	5	$45	27	27	+0	Up	-$8	11-07 15:54
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$42	44	0	+44	Down	+$2	11-07 14:43
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$32	33	0	+33	open	—	11-07 17:58
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	2	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	11-07 15:33
XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$30	30	0	+30	Down	+$0	11-07 15:34
US recession by end of 2026?	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	11-07 15:09
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	2	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	11-07 15:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 17:58:37	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xd9bc5a…
11-07 17:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	74	75¢	$55	0x5cd8f9…
11-07 17:24:28	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xcaa091…
11-07 17:24:13	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x677df3…
11-07 17:18:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x29d505…
11-07 17:18:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x99e228…
11-07 17:18:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x06f2d8…
11-07 17:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x145a2b…
11-07 17:09:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfda095…
11-07 17:09:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x6f4c4e…
11-07 17:08:37	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x0ddea2…
11-07 17:08:34	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x7a8d05…
11-07 17:08:31	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x470a3c…
11-07 17:02:58	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0xda5a8b…
11-07 16:59:33	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x053602…
11-07 16:59:04	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x97b1f7…
11-07 16:59:04	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x48f1cd…
11-07 16:59:00	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x40f6e3…
11-07 16:58:57	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x362af6…
11-07 16:58:54	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3e051a…
11-07 16:58:52	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	97¢	$53	0x67b9a6…
11-07 16:54:43	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x45c67e…
11-07 16:54:27	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xacba30…
11-07 16:54:27	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x1d86fd…
11-07 16:43:57	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x1a53a8…
11-07 16:43:52	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x0a917b…
11-07 16:34:15	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x4a335c…
11-07 16:34:09	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcf6573…
11-07 16:34:06	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$7	0x54025f…
11-07 16:34:04	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x413b53…
11-07 16:33:51	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xc02d30…
11-07 16:33:48	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x72881a…
11-07 16:33:45	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1d40c1…
11-07 16:33:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x0e75f0…
11-07 16:29:55	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xa79f6e…
11-07 16:29:55	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x3e450e…
11-07 16:29:55	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x25e3af…
11-07 16:28:43	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xcfcf51…
11-07 15:54:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xe6c382…
11-07 15:54:21	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	15	68¢	$10	0x8dc934…
11-07 15:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf5300b…
11-07 15:53:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x25ca98…
11-07 15:53:31	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x8189a9…
11-07 15:53:31	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x69c678…
11-07 15:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xb6c30f…
11-07 15:49:00	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xb94daa…
11-07 15:48:30	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x7f53ff…
11-07 15:43:57	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xbf3be5…
11-07 15:43:51	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5ca004…
11-07 15:35:01	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October?	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x69360c…
11-07 15:34:12	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x53b8c7…
11-07 15:34:07	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5cfda7…
11-07 15:33:40	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xd08a63…
11-07 15:33:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x934f1c…
11-07 15:33:15	Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xd3b719…
11-07 15:33:01	Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?	Yes	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0xf8e088…
11-07 15:32:57	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in October?	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x935bfa…
11-07 15:32:52	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x18e35d…
11-07 15:29:00	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$16	0xf55353…
11-07 15:28:57	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x07e697…
11-07 15:28:34	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$8	0x285c50…
11-07 15:28:24	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x1c4a88…
11-07 15:28:22	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x97c0f3…
11-07 15:28:19	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0x0697a6…
11-07 15:23:51	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x734462…
11-07 15:23:30	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc8a82b…
11-07 15:23:28	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x2b9b4d…
11-07 15:23:24	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd1d2fc…
11-07 15:23:24	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xb0652d…
11-07 15:23:16	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x677d8f…
11-07 15:23:15	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7a7489…
11-07 15:13:22	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x18e518…
11-07 15:13:22	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x175edb…
11-07 15:13:16	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2cad56…
11-07 15:13:15	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa46a49…
11-07 15:09:19	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	16	95¢	$15	0x36266d…
11-07 15:03:04	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x8020b8…
11-07 14:58:36	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x707103…
11-07 14:58:31	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$5	0x602abc…
11-07 14:58:30	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$11	0x2c7281…
11-07 14:58:18	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf54c3f…
11-07 14:58:16	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7337f5…
11-07 14:43:42	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xb3f809…
11-07 14:43:39	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0xb60d75…
11-07 14:43:25	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x21146e…
11-07 14:38:27	Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0xc4ac20…
11-07 14:35:09	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x91976a…
11-07 14:33:15	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x60ce91…
11-07 14:28:19	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x90feb5…
11-07 14:14:13	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x2d694b…
11-07 14:13:48	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xfd30aa…
11-07 14:03:16	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0x4ab695…
11-07 13:41:28	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x63656d…
11-07 13:41:04	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x4654b1…
11-07 13:38:54	Solana Up or Down - November 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xaa3d9a…
11-07 13:33:31	XRP Up or Down - November 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0x01b1b1…
11-07 12:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2efa34…
11-07 12:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xf6933e…
11-07 12:17:42	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xda345f…
11-07 11:48:07	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 16 and November 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0xe07293…