Respectful-Train — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$180

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$50.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$333

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 06-09 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

70% — —

Crypto

27% 50% +$301

Other

3% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-121

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	1	$11.0K	11,023	0	+11,023	open	—	06-04 13:50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$10.9K	11,000	0	+11,000	open	—	06-03 13:13
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$9.0K	9,000	0	+9,000	open	—	04-30 20:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	7	$4.2K	2,310	2,310	+0	open	—	04-21 18:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$2.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	04-12 16:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	5	$2.5K	3,600	3,600	+0	open	—	05-23 18:39
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	1	$1.8K	1,940	0	+1,940	open	—	04-12 17:54
military action against iran ends by june 30 2026	1	$1.6K	1,657	0	+1,657	open	—	04-12 15:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	5	$738	665	665	+0	Yes	+$446	05-05 14:21
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	12	$652	750	750	+0	open	—	04-09 16:51
Military action against Iran ends by April 29, 2026?	1	$435	458	0	+458	open	—	04-12 14:35
will bitcoin reach 74k april 6 12	4	$369	400	85	+315	open	—	04-09 11:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	3	$330	1,500	300	+1,200	open	—	04-07 15:18
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	4	$307	187	187	+0	open	—	04-09 18:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	1	$247	650	0	+650	open	—	04-20 10:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$246	275	272	+3	open	—	03-30 19:30
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	3	$243	2,319	0	+2,319	open	—	04-25 19:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	8	$234	1,301	1,301	+0	No	+$26	05-11 16:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$228	600	600	+0	open	—	05-07 20:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	2	$198	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	05-11 14:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	5	$181	2,000	1,122	+878	open	—	05-31 18:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$170	460	0	+460	open	—	04-20 16:44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	3	$170	700	700	+0	open	—	06-09 07:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	3	$160	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	04-27 06:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	11	$150	600	600	+0	open	—	05-10 07:20
will 15 19 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	1	$147	350	0	+350	open	—	03-29 20:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$140	500	500	+0	open	—	05-27 13:16
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$121	1,100	0	+1,100	No	$-121	04-17 09:04
will 40 49 ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 6 april 12	1	$120	800	0	+800	open	—	04-12 19:59
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	3	$116	1,000	276	+724	open	—	05-18 05:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 07:09:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	700	9¢	$65	0x5a580e…
06-08 07:05:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	160	15¢	$24	0x00bb5c…
06-08 06:51:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	540	15¢	$81	0x183fe3…
06-04 13:50:00	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	11,023	100¢	$11,001	0x29fd03…
06-03 13:13:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11,000	100¢	$10,945	0xe634bb…
05-31 18:51:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	468	7¢	$33	0x0719df…
05-31 06:46:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	654	7¢	$48	0x65fe2c…
05-30 11:52:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	1,990	5¢	$100	0x74cc70…
05-30 11:33:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xca34ed…
05-30 11:33:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc5e10e…
05-27 13:16:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0xc412c6…
05-25 09:03:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	14¢	$70	0x5fac33…
05-25 09:03:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0xfdb341…
05-23 18:39:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	3,102	70¢	$2,172	0x4a405a…
05-23 18:27:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	52	70¢	$37	0x88d0c0…
05-23 18:26:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	145	70¢	$102	0xdd72c3…
05-23 08:49:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	300	45¢	$135	0x4769f7…
05-23 08:33:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	3,600	3¢	$101	0x864d64…
05-19 06:40:18	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	513	8¢	$41	0x458dce…
05-19 04:32:15	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x61a477…
05-19 04:32:07	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x75db0c…
05-19 04:21:30	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x80b773…
05-19 04:21:30	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x328d65…
05-18 05:24:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	276	2¢	$6	0x488dc9…
05-17 11:12:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0xe6e1a5…
05-17 11:12:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xbfa137…
05-17 11:12:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xd0b749…
05-17 11:12:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0xaac159…
05-17 11:12:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	76	4¢	$3	0x5afbc2…
05-17 11:12:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x0ba25b…
05-17 11:12:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0xb6e1c0…
05-17 11:12:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	76	4¢	$3	0x824bd4…
05-17 11:12:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0xd74174…
05-17 11:12:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x1a51d2…
05-17 11:12:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x1722f6…
05-17 11:12:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	76	4¢	$3	0xf908c5…
05-17 11:12:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x53ff32…
05-17 11:12:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	190	4¢	$7	0x352ee6…
05-17 11:12:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0x10bfc0…
05-17 10:17:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	1,020	4¢	$38	0xf04a42…
05-17 10:17:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	380	4¢	$14	0x255257…
05-13 15:35:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	170	11¢	$19	0x223623…
05-13 15:35:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	830	11¢	$91	0x001e4f…
05-11 16:11:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	1,301	10¢	$130	0x3d5193…
05-11 14:21:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	600	17¢	$102	0x45128d…
05-11 13:36:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	600	16¢	$96	0xd3bb2c…
05-11 13:35:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,255	8¢	$100	0xe21709…
05-11 13:03:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xcc7496…
05-11 13:03:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x8ec38d…
05-11 13:03:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x116d7c…
05-11 12:12:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x2268af…
05-11 12:00:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xbd6fe1…
05-11 09:37:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xc02a49…
05-11 08:14:15	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,700	6¢	$102	0xa148d3…
05-10 07:20:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	600	11¢	$66	0xde6c02…
05-07 20:38:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	16¢	$96	0x14d455…
05-07 08:38:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x82fed9…
05-06 13:56:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	335	14¢	$47	0x83c3d7…
05-06 13:49:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x8ba597…
05-06 13:48:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x653992…
05-06 13:44:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	33	14¢	$5	0xe3cc39…
05-06 13:43:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xa559b7…
05-06 13:43:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x6bb60e…
05-06 13:41:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x3c3674…
05-06 13:40:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x291307…
05-06 13:38:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x4addea…
05-06 13:38:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x5a8fac…
05-06 13:28:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	22¢	$132	0x5798a7…
05-05 14:21:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	400	95¢	$380	0xa1ce0c…
05-05 08:53:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	185	80¢	$148	0x9bf6ef…
05-05 08:53:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	80	80¢	$64	0x30e931…
05-04 00:00:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	635	22¢	$140	0xbc5f0c…
05-03 11:47:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	587	10¢	$59	0x61376f…
05-03 11:30:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x043b69…
05-03 11:24:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xd08e51…
05-03 11:19:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xc71227…
05-03 10:12:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xb53fbc…
05-03 09:41:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x6cfa01…
05-03 09:37:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x98cbcc…
05-03 09:37:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2a1e6b…
05-03 09:15:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x9a7008…
04-30 20:05:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	No	BUY	9,000	100¢	$8,955	0x4b7983…
04-27 06:31:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	317	25¢	$79	0x2db44e…
04-27 06:06:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0xe9377e…
04-27 05:27:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x02e6e1…
04-25 19:57:04	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	400	8¢	$32	0x6ac2ac…
04-25 15:54:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	978	10¢	$98	0xd155a8…
04-25 15:18:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xa70bcc…
04-24 20:50:22	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	1,900	11¢	$209	0x35964c…
04-24 11:35:08	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x44c9c0…
04-21 18:26:08	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,992	0xf03adf…
04-21 15:32:14	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	1,179	97¢	$1,138	0xbfca9f…
04-21 15:26:16	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	631	97¢	$609	0x88ab8e…
04-21 15:22:06	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x98696c…
04-21 15:19:36	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	132	96¢	$127	0x5c3303…
04-20 16:44:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	460	15¢	$69	0x3d7959…
04-20 16:44:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	460	37¢	$170	0x012f18…
04-20 10:11:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?	No	BUY	650	38¢	$247	0x53442d…
04-19 20:00:00	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$24	0x27276c…
04-19 19:59:54	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	Yes	BUY	533	5¢	$24	0x80ff80…