This-Instant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$301

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

509

Trades

1,182

lifetime

Volume

$22.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$52

1 position

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-30 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Other

51% 45% -$45

Crypto

28% 31% -$521

Sports

18% 41% +$278

Tech

3% — —

Politics

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	Yes		+200	$72	26¢	$52	-$20	09-29 14:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?	8	$831	706	366	+340	Yes	+$154	05-24 16:56
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	8	$565	410	410	+0	open	—	08-05 17:31
cs2 hero k271 2026 07 18 game2	2	$331	181	181	+0	Heroic	+$31	07-18 18:09
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-06-05 04:00 UTC	27	$286	530	530	+0	Up	+$187	06-05 07:28
ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14 totals 2pt5	2	$269	190	190	+0	Under	+$109	06-15 03:30
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?	2	$241	142	142	+0	Yes	+$42	06-17 06:18
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 go the distance	2	$231	140	140	+0	No	+$46	06-15 04:12
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$228	200	200	+0	Knicks	+$168	06-11 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	11	$225	182	182	+0	Up	+$95	05-23 08:38
lol khk ewi 2026 07 02	7	$216	191	191	+0	E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS	+$109	07-02 16:57
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$191	167	103	+64	Argentina	-$47	07-04 00:30
Spurs vs. Thunder	3	$188	129	129	+0	Spurs	+$70	05-19 04:13
cs2 b8 gl1 2026 06 07 game2	3	$181	110	110	+0	GamerLegion	+$38	06-07 17:38
ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	2	$173	110	110	+0	Diego Lopes	+$47	06-15 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$168	147	147	+0	Up	+$118	05-20 06:39
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?	2	$164	114	114	+0	Yes	+$64	08-30 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	8	$144	133	133	+0	Down	+$94	05-21 04:09
cs2 tl1 fly 2026 06 05 game2	2	$143	100	100	+0	FlyQuest	+$57	06-05 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	12	$141	148	148	+0	Up	+$81	05-20 09:19
ufc der jos52 2026 06 14 hokit win by ko tko	3	$139	88	88	+0	Yes	+$35	06-15 02:51
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?	2	$131	85	85	+0	Yes	+$39	06-14 06:13
ufc far tom14 2026 06 06	3	$127	137	97	+40	Tom Nolan	+$65	06-07 01:34
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	1	$124	143	0	+143	Aurora Gaming	+$19	10-11 12:21
lol drx kt 2026 07 20	7	$122	100	100	+0	Kiwoom DRX	+$58	07-20 15:21
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner	2	$122	73	73	+0	MOUZ	+$24	08-27 15:06
cs2 b8 gl1 2026 06 07	3	$118	110	110	+0	B8	+$99	06-07 18:29
cs2 nemi1 g1 2026 08 04 game2	2	$118	65	65	+0	GenOne	+$12	08-04 15:52
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	2	$117	119	119	+0	B8	+$17	05-20 10:19
lol dk t1 2026 08 06 game2	2	$116	68	68	+0	T1	+$18	08-06 11:44
cs2 mouz 9z 2026 08 27 game2 round handicap mouz 3pt5	2	$116	76	76	+0	MOUZ	+$36	08-27 15:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:43:18	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FURIA (+3.5)	MOUZ	BUY	77	39¢	$30	0x8c64a9…
10-30 14:43:07	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)	MOUZ	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x871b43…
10-27 13:41:26	Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5	Over	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x87e327…
10-26 14:06:29	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x7ce40c…
10-25 14:45:24	Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-2.5)	AFC Bournemouth	BUY	106	28¢	$30	0x059f77…
10-25 14:04:09	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	89	39¢	$35	0x0bcda4…
10-24 20:15:50	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x9270ea…
10-24 20:09:47	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x79f1df…
10-24 19:42:26	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x15c72d…
10-24 19:08:24	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	61	61¢	$37	0x5120f7…
10-24 19:06:47	Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x793fbc…
10-24 18:37:05	UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Rizvan Kuniev	BUY	78	45¢	$35	0x48a6d8…
10-24 17:37:32	Will Azamat Murzakanov win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xba6032…
10-24 16:56:23	Will Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	65	54¢	$35	0x681a52…
10-24 16:54:24	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x65ad60…
10-24 15:29:48	UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Abubakar Vagaev	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x78806b…
10-24 15:12:08	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Daniel Santos	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x49abc7…
10-24 14:56:41	UFC 333: Daniel Santos vs. Bolaji Oki (Featherweight, Early Prelims)	Daniel Santos	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x68262d…
10-24 14:39:29	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	53	55¢	$29	0xd6a537…
10-24 14:35:48	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	63	32¢	$20	0x4745eb…
10-21 15:16:03	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	172	32¢	$55	0x281db6…
10-19 11:44:20	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-19?	Yes	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x98ddde…
10-19 11:44:12	Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)	Coventry City FC	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0xcfd5ab…
10-18 15:04:59	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	123	65¢	$80	0x164887…
10-18 14:05:42	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf8ff7c…
10-18 11:17:14	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	144	34¢	$49	0x5caab9…
10-18 02:20:50	O/U 3.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	55	53¢	$29	0xfed3e6…
10-18 02:20:29	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x1757ac…
10-14 16:01:52	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	69	44¢	$30	0xc9a6e7…
10-14 13:13:57	cs2 fal2 nip 2026 10 14 game1	NIP	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x6fc083…
10-11 15:41:12	Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x726a93…
10-11 15:07:42	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0xc8f8db…
10-11 14:18:01	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x40feec…
10-11 14:16:51	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x7ad6c6…
10-11 12:21:49	Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Aurora Gaming	BUY	143	87¢	$124	0x6ad311…
10-11 02:40:54	UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)	Christian Leroy Duncan	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0x67b050…
10-11 02:03:17	O/U 4.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x34989f…
10-11 01:57:56	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0x33769f…
10-10 12:29:01	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x658fe4…
10-05 13:56:29	Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)	Spirit	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xf86103…
10-05 13:55:53	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0xc03fe5…
10-04 17:38:50	cs2 vit navi 2026 10 04 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x7ebaf7…
10-04 16:12:34	Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	1WIN	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0xfc4ebf…
10-04 16:11:28	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x047dbc…
10-04 16:11:11	Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5)	Vitality	BUY	62	47¢	$29	0x2c99d3…
10-04 12:01:40	cs2 fal2 aur1 2026 10 04 game1 round handicap fal2 3pt5	Team Falcons	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x71f383…
10-04 12:01:05	cs2 fal2 aur1 2026 10 04	Team Falcons	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0x68e9d6…
10-04 02:32:28	UFC 332: Natalia Silva vs. Wang Cong (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Wang Cong	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x1e9e4f…
10-03 20:06:08	UFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Eric Nolan	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xd0ce40…
10-03 20:06:07	UFC 332: Court McGee vs. Eric Nolan (Welterweight, Early Prelims)	Eric Nolan	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xe1e760…
09-29 15:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2795cd…
09-29 15:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x21d852…
09-29 15:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xb37d2d…
09-29 15:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x82b1d7…
09-29 15:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7cce8e…
09-29 15:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x698190…
09-29 15:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xc3a362…
09-29 15:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0x9f2056…
09-29 15:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x738a3d…
09-29 15:07:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4eb162…
09-29 14:37:44	us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x6d16f6…
09-20 00:28:33	Fight to Go the Distance?	No	BUY	55	51¢	$28	0xac4a1b…
09-18 18:35:15	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0x5da23f…
09-18 18:34:46	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?	Yes	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0xa56f7a…
09-13 17:14:27	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	90	74¢	$67	0x2aa65e…
09-13 17:13:46	Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	80	23¢	$18	0x540c9c…
09-13 16:41:54	Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	80	35¢	$28	0x10c9d1…
09-12 17:35:19	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xba9edf…
09-12 17:34:49	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	160	63¢	$101	0x163ec4…
09-09 19:45:42	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xffeb30…
09-09 19:43:37	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	Yes	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x066581…
09-02 00:02:18	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Under	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x6c36cd…
09-01 16:10:30	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	INOX Division	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0xc458fa…
09-01 16:10:24	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	INOX Division	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x7315c8…
09-01 16:02:15	Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	INOX Division	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x064c49…
09-01 10:10:49	LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner	KT Rolster	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0xa167bc…
09-01 10:10:21	LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 4 Winner	KT Rolster	BUY	55	45¢	$25	0x9844a5…
09-01 10:09:55	LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xaf0012…
09-01 09:37:25	LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x5b81e5…
08-31 17:04:19	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	68	38¢	$26	0xe01860…
08-31 17:03:58	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0xc00a9d…
08-31 12:59:39	cs2 g2 aur1 2026 08 31 game2	Aurora Gaming	BUY	120	14¢	$17	0xf864a2…
08-30 16:32:19	Will Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x23a663…
08-30 16:03:52	Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	90	30¢	$27	0xf138c0…
08-30 15:59:25	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x5b9b85…
08-30 13:01:00	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	79	73¢	$58	0xf8fdf2…
08-30 12:59:46	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xf986f7…
08-30 11:48:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xe66880…
08-30 11:45:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x8561ba…
08-30 11:42:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x07f492…
08-30 11:42:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x3e6fd3…
08-30 09:42:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6f74c2…
08-30 09:33:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-30 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xaffbd1…
08-29 06:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcdea0f…
08-29 06:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb4dcba…
08-29 06:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6a8078…
08-28 18:24:42	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	48	60¢	$29	0x5154a3…
08-28 18:24:28	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xf85d77…
08-28 17:11:24	cs2 m80 furia 2026 08 28 game1	M80	BUY	45	38¢	$17	0x1bf9df…
08-28 16:09:28	cs2 navi pain 2026 08 28 game2	Natus Vincere	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x4594fa…