Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17.1K

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

98.3%

Resolved

269

Trades

1,291

lifetime

Volume

$391.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$303

Open exposure

$299

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 10-13 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

56% 76% +$15,235

Politics

30% 73% +$1,407

Crypto

13% 75% +$234

Tech

1% 71% +$221

Sports

0% 50% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes		+333	$300	86¢	$288	-$12	10-13 20:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+15	$10	72¢	$11	+$1	10-13 19:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	23	$50.2K	50,447	0	+50,447	No	+$202	06-03 17:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$50.2K	50,202	0	+50,202	No	+$50	06-02 15:43
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	2	$50.0K	50,151	0	+50,151	No	+$150	04-30 21:41
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$43.8K	43,837	0	+43,837	No	+$44	06-02 20:02
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	16	$40.4K	40,500	0	+40,500	Yes	+$137	06-17 22:19
will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 90 mph 20260626193609214	26	$11.0K	6,606	6,215	+391	Yes	+$971	07-27 02:35
dota2 zedies gl 2026 07 07	11	$10.6K	5,643	4,983	+660	GamerLegion	+$6	07-07 16:45
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	1	$9.3K	9,325	0	+9,325	No	+$9	06-09 02:08
will iran close its airspace by july 15 20260609184136055	17	$8.6K	9,685	221	+9,464	Yes	+$932	06-17 22:09
will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 95 mph 20260626193609215	14	$8.0K	4,837	4,100	+737	Yes	+$938	07-27 02:35
will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260626193609216	13	$8.0K	5,366	4,327	+1,039	Yes	+$1,650	07-27 05:06
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	5	$7.7K	7,763	0	+7,763	Yes	+$27	06-21 17:25
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$6.8K	6,880	0	+6,880	Yes	+$32	06-17 18:36
Will the median home value in Chicago be between $348,000 and $351,000 on June 30?	3	$4.9K	4,974	0	+4,974	No	+$51	06-28 13:24
2026 corales puntacana championship top10 nick dunlap	8	$4.0K	2,878	1,880	+997	No	+$89	07-19 03:50
2026 corales puntacana championship top20 danny walker	6	$3.3K	2,038	2,038	+0	No	+$116	07-13 22:35
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	2	$2.8K	2,782	0	+2,782	Yes	+$6	06-09 02:09
Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	2	$2.2K	2,259	0	+2,259	Yes	+$62	07-29 00:18
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%?	12	$2.1K	1,709	972	+737	Yes	-$363	07-19 00:16
will taiwan semiconductor tsm q2 revenue usd be above 39b 20260618163307484	11	$2.1K	1,200	1,150	+50	Yes	+$214	07-13 05:32
Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $335,000 and $340,000 on September 30?	7	$2.0K	1,810	1,612	+198	No	+$171	07-12 01:23
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,171,000 and $1,204,000 on June 30?	2	$1.9K	1,959	0	+1,959	No	+$21	06-28 13:18
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	5	$1.9K	1,890	0	+1,890	Yes	+$7	06-21 18:16
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in June 2026?	8	$1.8K	1,871	0	+1,871	Yes	+$26	07-01 16:04
will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt8b 20260618022527839	6	$1.8K	1,576	663	+913	No	+$362	07-10 13:28
will morgan stanley ms q2 investment banking revenue be above 2pt0b	1	$1.7K	1,691	0	+1,691	Yes	+$2	07-15 11:44
will verizon vz q2 total operating revenue be above 34pt5b 20260703212040738	8	$1.3K	889	631	+259	No	-$123	07-17 22:35
Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?	20	$1.2K	877	877	-0	No	+$211	07-27 20:30
Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?	36	$1.2K	1,100	593	+507	No	+$160	08-03 14:31
Will the median home value in New York City be between $599,000 and $606,000 on June 30?	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$12	06-29 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 20:57:37	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	90¢	$74	0x09d97f…
10-13 20:57:37	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	90¢	$226	0x03347b…
10-13 19:59:30	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xca060e…
09-30 13:10:15	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	1,253	0¢	$3	0x8225fd…
09-30 13:08:14	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	69	0¢	$0	0x2cfae6…
09-30 13:08:11	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	63	0¢	$0	0xae6df6…
09-30 13:08:09	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x32dc30…
09-30 13:02:41	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $330,000 and $335,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x1833e1…
09-17 23:58:31	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xcd2c4c…
09-17 23:58:30	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $320,000 and $325,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	223	0¢	$1	0xd11ec5…
08-17 10:54:52	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 17b 20260804003708907	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xdbcbd3…
08-17 10:54:25	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 18b 20260804003708908	No	BUY	34	77¢	$26	0x3a28ed…
08-12 15:13:13	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 18b 20260804003708908	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x6ff510…
08-11 06:15:07	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 85 mph 20260727152106457	Yes	BUY	80	91¢	$73	0x33b676…
08-05 23:35:54	etsy quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt72	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xee7a35…
08-05 23:35:36	etsy quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt72	Yes	BUY	256	10¢	$26	0x73b3bc…
08-05 18:42:08	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	Yes	BUY	362	12¢	$44	0x0a695e…
08-05 18:33:30	Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio 88%-90%?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x787998…
08-05 17:34:21	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 18b 20260804003708908	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x2e22ac…
08-05 07:41:06	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 17b 20260804003708907	No	BUY	57	71¢	$41	0x73ad3b…
08-05 07:40:57	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 17b 20260804003708907	No	BUY	12	71¢	$9	0x2f4c06…
08-05 07:40:56	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 17b 20260804003708907	No	BUY	75	71¢	$53	0xb62ccc…
08-05 07:40:54	will broadcom avgo q3 ai revenue be above 18b 20260804003708908	No	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0x65617c…
08-04 12:01:44	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 90 mph 20260727152106458	Yes	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xd41b80…
08-04 12:01:36	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 105 mph 20260727152106461	Yes	BUY	93	98¢	$91	0x353ee9…
08-04 12:01:27	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 100 mph 20260727152106460	Yes	BUY	300	98¢	$295	0xb7f251…
08-04 12:01:09	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 90 mph 20260727152106458	Yes	BUY	130	99¢	$129	0xc3f767…
08-04 12:01:03	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 95 mph 20260727152106459	Yes	BUY	73	99¢	$72	0xdb6670…
08-04 12:00:59	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 90 mph 20260727152106458	Yes	BUY	195	98¢	$192	0xd3688b…
08-04 12:00:53	will the highest recorded wind on mtpt washington in july be at least 85 mph 20260727152106457	Yes	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0xf89055…
08-03 14:31:48	Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0x40d2cd…
08-03 14:31:45	Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in July?	No	SELL	447	100¢	$446	0x3bd571…
08-03 06:59:26	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	No	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x981465…
08-03 01:54:57	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x617bb3…
08-02 23:45:21	Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x820eb8…
08-02 17:12:11	Will the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $325,000 and $330,000 on September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xc02e1a…
07-31 19:48:12	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	559	37¢	$207	0x8a5b59…
07-31 19:45:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	500	13¢	$65	0x8d6e3f…
07-31 19:45:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x47b2f6…
07-31 19:45:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x27c9e4…
07-31 19:45:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0x08a58f…
07-31 19:44:42	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	400	13¢	$52	0x23e608…
07-31 19:43:50	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	500	14¢	$70	0x2aa8ee…
07-31 19:43:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x2f7a93…
07-31 19:41:06	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	500	15¢	$75	0x1236e6…
07-31 19:40:57	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	560	14¢	$78	0x3b3abc…
07-31 19:40:09	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	40	14¢	$6	0xeb9dec…
07-31 19:40:03	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	435	14¢	$61	0x31a5d5…
07-31 18:28:41	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x45a1e4…
07-31 18:26:56	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x9e8960…
07-31 18:24:30	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	396	11¢	$44	0xa72811…
07-31 18:23:12	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x53b049…
07-31 18:23:05	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	454	11¢	$50	0x723236…
07-31 18:21:45	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	503	12¢	$60	0xcb0b6f…
07-31 18:21:11	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	1,136	12¢	$136	0x190e9f…
07-31 15:03:29	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xf2a095…
07-31 05:51:30	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xde70de…
07-30 23:01:20	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt75b 20260718015334048	Yes	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0xb8c139…
07-30 23:00:54	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt6b 20260718015334045	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7cc07b…
07-30 23:00:35	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt75b 20260718015334048	Yes	BUY	107	99¢	$105	0x826f9b…
07-30 23:00:21	will linde lin q2 sales be above 3pt75b 20260718015334048	Yes	BUY	118	98¢	$115	0xdccd36…
07-29 09:37:45	will apple aapl q3 iphone revenue be above 56pt5b 20260717035215862	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0xe45235…
07-29 00:19:52	Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x080194…
07-29 00:19:22	Will John Cornyn vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	312	98¢	$305	0xd29fca…
07-29 00:18:59	Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x9e09b7…
07-29 00:18:41	Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	283	97¢	$275	0x98f919…
07-29 00:18:05	Will Dan Sullivan vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	2,209	97¢	$2,148	0x2ba682…
07-28 23:48:02	Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xcbde1c…
07-28 23:47:56	Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xd6bbd3…
07-28 23:47:49	Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x58e05e…
07-28 23:47:41	Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x6ba213…
07-28 23:47:32	Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x4ca202…
07-28 23:44:35	Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x847223…
07-28 23:39:19	Will Bill Cassidy vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x9b3c16…
07-28 23:39:13	Will John Curtis vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence?	Yes	BUY	123	97¢	$119	0xdf5da1…
07-28 19:53:47	Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5%-11.5%?	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x5a9a7b…
07-28 19:51:04	Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5%-11.5%?	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0x9ee1e5…
07-28 19:49:50	Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5%-11.5%?	Yes	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0x2e7e88…
07-28 19:48:25	Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5%-11.5%?	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0x9bd168…
07-28 19:47:49	Mastercard (MA) Q2 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 10.5%-11.5%?	Yes	SELL	92	45¢	$41	0x76b651…
07-28 19:25:59	will lyft lyft q2 rides be above 185m 20260725195759091	No	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x1ebb6c…
07-28 19:03:16	will lam research lrcx q4 total revenue be above 6pt8b 20260718025852072	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9fd38a…
07-28 18:59:19	will lam research lrcx q4 total revenue be above 6pt8b 20260718025852072	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0xc43e89…
07-28 18:59:19	will lam research lrcx q4 total revenue be above 6pt8b 20260718025852072	No	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1277e7…
07-28 03:40:06	CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <87.5%?	Yes	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xf9d551…
07-28 01:58:24	will the total solar eclipse be highly visible in reykjavik 20260723014439982	No	SELL	87	39¢	$34	0x5c2610…
07-27 22:12:13	Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth 3.5%-4.5%?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x8f0153…
07-27 20:40:36	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 5b 20260725020159991	No	SELL	48	90¢	$43	0xb3900a…
07-27 20:30:18	Will the median home value in Los Angeles Metro be between $1,137,000 and $1,153,000 on September 30?	No	SELL	471	85¢	$401	0x3fa30c…
07-27 20:26:24	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 4pt5b 20260725020159990	No	BUY	427	18¢	$76	0x85ace9…
07-27 20:26:03	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 5b 20260725020159991	No	BUY	248	58¢	$144	0x8d58fb…
07-27 18:52:34	will advanced micro devices amd q2 data center revenue be above 6pt5b 20260725015741184	Yes	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x761ddb…
07-27 17:37:03	will the total solar eclipse be highly visible in reykjavik 20260723014439982	Yes	BUY	28	59¢	$17	0x227dbc…
07-27 17:36:57	will the total solar eclipse be highly visible in reykjavik 20260723014439982	No	BUY	115	21¢	$24	0x6f8756…
07-27 17:05:43	Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe266e0…
07-27 15:37:22	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 26pt7b 20260725020755862	Yes	SELL	300	70¢	$210	0x1ada1e…
07-27 15:37:09	will airbnb abnb q2 gross booking value be above 27pt3b 20260725020755864	Yes	SELL	308	46¢	$142	0xb9fcc2…
07-27 10:43:58	CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%?	Yes	BUY	406	34¢	$138	0xae596a…
07-27 10:43:58	CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x7220a2…
07-27 10:43:58	CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) <87.5%?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x70289e…