Trustworthy-Applause — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.69K

Unrealized P&L

+$30

Hit rate

64.9%

Resolved

383

Trades

1,614

lifetime

Volume

$81.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

$129

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 11-02 04:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

99% 34% -$1,712

Crypto

1% 52% +$20

Sports

0% 0% $0

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes		+320	$56	26¢	$84	+$28	11-01 07:59
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	—	+205	$42	22¢	$44	+$2	11-02 04:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	11	$2.9K	5,958	5,958	+0	Yes	+$916	03-17 15:20
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	5	$2.9K	4,100	4,100	+0	Yes	+$436	03-20 08:17
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	7	$2.3K	2,226	2,226	+0	No	+$292	03-10 07:23
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	10	$2.3K	2,243	2,243	+0	Yes	+$121	04-03 15:54
cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	18	$2.2K	5,296	3,842	+1,454	Punjab Kings	+$26	04-03 17:47
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 360 379	6	$2.1K	4,888	4,888	+0	Yes	+$621	03-23 18:39
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	9	$2.0K	4,088	4,088	+0	No	-$145	03-19 15:31
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	21	$1.9K	4,558	3,361	+1,197	No	+$278	04-03 15:55
crint gbr pak 2026 02 24	7	$1.7K	963	963	+0	England	+$0	02-24 17:02
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	6	$1.6K	4,285	3,319	+966	No	+$467	03-24 15:18
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	15	$1.5K	3,456	3,015	+441	No	+$231	03-13 15:47
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	4	$1.3K	4,471	4,471	+0	No	-$105	03-23 16:22
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 260 279	2	$1.3K	685	685	+0	Yes	+$82	03-27 15:36
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 220 239	10	$1.2K	3,523	1,187	+2,336	No	+$12	03-06 16:22
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 300 319	15	$1.2K	1,657	1,657	+0	No	+$140	02-10 13:04
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	4	$1.2K	1,011	1,011	+0	No	+$73	03-06 10:30
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	8	$1.1K	1,539	1,539	+0	Yes	+$246	03-13 06:56
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	7	$949	2,032	2,032	+0	No	+$71	03-19 08:34
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	8	$895	1,942	1,942	+0	Yes	+$155	03-10 13:18
cricipl guj raj 2026 04 04	8	$834	1,123	1,042	+81	Rajasthan Royals	+$59	04-04 17:46
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	13	$816	1,114	1,114	+0	Yes	+$25	02-06 16:35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	5	$816	466	466	+0	Yes	-$24	09-19 15:18
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	3	$701	393	1,222	-829	Yes	-$398	02-27 09:11
cricipl sun luc 2026 04 05	4	$697	1,846	1,570	+276	Lucknow Super Giants	-$38	04-05 11:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	12	$668	766	766	+0	Yes	+$292	10-02 08:27
crint lka zwe 2026 02 19	4	$656	561	561	+0	Zimbabwe	+$327	02-19 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	2	$655	437	437	+0	Yes	+$155	09-21 10:40
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	12	$643	3,869	0	+3,869	No	-$643	03-27 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	12	$640	2,305	2,305	+0	No	-$220	07-02 13:42
crint lka pak 2026 02 28	10	$628	5,089	5,089	+0	Pakistan	+$115	02-28 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 04:15:24	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	22¢	$22	0x9f9301…
11-02 04:14:01	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	203	12¢	$25	0xa71012…
11-01 16:48:28	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	14¢	$6	0x0e81d8…
11-01 16:09:36	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x35f17d…
11-01 07:59:40	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xc69baf…
11-01 07:59:06	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	19¢	$20	0xa83545…
11-01 03:04:48	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	15¢	$6	0x530fd8…
11-01 03:03:15	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	3¢	$10	0xbf267b…
10-31 18:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	141	9¢	$13	0x9049df…
10-31 18:12:16	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	155	19¢	$30	0x543ac1…
10-31 17:48:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0xa37527…
10-31 17:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	3¢	$8	0x46c0cc…
10-31 14:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	19¢	$30	0x4d3c78…
10-31 14:53:22	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	SELL	61	83¢	$51	0x5a29ab…
10-31 13:28:10	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x2f88f6…
10-31 10:03:51	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	63	3¢	$2	0x304c57…
10-31 10:00:37	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	9¢	$5	0x9d8170…
10-31 10:00:13	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	172	8¢	$14	0x77c25a…
10-31 09:57:31	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0xd2dea5…
10-31 09:10:27	Will the match end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x5d06b6…
10-31 09:09:03	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x038a99…
10-31 07:16:12	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	12¢	$20	0x093df5…
10-31 06:22:01	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x3fe6bf…
10-30 15:21:55	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2578b5…
10-30 15:20:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	5¢	$3	0x3020c3…
10-30 15:17:39	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	4¢	$9	0x874aa6…
10-30 15:15:27	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	17¢	$13	0xc8bf58…
10-30 15:12:21	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	247	3¢	$7	0x533923…
10-30 15:05:13	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x419706…
10-30 13:34:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	129	75¢	$97	0xcfcde4…
10-30 10:53:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0xcfd351…
10-30 09:41:33	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x027c4f…
10-30 09:23:57	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x3947c9…
10-30 09:14:46	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x251795…
10-30 06:14:19	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	38¢	$22	0x427191…
10-30 05:40:43	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	252	76¢	$192	0x63648d…
10-30 04:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	285	4¢	$11	0x7f741b…
10-29 19:17:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x96796e…
10-29 19:17:03	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	285	3¢	$8	0xc1afd9…
10-29 17:41:01	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	104	2¢	$2	0xecfcc8…
10-29 17:10:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xec77b0…
10-29 16:53:41	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x2f2bbc…
10-29 16:22:13	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x79b4da…
10-29 16:20:02	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x1f1e58…
10-29 16:00:25	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xa9c511…
10-29 15:44:08	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x74f170…
10-29 15:02:19	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x1be08a…
10-29 14:40:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	431	9¢	$37	0xa24c51…
10-29 14:12:28	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	431	6¢	$25	0x148408…
10-29 14:11:37	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x3c03a5…
10-29 11:58:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	41¢	$35	0xc72191…
10-29 04:03:55	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xc9b807…
10-29 03:44:59	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	29¢	$30	0xc784cd…
10-28 13:12:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x8df35a…
10-28 07:41:49	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	231	2¢	$4	0xf0af58…
10-28 07:41:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	187	81¢	$152	0x52918d…
10-28 03:02:53	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x3a0bbb…
10-28 03:02:29	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	2¢	$5	0x6df6a5…
10-28 03:01:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0x5fbf2a…
10-27 18:41:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	21¢	$44	0x320f45…
10-27 17:54:35	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	12¢	$24	0x79903b…
10-27 17:53:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x70843c…
10-27 17:09:23	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	225	4¢	$9	0x7611f8…
10-27 17:00:17	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	129	7¢	$9	0x15c424…
10-27 16:01:15	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x766819…
10-27 15:52:20	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	2¢	$3	0x1e101f…
10-27 15:00:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	92	20¢	$18	0xdefa8b…
10-27 14:57:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$4	0x8942c0…
10-27 13:06:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x0a1853…
10-27 13:04:44	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	SELL	19	7¢	$1	0xe1e8eb…
10-27 13:04:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	540	1¢	$5	0x689408…
10-27 11:34:35	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Ireland	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xfb2741…
10-27 07:22:50	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	540	2¢	$9	0xb74aa0…
10-27 03:19:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x633226…
10-26 17:56:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	30¢	$40	0xd6831b…
10-26 17:55:50	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	50¢	$51	0xa1f51f…
10-26 17:05:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	12¢	$3	0x47f7d0…
10-26 17:05:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	483	28¢	$135	0xafbc1d…
10-26 15:57:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	14¢	$20	0xfb618d…
10-26 15:56:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xa791d3…
10-26 14:38:51	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	30¢	$35	0xf17be7…
10-26 14:18:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	19¢	$50	0x9ea814…
10-26 14:17:26	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x9cf6e0…
10-26 14:08:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	427	0¢	$1	0xff0d85…
10-26 14:07:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	383	48¢	$184	0x3d0d44…
10-26 13:58:59	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x1812b0…
10-26 08:34:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0x23f2a4…
10-26 04:05:26	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	3¢	$9	0x1ede68…
10-25 19:04:51	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	13¢	$20	0x68eaec…
10-25 16:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	39¢	$100	0x76255f…
10-25 14:00:50	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0xafe8fc…
10-25 12:55:29	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	SELL	59	38¢	$22	0x03f39a…
10-25 11:47:09	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs England	England	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf5cc6d…
10-24 17:14:44	elon musk of tweets october 26 october 28 2026 115 139	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xa1b2ad…
10-24 17:14:44	elon musk of tweets october 26 october 28 2026 115 139	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x274254…
10-24 17:14:44	elon musk of tweets october 26 october 28 2026 115 139	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x10b8e0…
10-24 14:31:38	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	72¢	$84	0x62eae6…
10-24 10:47:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0xa484bf…
10-24 10:41:09	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	47	85¢	$40	0xc896d1…
10-24 10:30:05	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x470a7a…