Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$253

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

92.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$159

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 10-01 09:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 79% -$193

Other

3% 76% -$60

Politics

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will ethereum reach 3500 in october 2026	No		+16	$15	100¢	$16	+$1	10-01 09:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$10.1K	5,053	5,053	+0	No	+$23	01-30 03:07
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	4	$328	220	220	+0	No	-$14	08-29 09:07
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$211	227	227	+0	Yes	-$58	09-14 06:59
Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	2	$163	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	07-22 01:07
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	1	$161	179	0	+179	Yes	-$161	08-14 09:57
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	2	$154	80	80	+0	No	+$5	05-27 04:56
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	1	$130	141	0	+141	No	+$11	07-05 23:33
will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	1	$112	137	0	+137	Yes	+$25	07-01 21:36
will solana reach 120 in march 2026	2	$106	57	57	+0	No	+$6	03-24 23:45
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	2	$105	55	55	+0	No	+$5	01-30 03:05
highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 19c	5	$103	73	56	+17	No	-$1	03-25 13:06
will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	1	$100	110	0	+110	No	+$10	06-08 12:36
will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	1	$98	129	0	+129	Yes	-$98	08-20 00:27
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	1	$58	60	0	+60	No	+$2	04-07 08:02
will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	1	$40	51	0	+51	Yes	+$11	03-01 11:17
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 22?	2	$29	17	17	+0	Yes	+$0	07-22 02:43
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	1	$18	27	0	+27	Yes	-$18	09-20 08:48
will ethereum reach 3500 in october 2026	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	10-01 09:57
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	5	$10	300	300	+0	open	—	04-28 22:50
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?	2	$5	3	3	+0	No	$0	07-22 02:37
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 13c	1	$5	7	0	+7	No	+$2	03-16 06:46
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-16 06:46
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-16 06:46
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-16 06:46
sp 500 all time high by february 20 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	02-15 02:58
will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	02-05 02:26
will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-15 03:00
will hyperliquid reach 40 in march	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	-$1	03-06 00:38
will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	02-15 02:58
will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-15 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 09:57:05	will ethereum reach 3500 in october 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xc22cb7…
09-20 08:48:00	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?	No	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x6fca0e…
09-14 06:59:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	90	21¢	$19	0x551a6d…
09-03 14:03:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	90	61¢	$55	0x5dd927…
09-01 10:11:54	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	137	42¢	$58	0x0bde27…
08-29 09:07:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	137	58¢	$80	0x7f3826…
08-29 09:07:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	SELL	83	98¢	$82	0x28df3f…
08-26 12:51:46	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x26790a…
08-25 03:16:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	No	SELL	137	55¢	$76	0xa75aae…
08-21 23:16:51	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	137	72¢	$98	0x963841…
08-20 00:27:43	will bitcoin reach 75k in august 2026	No	BUY	129	76¢	$98	0x316a5b…
08-14 09:57:31	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	No	BUY	179	90¢	$161	0xbf2c79…
07-22 02:43:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xce8254…
07-22 02:41:04	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x1f9c46…
07-22 02:37:49	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xdb5cad…
07-22 02:26:30	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x8a7046…
07-22 01:07:16	Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x7284bd…
07-22 00:28:10	Will Marat Kambolov win the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x4d1a9c…
07-05 23:33:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0xdabf26…
07-01 21:36:17	will bitcoin reach 62pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	137	82¢	$112	0x3ed7db…
06-08 12:36:40	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x61ed3e…
05-27 04:56:52	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x1ac9ab…
05-04 14:48:52	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0xe137f8…
04-28 22:50:26	Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$3	0x1bc3cd…
04-28 22:42:52	Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x124a0d…
04-28 13:20:10	Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x0a9762…
04-28 13:18:54	Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xe1448d…
04-28 13:13:42	Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x40978b…
04-07 08:02:43	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0xd17d3f…
03-25 13:06:25	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 19c	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xef9945…
03-25 13:06:25	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 19c	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x1ceb93…
03-25 13:06:05	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0xef594f…
03-25 13:05:51	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 19c	No	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x4e86a4…
03-24 23:46:17	highest temperature in shanghai on march 26 2026 19c	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x76cfae…
03-24 23:45:29	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	No	SELL	57	98¢	$56	0x3c72ef…
03-16 06:47:39	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2a1997…
03-16 06:47:09	spx opens up or down on march 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2b2b55…
03-16 06:46:47	highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 13c	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa16b79…
03-16 06:46:27	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x689e39…
03-16 06:46:17	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x92706d…
03-16 06:46:11	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x970c47…
03-13 07:02:23	meta close above 670 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x671cda…
03-13 07:02:09	amzn close above 220 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf75907…
03-13 07:01:55	nvda close above 195 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x971c53…
03-13 07:01:45	msft close above 410 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x09d265…
03-13 07:01:29	googl close above 320 on march 13 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7505bf…
03-06 00:38:13	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f011d…
03-06 00:38:05	will hyperliquid reach 40 in march	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1a8c77…
03-06 00:37:55	will xrp reach 2pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaabac0…
03-06 00:37:47	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb6a43d…
03-06 00:37:29	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0x8a2aed…
03-01 11:17:27	will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xde178a…
03-01 04:48:37	nvda close above 195 on march 2 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdde117…
03-01 04:48:25	meta close above 680 on march 2 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x86e42f…
03-01 04:48:17	tsla close above 430 on march 2 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x436be2…
02-15 03:00:55	will ethena reach 0pt36 in february	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3bd78a…
02-15 03:00:05	will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x023ed5…
02-15 02:59:45	will dogecoin reach 0pt25 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2ca4c8…
02-15 02:59:33	will ethereum reach 3600 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa00f04…
02-15 02:59:07	will sp 500 spx hit 7350 high in february 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe74221…
02-15 02:58:51	sp 500 all time high by february 20 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x01b2eb…
02-15 02:58:39	nvda above 130 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdb522a…
02-15 02:58:17	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe2493e…
02-15 02:58:01	will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 239	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7a8cb4…
02-15 02:57:51	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7cf24c…
02-10 02:25:41	john daghita arrested by march 31	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xfcf509…
02-05 02:26:59	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xec7e2a…
02-05 02:26:43	Bitway FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbd1252…
01-30 03:07:02	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	SELL	5,053	100¢	$5,043	0x4ff25a…
01-30 03:05:48	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xe3ca57…
01-29 05:26:26	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	No	BUY	5,053	99¢	$5,020	0x6adc65…
01-29 05:17:30	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x1cd159…
01-29 05:17:16	Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd00434…
01-24 01:42:44	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x83196a…
01-24 01:42:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x879f20…
01-15 04:40:08	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	No	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0x94a212…