Splendid-Polo-Modeling — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$510

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

189

Trades

758

lifetime

Volume

$10.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 10-30 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Other

100% 45% +$520

Sports

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	11	$359	270	270	+0	Up	+$180	05-21 21:20
spx up or down on june 16 2026	16	$347	1,659	138	+1,521	Down	-$209	06-16 19:36
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 2?	5	$345	243	243	+0	Up	+$140	06-02 22:17
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 27?	10	$299	351	260	+91	Up	+$46	05-27 17:09
spy up or down on july 14 2026	12	$263	289	289	+0	Up	-$24	07-14 13:26
spx up or down on july 1 2026	11	$191	422	0	+422	Down	-$191	07-01 19:39
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 9?	7	$185	275	100	+175	Up	+$82	10-08 22:13
spx up or down on june 26 2026	8	$176	254	140	+114	Down	+$25	06-26 16:18
xauusd up or down on june 17 2026	6	$176	189	120	+69	Down	+$9	06-17 18:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	3	$166	118	118	+0	Down	+$46	10-07 16:07
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 7?	3	$153	106	106	+0	Down	+$50	10-07 16:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 14?	6	$152	104	104	+0	Up	+$32	05-14 22:33
xauusd up or down on june 8 2026	16	$150	110	110	+0	Up	+$60	06-08 21:17
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 6?	3	$150	100	100	+0	Up	+$50	10-06 21:46
spx up or down on july 24 2026	8	$146	157	157	+0	Up	+$58	07-24 19:48
spx up or down on june 24 2026	13	$133	756	0	+756	Down	+$624	06-24 17:08
spy up or down on july 10 2026	6	$123	198	50	+149	Up	+$71	07-10 11:35
wti up or down on june 18 2026	3	$122	119	119	+0	Up	+$2	06-18 00:07
spy up or down on june 25 2026	3	$117	220	220	+0	Down	-$113	06-25 19:59
xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	11	$115	211	211	+0	Down	-$97	10-16 20:42
xauusd up or down on july 10 2026	5	$110	217	0	+217	Down	-$110	07-10 11:28
spx up or down on july 2 2026	4	$109	140	140	+0	Up	-$31	07-02 16:26
dax up or down on june 17 2026	3	$105	70	70	+0	Up	+$35	06-17 18:02
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	12	$104	256	76	+180	Down	+$88	10-22 10:23
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	11	$102	205	0	+205	Up	-$102	10-26 00:46
spy up or down on july 20 2026	15	$102	133	133	+0	Down	-$38	07-20 15:55
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 21?	2	$101	209	0	+209	Up	+$108	10-21 19:19
spx up or down on october 28 2026	2	$100	200	0	+200	Up	+$100	10-27 19:42
xauusd up or down on october 30 2026	4	$100	200	0	+200	Down	-$100	10-29 21:15
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	6	$100	200	0	+200	Up	+$100	10-20 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:13:52	xauusd up or down on november 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x92aca2…
10-29 21:15:06	xauusd up or down on october 30 2026	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8c39b5…
10-29 21:13:25	xauusd up or down on october 30 2026	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xc92806…
10-29 21:13:21	xauusd up or down on october 30 2026	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x06ecdd…
10-29 21:13:18	xauusd up or down on october 30 2026	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa26baa…
10-28 21:30:13	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	87	50¢	$43	0x84149d…
10-28 21:18:20	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 29?	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf145f8…
10-28 20:59:34	xauusd up or down on october 29 2026	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xac5363…
10-28 04:59:37	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbe3c92…
10-28 01:02:11	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x502e08…
10-27 22:14:03	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x14984c…
10-27 22:13:59	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x783496…
10-27 19:42:38	spx up or down on october 28 2026	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xdb7153…
10-27 19:42:27	spx up or down on october 28 2026	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x5dd33f…
10-27 16:43:24	xauusd up or down on october 28 2026	Up	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x42bf89…
10-27 03:40:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xffcf82…
10-26 00:46:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xff3107…
10-25 23:59:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xebd9a0…
10-23 22:51:24	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc41dde…
10-23 22:51:03	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x008ddb…
10-23 22:49:50	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x25ba55…
10-23 22:48:59	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x672fb8…
10-23 22:44:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4f7b59…
10-23 20:32:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	24	50¢	$12	0x68e297…
10-23 20:32:11	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x1dd9f3…
10-23 20:32:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf3b701…
10-23 20:32:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x224515…
10-23 20:30:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe5b7df…
10-23 20:29:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x93ac4d…
10-23 20:29:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x50fc7f…
10-23 20:21:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 26?	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe93b0f…
10-23 19:31:48	spx up or down on october 26 2026	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xdd1415…
10-22 21:52:38	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x6f3441…
10-22 21:12:38	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x958505…
10-22 21:12:23	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	46	50¢	$23	0x473a36…
10-22 16:23:02	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xb1769a…
10-22 11:15:11	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdcf5d5…
10-22 11:15:06	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x845f33…
10-22 11:03:36	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x070343…
10-22 10:23:39	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	76	8¢	$6	0x1c301c…
10-21 23:31:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x452273…
10-21 20:53:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	1	47¢	$1	0xa8e428…
10-21 20:41:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	36	47¢	$17	0x75a82a…
10-21 20:13:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xb12e92…
10-21 20:07:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Down	BUY	140	50¢	$70	0xcd36d5…
10-21 19:19:41	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x78da19…
10-21 18:48:20	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x9d7ab7…
10-21 18:48:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdd90fc…
10-21 18:47:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xbd02d7…
10-21 18:47:50	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa7b7ff…
10-21 18:47:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x3ca908…
10-21 18:47:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x230941…
10-21 18:47:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x6d1486…
10-20 22:47:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0xd0b636…
10-20 14:26:41	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4177f7…
10-20 13:42:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xeafab5…
10-20 10:06:06	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x45e249…
10-20 00:22:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc88d33…
10-20 00:22:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x045268…
10-20 00:22:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa010f2…
10-20 00:22:08	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xbfe7f1…
10-20 00:21:57	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x0fa469…
10-20 00:21:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x213be1…
10-19 22:44:44	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	43	50¢	$21	0x14c3bf…
10-19 22:41:02	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xced75d…
10-19 22:29:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 20?	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x23709e…
10-19 15:22:33	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6fcbb3…
10-19 14:48:21	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x21a215…
10-17 23:01:47	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xcf3278…
10-17 15:45:24	xauusd up or down on october 19 2026	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x21431a…
10-17 00:33:47	xauusd up or down on october 19 2026	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x025156…
10-16 20:42:39	xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	Up	SELL	211	4¢	$9	0x82df1a…
10-16 16:53:13	xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf14e09…
10-16 16:12:31	xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf1b852…
10-16 00:21:16	xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4e35e2…
10-15 23:02:54	xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa1d717…
10-15 21:13:54	xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x470311…
10-15 21:13:15	xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x356472…
10-15 21:13:11	xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xf4280a…
10-15 21:11:44	xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xc35b7f…
10-15 21:11:09	xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x1d767f…
10-15 16:11:25	xauusd up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x3dee6b…
10-14 21:37:46	xauusd up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6eec49…
10-14 21:35:19	xauusd up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	46	51¢	$23	0x389244…
10-14 21:35:00	xauusd up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x0b65be…
10-14 12:46:47	xauusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x0c0d99…
10-14 12:42:50	xauusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xb47e8d…
10-13 23:08:28	xauusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0xbf6364…
10-13 23:07:34	xauusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x4ce6fa…
10-13 23:07:24	xauusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xf53a35…
10-13 23:07:19	xauusd up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x25ba22…
10-13 20:01:00	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Up	SELL	142	8¢	$11	0x22e0d6…
10-13 17:02:28	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x02ab7f…
10-13 15:42:12	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa66e72…
10-12 21:46:32	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x3b1d38…
10-12 21:13:39	xauusd up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x14ab3c…
10-11 16:15:01	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x50704b…
10-11 16:10:40	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1c1bf1…
10-11 16:10:37	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x31dde6…
10-11 15:35:36	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 12?	Down	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x01907a…