Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8.25K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.07K

Hit rate

95.6%

Resolved

Trades

586

lifetime

Volume

$541.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$924

Open exposure

$25.5K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-21 17:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 89% -$6,522

Other

28% 89% +$14,770

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+10,961	$9,812	93¢	$10.2K	+$414	10-21 17:13
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	+5,811	$5,177	93¢	$5.4K	+$236	10-21 17:14
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+5,121	$4,525	92¢	$4.7K	+$187	10-21 17:31
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,913	$2,611	94¢	$2.7K	+$115	10-21 17:14
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+1,447	$1,266	94¢	$1.4K	+$94	10-21 17:09
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	+1,140	$1,044	94¢	$1.1K	+$23	10-16 08:35
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9	$8	100¢	$9	+$1	10-21 16:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 94k on january 29	10	$77.9K	48,949	29,000	+19,949	No	+$20	01-29 16:35
bitcoin above 92k on january 26	1	$35.0K	35,000	0	+35,000	No	+$35	01-26 07:40
bitcoin above 84k on january 28	1	$35.0K	35,000	0	+35,000	Yes	+$35	01-28 02:57
bitcoin above 84k on january 27	2	$34.1K	34,189	0	+34,189	Yes	+$74	01-27 01:34
bitcoin above 82k on january 27	2	$25.6K	25,661	0	+25,661	Yes	+$27	01-27 01:35
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	80	$25.0K	25,297	5,308	+19,989	No	+$4,129	03-17 05:28
bitcoin above 84k on january 26	34	$24.7K	24,768	0	+24,768	Yes	+$88	01-26 08:06
bitcoin above 86k on january 28	8	$23.4K	23,665	0	+23,665	Yes	+$263	01-28 02:58
Over $7M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	3	$21.4K	26,854	0	+26,854	No	+$5,421	02-03 18:38
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	3	$21.0K	24,359	0	+24,359	No	+$3,392	02-03 18:38
bitcoin above 90k on january 30	2	$18.8K	18,908	0	+18,908	No	+$87	01-29 23:33
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?	3	$13.5K	13,558	0	+13,558	No	+$55	01-29 16:27
bitcoin above 86k on january 29	11	$13.2K	11,020	10,810	+210	No	-$7,962	01-29 15:38
Over $7M committed to the Fabric public sale?	16	$13.0K	13,422	0	+13,422	No	+$458	02-01 10:27
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	1	$12.0K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$24	01-30 20:54
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	37	$9.9K	10,988	27	+10,961	open	—	10-21 17:13
Over $5M committed to the Foresee public sale?	2	$8.3K	4,458	3,811	+647	No	+$1	02-09 05:02
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?	7	$7.6K	7,734	0	+7,734	No	+$102	02-01 10:06
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?	14	$7.1K	7,864	0	+7,864	Yes	+$759	01-29 16:35
will ethereum dip to 1800 in january 2026 971	1	$6.5K	6,472	0	+6,472	No	+$6	01-30 20:53
will ethereum dip to 2000 in january 2026 647	1	$6.2K	6,252	0	+6,252	No	+$6	01-30 20:53
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	1	$6.2K	6,176	0	+6,176	No	+$24	01-30 20:53
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	4	$5.7K	5,761	0	+5,761	Yes	+$17	01-29 16:29
ethereum above 3100 on january 31	1	$5.5K	5,500	0	+5,500	No	+$6	01-30 20:52
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	21	$5.2K	5,811	0	+5,811	open	—	10-21 17:14
Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?	8	$5.1K	5,006	398	+4,608	No	+$141	02-01 10:27
Moonbirds FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$4.8K	4,906	0	+4,906	No	+$63	01-29 16:28
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$4.6K	3,249	1,560	+1,690	No	+$202	02-07 08:46
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	19	$4.5K	5,121	0	+5,121	open	—	10-21 17:31
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	6	$4.5K	2,292	2,292	+0	No	+$62	09-25 15:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 17:31:42	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x337934…
10-21 17:29:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	594	7¢	$42	0x269e61…
10-21 17:28:56	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x35ac49…
10-21 17:28:47	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xee649b…
10-21 17:28:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x8128a5…
10-21 17:28:18	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xe2df87…
10-21 17:26:39	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x1a4006…
10-21 17:26:11	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	198	9¢	$18	0x53f1b5…
10-21 17:24:45	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	15¢	$5	0x8f26ec…
10-21 17:24:15	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	185	70¢	$130	0x03ced9…
10-21 17:14:29	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x79b605…
10-21 17:14:00	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0x0ff9cc…
10-21 17:13:42	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	92¢	$74	0x4c6943…
10-21 17:13:32	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	26	92¢	$24	0xd416ac…
10-21 17:13:24	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	83	92¢	$77	0x102b47…
10-21 17:12:47	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf3640a…
10-21 17:11:50	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	328	72¢	$236	0xabf352…
10-21 17:11:42	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	74¢	$5	0x5be385…
10-21 17:11:38	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	73¢	$73	0x3676a9…
10-21 17:11:32	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x088047…
10-21 17:11:11	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x76ad58…
10-21 17:09:51	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	92¢	$29	0x504e63…
10-21 17:09:20	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	75¢	$23	0x22bd00…
10-21 17:08:35	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x4c6311…
10-21 17:08:30	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x8c4dcb…
10-21 17:08:26	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	140	17¢	$24	0x478fc5…
10-21 17:07:47	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0x42d6f4…
10-21 17:07:29	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x5fa71a…
10-21 17:06:32	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	431	91¢	$390	0x6ab62a…
10-21 17:05:39	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	341	18¢	$61	0x9fb683…
10-21 17:05:33	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	153	19¢	$29	0x8ac41b…
10-21 17:04:56	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	497	77¢	$383	0x5d6176…
10-21 16:49:08	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xeabbe8…
10-21 08:34:15	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	140	92¢	$129	0xb6c92f…
10-21 08:33:39	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	61	32¢	$19	0xe5c868…
10-21 08:33:30	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	260	92¢	$240	0x4d71c7…
10-21 08:33:18	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x4cd9af…
10-21 08:33:12	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xfff58c…
10-21 08:32:53	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xdcc6db…
10-21 08:32:44	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x2d7b1e…
10-21 08:32:20	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	660	92¢	$607	0x5975b5…
10-21 08:27:59	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,185	89¢	$1,055	0x8417e2…
10-21 08:25:44	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,573	30¢	$472	0xc533bc…
10-21 08:25:26	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0x6c1c6a…
10-21 08:24:59	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	243	90¢	$219	0xbd7092…
10-16 08:36:45	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	244	93¢	$226	0x6db118…
10-16 08:36:13	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	676	92¢	$625	0x167358…
10-16 08:36:00	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,067	92¢	$982	0x24f2cb…
10-16 08:35:52	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	346	92¢	$318	0xf89c6d…
10-16 08:35:43	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	709	92¢	$653	0x7e9533…
10-16 06:22:51	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x5b0dec…
10-16 06:22:13	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	802	92¢	$737	0xeeebc6…
10-16 06:22:13	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xdae339…
10-16 06:22:00	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	254	91¢	$232	0x34e6ff…
10-16 06:21:45	Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	104	91¢	$95	0xb14c42…
10-16 06:21:36	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0x72aa57…
10-16 06:21:31	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x12ed7c…
10-16 06:21:24	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	290	91¢	$264	0xb317f8…
10-16 06:20:46	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x105465…
10-16 06:20:18	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x8da5a7…
10-16 06:20:07	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	972	91¢	$882	0x4518f4…
10-16 06:19:55	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaf7f8b…
10-16 06:19:48	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	323	90¢	$292	0x48304a…
10-16 06:19:43	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xd505c7…
10-16 06:19:36	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0x62c706…
10-16 03:14:21	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x0296c5…
10-16 03:13:46	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4,833	90¢	$4,365	0xcc0d5d…
10-16 03:13:01	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x74a367…
10-16 03:12:55	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa3a960…
10-16 03:12:43	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x0428b4…
10-16 03:12:39	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x22cf5e…
10-16 03:11:51	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	537	89¢	$478	0x4192f1…
10-16 03:11:46	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,173	89¢	$1,044	0x282356…
10-16 03:11:40	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	230	88¢	$202	0x565a91…
10-16 03:11:34	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	651	89¢	$577	0xd0d68d…
10-16 03:11:06	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	476	90¢	$426	0xd79426…
10-16 03:10:45	Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	109	87¢	$95	0x1f35c1…
10-14 08:10:55	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	205	88¢	$180	0x77524c…
10-14 08:10:02	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	880	88¢	$773	0x9cf8c8…
10-14 08:09:31	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	249	87¢	$217	0xf7e0c6…
10-14 08:09:01	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	612	87¢	$530	0x9b7104…
10-14 08:08:31	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	584	86¢	$505	0x32088b…
10-14 08:06:59	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	111	86¢	$96	0xb0ee00…
10-14 08:05:23	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	264	86¢	$227	0xcd3171…
10-14 08:04:58	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	69	86¢	$59	0x549a6e…
10-14 08:04:44	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xa8fa88…
10-14 08:04:13	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	1,293	86¢	$1,112	0x68f90b…
10-14 08:03:28	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	180	84¢	$151	0x4320f6…
10-01 11:48:18	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	84	89¢	$75	0x39bcc0…
10-01 11:47:44	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	395	89¢	$351	0x59222b…
10-01 11:47:11	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	535	89¢	$474	0x495b45…
10-01 11:46:47	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$101	0x71c1cc…
10-01 11:46:12	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x2ca6db…
10-01 11:45:59	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa004d6…
10-01 11:45:39	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	559	88¢	$492	0x4fd522…
10-01 11:44:56	Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	139	89¢	$123	0x16cb44…
10-01 11:44:39	Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xe0ac25…
10-01 11:44:24	Will Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	264	82¢	$217	0x0a3861…
10-01 03:31:21	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	571	89¢	$508	0x5aa36c…
10-01 03:30:30	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	600	89¢	$533	0xfdd3f3…