Naive-Injunction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

Trades

2,240

lifetime

Volume

$36.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 05-06 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp updown 5m 1775703000	8	$142	189	+189	open	—	04-09 02:55
btc updown 5m 1775703000	1	$136	179	+179	open	—	04-09 02:54
btc updown 5m 1775711100	1	$130	169	+169	open	—	04-09 05:09
eth updown 5m 1775695500	1	$129	184	+184	open	—	04-09 00:49
eth updown 5m 1775685000	1	$126	172	+172	open	—	04-08 21:54
eth updown 5m 1775663400	4	$124	157	+157	open	—	04-08 15:55
sol updown 5m 1775716500	6	$117	154	+154	open	—	04-09 06:39
xrp updown 15m 1775628000	9	$117	153	+153	open	—	04-08 06:14
eth updown 5m 1775652300	3	$116	154	+154	open	—	04-08 12:49
xrp updown 5m 1775681100	4	$113	149	+149	open	—	04-08 20:49
xrp updown 5m 1775618400	7	$110	143	+143	open	—	04-08 03:24
btc updown 5m 1775621700	1	$110	146	+146	open	—	04-08 04:19
btc updown 5m 1775629200	8	$107	139	+139	open	—	04-08 06:24
xrp updown 5m 1775774700	4	$106	135	+135	open	—	04-09 22:49
eth updown 15m 1775635200	1	$106	143	+143	open	—	04-08 08:14
btc updown 5m 1775889900	5	$106	135	+135	open	—	04-11 06:49
btc updown 5m 1775895600	1	$106	152	+152	open	—	04-11 08:24
btc updown 5m 1775890800	1	$106	152	+152	open	—	04-11 07:04
sol updown 5m 1775895300	3	$105	138	+138	open	—	04-11 08:19
eth updown 5m 1775616000	1	$102	131	+131	open	—	04-08 02:44
eth updown 5m 1775616600	1	$101	147	+147	open	—	04-08 02:54
eth updown 5m 1775772300	3	$101	139	+139	open	—	04-09 22:09
sol updown 5m 1775882400	3	$101	135	+135	open	—	04-11 04:44
xrp updown 5m 1775612400	3	$100	128	+128	open	—	04-08 01:45
xrp updown 5m 1775652600	7	$99	133	+133	open	—	04-08 12:54
btc updown 5m 1775764800	2	$99	130	+130	open	—	04-09 20:04
btc updown 15m 1775890800	1	$99	135	+135	open	—	04-11 07:14
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$99	125	+125	open	—	04-26 04:25
btc updown 5m 1775881500	1	$98	126	+126	open	—	04-11 04:29
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	3	$97	129	+129	open	—	04-27 01:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 09:29:54	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x15bda5…
05-05 22:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	33	73¢	$24	0x0c5b34…
05-05 20:19:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	72¢	$23	0x96835f…
05-05 19:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xe2b4ec…
05-05 15:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	73¢	$23	0x783c65…
05-05 12:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xf9bed4…
05-05 12:59:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4c828d…
05-05 12:39:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0xf52dfa…
05-05 12:39:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0xcdaf94…
05-05 12:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0xdcc307…
05-05 09:19:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	75¢	$23	0x61c3b9…
05-05 08:59:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x430316…
05-05 08:59:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3e47b0…
05-05 08:59:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x177580…
05-05 08:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	28	73¢	$20	0xe96340…
05-05 06:14:54	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0xbd53fc…
05-05 05:44:56	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xfc2dd1…
05-05 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0xa4d0c6…
05-05 00:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x103eda…
05-05 00:30:00	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	74¢	$20	0x5a03cb…
05-04 22:29:58	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xb6ddfb…
05-04 19:44:56	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	70¢	$22	0xfbb4ea…
05-04 02:59:52	XRP Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0x98b645…
04-28 10:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	114	76¢	$86	0x5d41cd…
04-28 10:00:02	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	99	78¢	$77	0x2a212c…
04-28 09:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	78¢	$11	0x3042d1…
04-28 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xc982d5…
04-28 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	68	75¢	$51	0x702452…
04-28 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x5df8e2…
04-28 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x21ea6b…
04-28 01:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0x1a1e44…
04-28 01:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	76¢	$41	0x618971…
04-28 01:00:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	78¢	$37	0x55f2cb…
04-28 01:00:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7839b4…
04-27 21:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xf0f162…
04-27 21:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	67	77¢	$52	0xb9e945…
04-27 18:59:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xdfbb9c…
04-27 18:59:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xd1aa7c…
04-27 18:59:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xca3a60…
04-27 18:59:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0xc0c2e9…
04-27 18:59:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	78¢	$8	0xa7af65…
04-27 18:59:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x9d0506…
04-27 18:59:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x47b028…
04-27 18:59:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x2c8b89…
04-27 18:59:52	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0x2783d0…
04-27 07:19:56	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x61319d…
04-27 07:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0x9fdf38…
04-27 03:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x65c796…
04-27 03:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x0a13a0…
04-27 01:59:58	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xe504ad…
04-27 01:59:58	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0xcb0ad0…
04-27 01:59:58	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	69	75¢	$52	0xc00aa5…
04-26 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	44	78¢	$34	0x9a4e69…
04-26 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	70	78¢	$55	0x365140…
04-26 21:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x0c4da1…
04-26 17:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x66a224…
04-26 17:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x19215c…
04-26 17:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	110	76¢	$84	0x16b944…
04-26 16:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x298fee…
04-26 09:45:08	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xd2028e…
04-26 09:44:54	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	74¢	$29	0x08b1a8…
04-26 09:44:52	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xf4a874…
04-26 09:44:52	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	77¢	$6	0xf28a63…
04-26 09:44:52	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	77¢	$26	0xaf7053…
04-26 09:44:52	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$7	0xa29537…
04-26 09:30:04	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xcddfad…
04-26 05:50:12	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	75¢	$37	0xa33878…
04-26 05:50:12	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x7e5e72…
04-26 05:50:10	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0xa3d327…
04-26 05:50:04	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xc7e46d…
04-26 05:50:04	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xaf04c6…
04-26 05:30:06	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x7bfa0f…
04-26 04:25:04	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xc3ce1d…
04-26 04:25:04	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$11	0xbff61f…
04-26 04:25:04	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	57	79¢	$45	0xa993d0…
04-26 04:25:04	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x7893c1…
04-26 01:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	121	76¢	$92	0x7e3ddf…
04-25 20:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	70	75¢	$52	0xf76ca8…
04-25 20:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xbea332…
04-25 20:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	78¢	$21	0x8e0811…
04-25 20:15:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x78b9d8…
04-25 18:45:04	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0xf8ee6f…
04-25 18:45:04	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0x20f2f7…
04-25 18:45:02	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd06f83…
04-25 18:40:06	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x187827…
04-25 18:40:04	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0x3b15e6…
04-25 17:49:52	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	75¢	$13	0xbf56b6…
04-25 13:35:06	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0xe7bd9f…
04-25 13:35:06	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	43	79¢	$34	0x42aa58…
04-25 13:35:04	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x395bb1…
04-25 13:35:04	Solana Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x37d5b4…
04-25 12:00:08	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x2efa1e…
04-25 11:59:54	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0xff4e21…
04-25 11:59:54	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xf10fc1…
04-25 11:59:54	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xedb0c9…
04-25 11:59:54	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xdb2e56…
04-25 11:59:54	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	76¢	$18	0xbb2350…
04-25 11:59:54	XRP Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x7c453a…
04-25 08:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	99	74¢	$74	0xfe89d9…
04-25 07:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0x6aa6ca…