Anchored-Jaguar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.1%

Resolved

128

Trades

224

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 08-29 01:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC	8	$96	169	168	+2	Down	+$7	03-01 00:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 00:15 UTC	4	$39	45	44	+1	Down	$0	03-01 00:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:30 UTC	4	$37	46	45	+1	Up	-$2	03-01 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$32	23	23	+0	Down	+$13	05-22 14:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 05:00 UTC	4	$32	49	49	+1	Down	-$8	03-01 05:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:15 UTC	2	$28	26	26	+0	Up	+$8	03-01 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	7	$26	1,037	20	+1,017	Up	+$2	05-22 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$24	21	21	+0	Up	+$4	05-22 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$22	52	23	+29	Down	-$1	05-22 16:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 00:45 UTC	2	$22	32	32	+0	Up	+$2	03-01 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	3	$22	31	12	+19	Down	+$2	05-22 15:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:45 UTC	2	$20	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	03-01 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$19	10	10	+0	Down	-$1	05-19 14:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-28 23:45 UTC	2	$16	43	43	+0	Up	-$2	02-28 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$15	35	0	+35	Down	-$2	05-22 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$15	41	0	+41	Down	+$3	05-22 15:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:30 UTC	4	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$7	08-28 01:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:00 UTC	2	$11	21	20	+0	Down	-$9	03-01 04:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 05:15 UTC	2	$11	27	27	+0	Up	-$9	03-01 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	3	$10	10	5	+5	Up	-$2	05-21 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Up	-$10	05-22 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 14:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$10	76	0	+76	Up	-$5	05-22 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-22 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-22 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$10	25	0	+25	Up	-$5	05-22 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-29 01:45:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xde61cb…
08-29 01:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:40 UTC	Down	SELL	4	6¢	$0	0x2b205a…
08-29 01:41:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-29 01:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x30ae95…
08-28 03:45:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xbb96e1…
08-28 03:43:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x43e7a7…
08-28 02:56:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xaf3531…
08-28 02:55:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x775131…
08-28 02:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7852f9…
08-28 02:54:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa631ac…
08-28 02:54:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6ef507…
08-28 02:44:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0d36a1…
08-28 02:43:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x627ce4…
08-28 02:42:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x6b5265…
08-28 02:42:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf8dafe…
08-28 02:37:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1130a3…
08-28 02:33:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb1a204…
08-28 02:31:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x135fac…
08-28 02:31:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xd089df…
08-28 02:28:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:25 UTC	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x41c901…
08-28 02:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc146c5…
08-28 02:21:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xde591f…
08-28 02:11:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd78233…
08-28 02:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x11306f…
08-28 01:33:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:30 UTC	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x0c1afa…
08-28 01:31:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8ea6cd…
08-28 01:31:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6d4dbc…
08-28 01:31:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe0ec19…
08-28 01:29:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:25 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xee7871…
08-28 01:25:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x2ce08c…
08-28 01:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x35550f…
08-28 01:18:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x947159…
08-27 14:58:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:55 UTC	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x171155…
08-27 14:55:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8cf699…
05-27 11:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7c2ab9…
05-27 11:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1ceb5b…
05-25 08:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x205e06…
05-25 08:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4a1a92…
05-25 08:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x354dbd…
05-25 08:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcd3455…
05-25 08:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe1b8fb…
05-25 08:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x85c0d8…
05-25 07:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x499e4d…
05-25 07:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf6d240…
05-24 14:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x372914…
05-24 14:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x6eb696…
05-24 14:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xae68ef…
05-24 14:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x774cf9…
05-22 17:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0db3b9…
05-22 17:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x4f71cd…
05-22 17:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xaf16fb…
05-22 17:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xaee06f…
05-22 17:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x86a309…
05-22 17:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x425bce…
05-22 17:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3d530a…
05-22 16:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8052f9…
05-22 16:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8430e7…
05-22 16:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x10d919…
05-22 16:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3ba3ed…
05-22 16:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x344920…
05-22 16:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9f862d…
05-22 16:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x8b2547…
05-22 16:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x976764…
05-22 16:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf41070…
05-22 16:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	11	41¢	$5	0xe8295c…
05-22 16:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x65b664…
05-22 16:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xcd0290…
05-22 16:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9b3648…
05-22 16:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xbb1a7f…
05-22 16:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6b59b0…
05-22 16:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x629c4d…
05-22 16:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x97309e…
05-22 16:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9efc6a…
05-22 16:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x3ebeff…
05-22 16:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8205a1…
05-22 16:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x54a873…
05-22 16:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x514178…
05-22 16:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	23	33¢	$7	0xb9fb07…
05-22 16:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb5bd58…
05-22 16:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x375efe…
05-22 16:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x958639…
05-22 16:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x10896a…
05-22 15:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf48227…
05-22 15:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xd4eecc…
05-22 15:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xfa03b3…
05-22 15:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x511e3d…
05-22 15:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xca6d42…
05-22 15:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x16db0e…
05-22 15:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x6fec0f…
05-22 15:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x50841d…
05-22 15:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x59d206…
05-22 15:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xe8c1fc…
05-22 15:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x9bca38…
05-22 15:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xff31cf…
05-22 15:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd079d3…
05-22 15:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4fbe3d…
05-22 15:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1bbf8a…
05-22 15:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x549dae…
05-22 15:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x7bf9ad…
05-22 15:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x053c0c…
05-22 15:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7834e0…