Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.5%

Resolved

Trades

28,971

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 04-19 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

54% 33% $-1

Crypto

30% 0% $-1

Politics

14% 100% +$11

Sports

1% 0% $-6

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	4	$513	400	400	+0	open	—	02-28 12:32
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	3	$255	269	0	+269	open	—	02-28 06:13
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$166	200	0	+200	open	—	02-28 01:45
highest temperature in nyc on february 23 2026 30 31f	32	$149	150	6	+144	open	—	02-23 17:10
highest temperature in nyc on february 23 2026 36forhigher	30	$128	150	0	+150	open	—	02-23 17:10
deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	7	$113	150	150	-0	open	—	03-01 13:31
highest temperature in nyc on february 23 2026 32 33f	32	$112	148	2	+146	open	—	02-23 17:10
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 7c	22	$108	110	0	+110	open	—	02-25 18:46
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 13corhigher	22	$107	110	0	+110	open	—	02-25 18:46
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 8c	22	$105	110	0	+110	open	—	02-25 18:46
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 5corbelow	21	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	02-25 18:25
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 6c	21	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	02-25 18:25
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 12c	22	$103	110	0	+110	open	—	02-25 18:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on february 23	18	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	02-23 14:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on february 23	18	$90	90	0	+90	open	—	02-23 14:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 23	18	$88	90	0	+90	open	—	02-23 14:19
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 11c	22	$86	110	0	+110	open	—	02-25 18:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 23	17	$85	85	0	+85	open	—	02-23 14:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on february 23	3	$83	10	80	-70	open	—	02-23 16:46
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 9c	22	$82	110	0	+110	open	—	02-25 18:46
highest temperature in nyc on february 23 2026 34 35f	32	$69	150	16	+134	open	—	02-23 17:10
highest temperature in seoul on february 26 2026 10c	21	$67	105	0	+105	open	—	02-25 18:25
highest temperature in dallas on february 27 2026 60 61f	2	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	02-25 15:57
highest temperature in dallas on february 27 2026 64 65f	2	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	02-25 15:57
highest temperature in dallas on february 27 2026 59forbelow	2	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	02-25 15:57
highest temperature in dallas on february 27 2026 62 63f	2	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	02-25 15:57
highest temperature in dallas on february 27 2026 72 73f	2	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	02-25 15:57
highest temperature in dallas on february 27 2026 66 67f	2	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	02-25 15:57
highest temperature in dallas on february 27 2026 68 69f	2	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	02-25 15:57
highest temperature in dallas on february 27 2026 70 71f	2	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	02-25 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-19 20:35:14	Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xfd0414…
04-18 19:52:08	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x5e1fe4…
04-10 19:38:39	Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x2b5933…
04-10 17:15:49	will shane lowry win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x53f915…
04-10 14:30:39	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4fba9d…
04-08 00:20:25	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x2addbf…
04-07 01:20:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x6fc10b…
04-06 23:06:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x6634be…
04-03 17:30:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa7d014…
04-03 16:04:29	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x1e406a…
04-03 15:56:17	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe27177…
04-02 13:47:33	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x787974…
04-02 13:47:33	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x2bf1fb…
03-30 01:43:22	Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xe88d67…
03-25 00:03:53	will iran strike dimona by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x6a5f97…
03-22 16:19:41	Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x97b949…
03-21 19:28:49	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x3bffc6…
03-21 07:02:09	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xb556d6…
03-21 07:00:01	will israel or the us target fordow nuclear facility	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x4bbeec…
03-20 19:45:45	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x109591…
03-20 15:21:23	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x62a4b2…
03-20 15:12:55	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x08fff0…
03-20 10:26:13	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x46e0b1…
03-19 04:44:37	Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x9ee047…
03-18 13:43:51	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xff461d…
03-18 08:17:03	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x086561…
03-16 19:20:01	Will Craig Federighi be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x6b5968…
03-15 16:56:11	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xa6dc2c…
03-15 15:48:33	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x3ffc52…
03-14 16:32:25	Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x35a54a…
03-13 17:56:29	Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xdc8dac…
03-13 11:36:11	USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x0e4fc0…
03-13 11:07:55	Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xc119a2…
03-13 05:01:37	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x8c8e2b…
03-13 03:38:11	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xe71dcd…
03-13 03:30:05	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x782009…
03-13 03:15:27	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xda8ae8…
03-12 23:21:01	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$1	0xc0db34…
03-12 18:54:29	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xb6c66e…
03-12 13:55:55	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x069693…
03-12 08:31:29	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xe7399e…
03-12 07:01:27	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0xeec512…
03-12 06:31:01	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xee75dc…
03-11 22:44:49	robinhood launches prediction market through miaxdx by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x132a2d…
03-11 21:31:03	Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x0014e1…
03-11 16:03:51	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3e2a12…
03-11 15:31:55	Will Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	9¢	$2	0x5b2582…
03-11 12:57:09	Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xd326de…
03-11 12:08:57	Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xa0c75f…
03-11 10:50:21	Will Newcastle finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xea2bad…
03-11 10:38:59	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x8e933c…
03-11 09:03:35	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x97bfd9…
03-11 00:55:29	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x899269…
03-11 00:37:39	Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x9dc7a2…
03-11 00:02:15	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x4cff9b…
03-10 23:03:15	Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xe045e5…
03-10 23:03:13	Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3df061…
03-10 22:58:55	Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x62c63d…
03-10 21:32:33	Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb7bebf…
03-10 17:32:03	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x5a7dcc…
03-10 10:30:57	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0xf25687…
03-10 09:41:25	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x6a66a2…
03-10 04:08:43	Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x04c020…
03-10 03:43:27	Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x5e85f8…
03-10 03:26:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x5877d7…
03-10 00:45:03	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xa992a3…
03-09 20:58:23	Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7ffe52…
03-09 20:14:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x6d9574…
03-09 19:51:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xc35da8…
03-09 19:35:11	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xb65ad3…
03-09 19:24:01	will xrp reach 2 in march 2026	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x287710…
03-09 19:20:09	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x1b0613…
03-09 19:19:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xf1f9eb…
03-09 18:17:31	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xcb7acb…
03-09 18:13:07	Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x3aa634…
03-09 17:24:23	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x9ecf32…
03-09 15:38:47	miguel daz canel out as leader of cuba by march 31 971 121	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x32d16f…
03-09 15:26:25	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x17e5c0…
03-09 14:07:49	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0x8ae645…
03-09 13:59:41	US strike on Mexico by March 31?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xa53140…
03-09 13:38:25	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x12d056…
03-09 13:37:53	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xba7737…
03-09 12:15:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x1e538c…
03-09 12:12:27	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x72b005…
03-09 11:58:51	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x02c6a3…
03-09 11:41:03	Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x06b0d0…
03-09 11:38:15	Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x360ea4…
03-09 11:30:31	Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9e8e41…
03-09 11:26:43	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0xc4857f…
03-09 10:25:07	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xb0da83…
03-09 10:05:17	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x5a6070…
03-09 10:02:41	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xdaee66…
03-09 09:53:01	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x233a47…
03-09 09:14:05	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xca968d…
03-09 09:14:05	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x56153f…
03-09 08:35:51	Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x65bbb3…
03-09 08:11:25	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x796f30…
03-09 08:06:19	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x2fbae0…
03-09 07:55:31	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xe3de3c…
03-09 07:44:09	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xf9b0b6…