Thorny-Upgrade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.7%

Resolved

3,108

Trades

5,803

lifetime

Volume

$296.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 10-27 00:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

80% 66% -$2,014

Sports

18% 56% -$199

Crypto

1% 64% -$164

Politics

0% 71% +$107

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
wta rybakin fernand 2026 04 17	4	$1.5K	991	976	+15	Elena Rybakina	+$478	04-17 21:16
nba por sas 2026 04 21	3	$1.4K	1,298	1,265	+33	Trail Blazers	+$1,034	04-22 02:32
Madrid Open, Qualification: Ksenia Efremova vs Lulu Sun	2	$1.3K	839	829	+10	Ksenia Efremova	+$310	04-20 19:11
Shymkent: Timofey Skatov vs Antoine Ghibaudo	3	$1.3K	729	726	+4	Timofey Skatov	+$119	04-24 09:51
Lakers vs. Rockets	5	$1.3K	937	921	+16	Lakers	+$536	04-25 03:03
wta volynet sonmez 2026 06 09	6	$1.2K	986	986	+0	Zeynep Sonmez	-$74	06-09 11:52
Cavaliers vs. Raptors	3	$1.2K	881	865	+16	Raptors	+$520	04-26 19:58
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	4	$1.2K	831	670	+161	Lakers	+$131	04-19 03:08
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	7	$1.2K	1,238	1,238	+0	Knicks	+$621	06-06 03:30
Thunder vs. Spurs	5	$1.1K	756	756	+0	Thunder	+$381	05-23 03:25
nba hou lal 2026 04 21	4	$1.1K	810	796	+14	Lakers	+$480	04-22 05:18
nba cle tor 2026 04 23	3	$1.1K	746	734	+12	Raptors	+$394	04-24 02:36
Madrid Open: Arthur Fils vs Ignacio Buse	2	$1.1K	769	758	+11	Arthur Fils	+$286	04-24 15:58
Madrid Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Titouan Droguet	3	$1.0K	690	680	+10	Titouan Droguet	+$334	04-20 11:19
nba min den 2026 04 20	3	$977	776	759	+17	Timberwolves	+$543	04-21 05:29
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Damir Dzumhur	2	$970	544	541	+3	Tallon Griekspoor	+$114	04-24 10:36
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Moise Kouame	2	$952	558	553	+5	Patrick Kypson	+$157	04-20 19:01
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	2	$945	900	900	+0	Yes	+$369	07-07 21:46
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan	2	$943	506	504	+2	Daniil Medvedev	+$65	04-25 19:18
BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Ben Shelton	3	$929	528	524	+4	Ben Shelton	+$123	04-18 15:20
wta ruse mertens 2026 06 10	5	$928	653	653	+0	Gabriela Ruse	-$74	06-11 10:52
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Marta Kostyuk	2	$915	625	615	+10	Marta Kostyuk	+$324	04-26 15:03
atp herbert landalu 2026 06 08	3	$912	571	571	+0	Martin Landaluce	+$208	06-08 13:48
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova	2	$901	665	660	+5	Karolina Pliskova	-$97	04-26 13:11
Madrid Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Lorenzo Musetti	2	$899	513	509	+3	Lorenzo Musetti	+$103	04-24 10:59
Madrid Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Flavio Cobolli	2	$877	531	526	+5	Flavio Cobolli	+$128	04-25 17:00
Madrid Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elena Rybakina	2	$871	503	501	+3	Elena Rybakina	+$53	04-24 13:46
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles	2	$869	485	483	+3	Boston Red Sox	+$70	04-25 17:40
Rockets vs. Lakers	4	$850	1,232	0	+1,232	Rockets	-$850	04-30 02:51
Shymkent: Daniil Ostapenkov vs Buvaysar Gadamauri	2	$844	546	539	+7	Daniil Ostapenkov	+$231	04-22 09:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 00:39:24	Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xcfa240…
10-26 21:41:17	Kings vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xe5498e…
10-26 21:36:21	Swiss Indoors Basel: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	SELL	167	92¢	$153	0x3c465b…
10-26 21:34:27	Brest: Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Gabriel Diallo	SELL	254	99¢	$251	0x48ac8e…
10-26 20:27:21	Brest: Gabriel Diallo vs Nishesh Basavareddy	Gabriel Diallo	BUY	254	67¢	$170	0xc7f557…
10-26 20:21:17	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Luisina Giovannini	SELL	164	46¢	$75	0xfa9451…
10-26 20:17:42	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Luisina Giovannini	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xc4f061…
10-26 20:04:32	Swiss Indoors Basel: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xaee67f…
10-26 20:03:20	Courmayeur: Rositsa Dencheva vs Gabriela Knutson	Gabriela Knutson	SELL	328	99¢	$325	0xb0f4b0…
10-26 18:27:30	Courmayeur: Rositsa Dencheva vs Gabriela Knutson	Gabriela Knutson	BUY	328	61¢	$200	0x5a9b70…
10-26 18:24:41	Curitiba: Victoria Bosio vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Jazmin Ortenzi	SELL	423	100¢	$423	0x1bc915…
10-26 18:19:03	Curitiba: Victoria Bosio vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Victoria Bosio	BUY	305	5¢	$15	0xb82188…
10-26 17:29:17	Curitiba: Victoria Bosio vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Jazmin Ortenzi	BUY	238	84¢	$200	0xb226c7…
10-26 17:21:09	Curitiba: Victoria Bosio vs Jazmin Ortenzi	Jazmin Ortenzi	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x0235a3…
10-26 17:19:41	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	SELL	471	51¢	$240	0x1f4e39…
10-26 15:55:53	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	375	32¢	$120	0xb7d197…
10-26 15:52:39	Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	348	52¢	$181	0xfc8687…
10-26 15:39:27	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group A	Zero Tenacity	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x60707e…
10-26 15:21:27	Dota 2: No Hoodwink vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group A	Zero Tenacity	BUY	42	84¢	$35	0xd4ca0a…
10-26 15:18:00	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x730247…
10-26 15:11:53	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	Valentin Vacherot	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xf946e6…
10-26 14:05:41	Swiss Indoors Basel: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	348	57¢	$200	0x950742…
10-26 13:54:27	Brest: Moez Echargui vs Benjamin Hassan	Moez Echargui	SELL	232	100¢	$232	0x652851…
10-26 12:56:38	Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	63	69¢	$44	0xa41d30…
10-26 12:26:42	Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - European Pro League Series 11 Closed Qualifier Group D	Falcons Force	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x506f4a…
10-26 11:49:24	Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs KUUSAMO.gg (BO3) - European Pro League Series 11 Closed Qualifier Group D	Falcons Force	BUY	45	58¢	$26	0xc35844…
10-26 11:48:30	Brest: Michael Geerts vs Niels McDonald	Niels McDonald	SELL	114	10¢	$11	0x123954…
10-26 11:37:54	Brest: Michael Geerts vs Niels McDonald	Niels McDonald	BUY	114	35¢	$40	0x67ae39…
10-26 11:18:44	Brest: Moez Echargui vs Benjamin Hassan	Moez Echargui	BUY	232	56¢	$130	0xe6fb23…
10-26 06:57:45	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova	Alevtina Ibragimova	BUY	149	46¢	$69	0x2bc842…
10-26 06:57:24	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova	Han Shi	SELL	123	57¢	$71	0x87cc20…
10-26 06:43:53	Guangzhou Open: Han Shi vs Alevtina Ibragimova	Han Shi	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x82b4cc…
10-26 06:43:29	Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x17866b…
10-26 05:43:00	Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Elise Mertens	Elise Mertens	BUY	102	93¢	$95	0x7ed1cf…
10-26 04:30:18	Guangzhou Open: Panna Udvardy vs Sinja Kraus	Sinja Kraus	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x0e0583…
10-26 03:33:27	Guangzhou Open: Panna Udvardy vs Sinja Kraus	Sinja Kraus	BUY	89	79¢	$70	0x302bdb…
10-25 19:30:45	Avalanche vs. Predators: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	78	63¢	$49	0xad55ad…
10-25 15:24:59	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Mika Brunold vs Remy Bertola	Mika Brunold	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xbb24dd…
10-25 14:01:21	Counter-Strike: Acend vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Playoffs	INOX Division	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x2fc036…
10-25 14:00:05	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x258980…
10-25 12:02:53	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Daniel Altmaier	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x5c44ab…
10-25 12:01:02	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2cf9fc…
10-25 10:16:56	Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xcbe701…
10-25 10:16:26	Brest: Pierre Delage vs Niels McDonald	Niels McDonald	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x86da02…
10-25 09:35:56	Brest: Pierre Delage vs Niels McDonald	Niels McDonald	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x9f61cf…
10-25 09:35:21	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Tereza Valentova	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9d286a…
10-25 09:04:08	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Tereza Valentova	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xf22685…
10-25 09:03:18	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	SELL	106	7¢	$7	0x272930…
10-25 06:50:12	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Tereza Valentova vs Shuai Zhang	Shuai Zhang	BUY	106	34¢	$36	0xf980af…
10-25 06:44:06	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii vs Yulia Putintseva	Yulia Putintseva	SELL	80	51¢	$41	0x80c881…
10-25 06:20:03	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii vs Yulia Putintseva	Yulia Putintseva	BUY	80	81¢	$64	0x4ad987…
10-25 06:18:59	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Joanna Garland	Tatiana Prozorova	SELL	101	59¢	$60	0x965aef…
10-25 06:07:50	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Tatiana Prozorova vs Joanna Garland	Tatiana Prozorova	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0x213d6b…
10-25 06:06:41	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Daria Kasatkina	Daria Kasatkina	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xf6281c…
10-25 04:46:03	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Kimberly Birrell vs Daria Kasatkina	Daria Kasatkina	BUY	45	87¢	$39	0x7a74a5…
10-25 04:45:39	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Elena Pridankina	Carol Young Suh Lee	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xdc9ca6…
10-25 04:34:32	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Carol Young Suh Lee vs Elena Pridankina	Carol Young Suh Lee	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x46082c…
10-25 04:33:54	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Polina Iatcenko	Alevtina Ibragimova	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x843956…
10-25 04:17:59	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Polina Iatcenko	Alevtina Ibragimova	BUY	37	90¢	$33	0x584aa8…
10-24 23:37:29	Nets vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	34	80¢	$27	0x867ab9…
10-24 19:23:45	Kings vs. Devils: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x312841…
10-24 19:19:44	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Golden State Valkyries	SELL	132	95¢	$126	0x9366f0…
10-24 18:53:06	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x20b35d…
10-24 17:35:30	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	Fire Flux Esports	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x4f8a66…
10-24 16:39:03	Valorant: FUT Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Monsters Reloaded Playoffs	Fire Flux Esports	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x3636ba…
10-24 16:38:02	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	78	11¢	$9	0x4308bc…
10-24 16:06:42	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Lorenzo Musetti	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	78	45¢	$35	0x246abe…
10-24 16:04:15	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x82ca32…
10-24 15:08:24	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x34b5b6…
10-24 15:07:39	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Tereza Valentova	En-Shuo Liang	SELL	96	35¢	$34	0xfca492…
10-24 14:58:32	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Tereza Valentova	En-Shuo Liang	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xc46c75…
10-24 14:57:51	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Tereza Valentova	Tereza Valentova	SELL	124	46¢	$57	0x7c2f56…
10-24 13:49:42	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Tereza Valentova	Tereza Valentova	BUY	124	96¢	$119	0x44facc…
10-24 10:55:27	Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x3cc938…
10-24 10:55:08	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Cheuk Ying Shek	Cheuk Ying Shek	SELL	37	15¢	$6	0x578855…
10-24 10:47:56	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Cheuk Ying Shek	Cheuk Ying Shek	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4d1d6d…
10-24 10:47:09	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	SELL	130	7¢	$9	0x8f3876…
10-24 09:37:09	Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Jacob Fearnley vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	130	27¢	$35	0x112a32…
10-24 09:30:54	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0xff52f3…
10-24 09:30:32	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Leylah Fernandez	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x242301…
10-24 08:35:06	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0x007c6e…
10-24 08:17:53	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Jeline Vandromme	SELL	205	9¢	$18	0x6d4d62…
10-24 06:31:51	Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Jeline Vandromme vs Carol Young Suh Lee	Jeline Vandromme	BUY	205	63¢	$129	0x02c487…
10-24 06:31:11	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ann Li	SELL	277	47¢	$130	0x65ed08…
10-24 05:19:06	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ann Li	BUY	277	65¢	$180	0x9d4c64…
10-24 05:18:38	NC State vs. Stanford	Stanford	SELL	260	72¢	$187	0x7e101f…
10-24 04:49:29	NC State vs. Stanford	Stanford	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xe5707e…
10-24 04:47:57	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	SELL	95	15¢	$14	0x54e6a6…
10-24 04:46:21	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	95	53¢	$50	0x28c305…
10-24 04:45:27	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	SELL	263	70¢	$184	0x54657a…
10-24 04:13:32	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	263	57¢	$150	0x324df8…
10-23 22:43:05	Lightning vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	204	61¢	$124	0x37425a…
10-23 22:37:54	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	SELL	136	20¢	$27	0x678f37…
10-23 20:31:11	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	136	78¢	$106	0x6457f4…
10-23 20:30:33	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	SELL	173	14¢	$24	0xd83eca…
10-23 19:28:30	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Zizou Bergs	Zizou Bergs	BUY	173	64¢	$111	0xf88f51…
10-23 19:18:08	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashima	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	240	93¢	$223	0x12ab10…
10-23 19:06:44	Fort Worth: Gabriel Debru vs Erik Arutiunian	Gabriel Debru	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0x323ce6…
10-23 17:52:56	Fort Worth: Gabriel Debru vs Erik Arutiunian	Gabriel Debru	BUY	191	68¢	$130	0x63cff5…
10-23 17:32:42	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Brandon Nakashima	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	240	42¢	$100	0xfe2d41…