Exalted-Warlord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,083

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 06-07 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 39% $-39

Other

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774734900	2	$285	154	154	+1	open	—	03-28 22:00
btc updown 5m 1774789200	2	$276	144	144	+0	open	—	03-29 13:05
btc updown 15m 1774733400	3	$209	134	132	+2	open	—	03-28 21:45
btc updown 5m 1775604300	2	$188	115	112	+3	open	—	04-07 23:28
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	9	$185	377	166	+211	open	—	04-24 16:03
btc updown 5m 1775490000	2	$118	108	103	+5	open	—	04-06 15:44
btc updown 5m 1773679500	2	$109	70	69	+1	open	—	03-16 16:49
btc updown 15m 1776355200	2	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	04-16 16:15
btc updown 5m 1774790400	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	03-29 13:24
eth updown 5m 1773248100	2	$99	58	58	+1	open	—	03-11 17:00
btc updown 15m 1775606400	2	$91	79	76	+3	open	—	04-08 00:13
btc updown 5m 1773681000	2	$87	49	49	+0	open	—	03-16 17:15
btc updown 5m 1774293300	2	$87	68	67	+1	open	—	03-23 19:20
bitcoin above 74k on march 17	11	$79	94	86	+8	open	—	03-17 12:26
bitcoin above 74k on march 16	8	$74	111	87	+25	open	—	03-16 14:31
btc updown 15m 1773680400	3	$74	53	52	+1	open	—	03-16 17:14
btc updown 15m 1775640600	1	$73	121	0	+121	open	—	04-08 09:30
bitcoin above 68k on march 9	2	$73	54	54	+0	open	—	03-09 15:03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 30?	5	$69	74	49	+25	open	—	04-30 15:23
btc updown 5m 1773678600	3	$66	61	52	+9	open	—	03-16 16:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?	11	$66	107	99	+8	open	—	05-04 15:57
btc updown 15m 1776182400	3	$65	97	44	+54	open	—	04-14 16:09
btc updown 5m 1776342300	1	$64	76	0	+76	open	—	04-16 12:29
btc updown 15m 1773683100	2	$63	52	52	+0	open	—	03-16 18:00
btc updown 15m 1774809900	4	$60	44	44	+1	open	—	03-29 19:01
btc updown 15m 1776180600	3	$60	197	38	+158	open	—	04-14 15:40
btc updown 5m 1775606100	2	$57	41	39	+2	open	—	04-08 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9AM ET	5	$57	62	59	+4	open	—	04-27 14:00
btc updown 15m 1773682200	4	$56	122	41	+81	open	—	03-16 17:40
bitcoin above 68k on april 7	7	$56	73	60	+13	open	—	04-07 15:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 21:04:06	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x18e41a…
06-07 20:51:06	btc updown 5m 1780865400	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x72efba…
06-05 21:14:19	btc updown 5m 1780693800	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$2	0x18da05…
06-05 21:13:12	btc updown 5m 1780693800	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x209cc1…
06-05 21:04:00	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xad8243…
06-05 21:00:18	btc updown 5m 1780693200	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xeef905…
06-05 20:57:19	bitcoin above 62k on june 6 2026 188	Yes	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x695eeb…
06-04 16:06:37	btc updown 5m 1780589100	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x626064…
06-04 12:44:30	btc updown 5m 1780576800	Up	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x5408de…
06-04 12:42:00	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5c49ad…
06-04 12:41:13	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4d988e…
06-04 12:40:42	btc updown 5m 1780576800	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0d92fa…
06-04 12:29:37	btc updown 5m 1780575900	Up	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x565f81…
06-04 12:28:43	btc updown 5m 1780575900	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x85d800…
06-03 10:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	53	34¢	$18	0x4b786c…
06-03 10:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	23¢	$12	0x69a2a8…
06-03 10:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa64fb1…
06-03 10:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x174e80…
06-03 09:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x56af13…
06-02 16:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0xc07046…
06-02 16:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x54ecaa…
06-02 15:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x7e3e8f…
06-02 15:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5690e1…
06-02 14:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x153cba…
05-26 14:31:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0xb472d1…
05-26 13:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xe57b6c…
05-26 13:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9dc048…
05-26 13:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x9bc30e…
05-26 12:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x3491b5…
05-26 12:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x9cc769…
05-26 12:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7ef430…
05-26 11:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x9f860e…
05-26 11:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc8a939…
05-26 11:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x98fe03…
05-26 11:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9226b6…
05-26 11:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6510a1…
05-26 10:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdebe7d…
05-26 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xeeb467…
05-26 00:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa8c17e…
05-25 20:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x09391d…
05-25 20:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2e0ff0…
05-25 19:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb8c06f…
05-25 19:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb6526b…
05-25 19:09:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x81fe75…
05-25 19:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf8574f…
05-25 19:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1cfd26…
05-25 18:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6843fe…
05-25 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0x7ef945…
05-25 18:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa84a75…
05-25 18:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x0277f0…
05-25 18:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x09739f…
05-17 10:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x82283d…
05-06 11:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xe61fc6…
05-06 11:20:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xdce0aa…
05-06 08:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x1d658a…
05-05 15:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0x0b674b…
05-05 15:01:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0xee4a9e…
05-05 15:01:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xd04b42…
05-05 12:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xc4427d…
05-05 12:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xfcc68c…
05-05 12:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xc83f61…
05-05 12:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x05257d…
05-05 12:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xdcdc08…
05-05 12:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x12cffb…
05-05 12:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x983561…
05-05 12:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa2f23a…
05-05 11:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xb288a8…
05-05 11:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xc0bb57…
05-05 11:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x22ff95…
05-05 11:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6cb3ce…
05-05 11:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5c84ca…
05-05 11:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x10c9e7…
05-05 11:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x73e53e…
05-05 11:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x4382c8…
05-05 11:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2b7966…
05-05 11:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x90a217…
05-05 11:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc07155…
05-05 11:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x02a23e…
05-05 11:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x722e37…
05-05 10:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	25¢	$7	0xdd6690…
05-05 10:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x766878…
05-05 10:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xa76aa8…
05-05 10:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa344ea…
05-05 10:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x412d02…
05-05 10:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x79eba1…
05-05 10:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x650316…
05-05 10:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	93¢	$15	0x4888cd…
05-05 10:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x62d894…
05-05 10:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x11712f…
05-05 10:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x93cd10…
05-05 09:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x8d2fac…
05-05 09:58:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xc172ee…
05-05 09:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xe24d3b…
05-05 09:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xba05d9…
05-05 09:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x04d9c9…
05-05 09:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x318bf8…
05-05 09:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x052e70…
05-05 09:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb50ad5…
05-05 09:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x5ba16b…
05-05 09:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x785091…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	723	$57.7K	12,494	05-06 08:51
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	688	$395.0K	29,381	06-02 16:28
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	640	$17.0K	1,809	04-30 23:29
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	636	$37.6K	5,228	06-05 21:01
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	628	$322.4K	13,961	06-05 21:04
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	583	$214.6K	39,988	06-05 21:03
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	565	$1.30M	60,332	06-05 21:03
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	564	$169.9K	9,886	06-04 12:25