Grimy-Napkin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$126

Hit rate

80.0%

Resolved

194

Trades

855

lifetime

Volume

$899.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.05K

Open exposure

$1.24K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 93 days

Categories

Other

40% 68% -$19,465

Crypto

28% 79% -$1,162

Politics

28% 59% -$3,342

Sports

3% 58% +$7,101

Tech

0% 75% +$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes		+1,250	$1,110	99¢	$1.2K	+$126	10-27 12:44

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	6	$41.3K	32,059	10,265	+21,795	No	+$433	01-23 01:01
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	5	$34.5K	17,483	17,483	+0	No	+$461	01-27 06:37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	10	$33.9K	17,293	17,293	+0	Yes	-$107	02-04 12:42
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	19	$26.9K	15,237	15,237	+0	Yes	+$1,729	02-08 13:57
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	6	$26.7K	13,719	13,719	+0	Over	+$695	07-11 22:56
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$26.4K	18,937	18,937	+0	No	-$10,256	02-13 05:55
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	2	$26.1K	13,368	13,368	+0	Over	+$655	07-07 00:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:00 UTC	26	$23.4K	21,161	2,442	+18,718	Up	+$211	02-10 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 15:15 UTC	2	$22.8K	23,004	0	+23,004	Up	+$230	02-11 15:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 12:15 UTC	3	$22.1K	22,863	0	+22,863	Down	+$756	02-09 12:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 02:30 UTC	2	$21.3K	21,811	0	+21,811	Down	+$489	02-11 02:43
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	31	$19.0K	21,341	21,341	+0	No	-$10,660	02-08 12:11
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 5 million	12	$18.9K	10,032	10,032	+0	Yes	+$784	01-14 03:55
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$18.7K	9,966	9,966	+0	Yes	+$738	01-31 09:46
lighter market cap fdv 1b one day after launch	1	$18.1K	0	18,154	-18,154	Yes	-$36	01-01 03:05
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	3	$17.9K	11,375	11,375	+0	No	+$2,852	06-27 01:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 16:00 UTC	7	$17.2K	17,415	0	+17,415	Down	+$174	02-09 16:12
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	18	$15.7K	16,982	0	+16,982	Yes	+$1,290	01-31 14:10
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	5	$15.7K	7,977	7,977	+0	Over	+$269	07-18 21:51
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	51	$14.8K	9,532	9,845	-313	Yes	+$3,796	01-19 15:40
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$14.3K	21,011	0	+21,011	Yes	+$6,681	02-08 13:58
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte1	1	$14.0K	15,199	0	+15,199	No	-$13,983	07-19 13:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 15:15 UTC	8	$13.7K	13,840	0	+13,840	Up	+$164	02-10 15:23
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 6pt5	1	$12.7K	13,005	0	+13,005	Under	+$305	07-10 13:57
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	1	$12.0K	12,903	0	+12,903	France	+$903	07-04 15:03
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	2	$11.2K	5,940	5,940	+0	No	+$648	06-22 19:08
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	1	$11.0K	12,728	0	+12,728	No	+$1,750	07-09 14:12
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	3	$11.0K	6,024	6,024	+0	No	+$976	06-28 01:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 14:45 UTC	2	$10.0K	10,213	0	+10,213	Up	+$213	02-09 14:59
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	7	$9.9K	5,441	5,441	+0	Yes	+$411	06-22 02:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:44:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xbca738…
10-27 12:44:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	663	89¢	$588	0x4ccf53…
10-27 12:43:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x8fd54a…
10-27 12:43:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	187	89¢	$166	0x0844e4…
10-05 14:57:43	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,110	51¢	$571	0x7bfa03…
10-05 14:57:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	723	81¢	$585	0x9e20bc…
09-17 01:39:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	723	55¢	$397	0xdaebf5…
09-09 04:28:34	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	407	54¢	$220	0xd72c67…
09-09 04:27:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	502	46¢	$231	0x48fdf3…
08-12 15:44:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	502	67¢	$337	0xdd71d4…
08-11 05:03:13	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	No	BUY	343	87¢	$298	0xb05117…
08-11 05:02:22	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	1,123	27¢	$309	0xd2b477…
08-06 14:15:54	Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1,123	88¢	$989	0x13d44f…
08-04 23:30:53	Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	Yes	BUY	993	75¢	$744	0x535583…
08-04 23:30:11	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	776	97¢	$753	0x3b1cd8…
07-24 23:05:06	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	327	0¢	$0	0x6c7506…
07-22 14:31:31	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	615	88¢	$541	0x34f2b9…
07-21 05:58:01	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	160	84¢	$135	0x8f3112…
07-21 05:57:40	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	219	63¢	$137	0xf13926…
07-21 05:57:19	Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xb0b43e…
07-20 13:44:30	Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?	Yes	BUY	543	93¢	$503	0x448819…
07-20 13:36:34	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	219	64¢	$140	0xfc0071…
07-20 12:15:49	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	327	46¢	$150	0xd4601b…
07-19 22:55:37	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	797	100¢	$796	0xe5d3f1…
07-19 13:37:36	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	15,199	92¢	$13,983	0xa2c204…
07-18 21:51:55	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	3,123	100¢	$3,120	0xee1c82…
07-18 21:51:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	7,977	100¢	$7,969	0x3c8f55…
07-16 14:06:08	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	4,141	97¢	$4,000	0xf32b44…
07-16 14:05:13	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2,073	96¢	$2,000	0xb0a8db…
07-16 14:05:01	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,037	96¢	$1,000	0x0b729b…
07-16 14:04:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	726	96¢	$700	0x1e0eda…
07-16 14:03:19	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	216	86¢	$186	0x6209bc…
07-16 14:03:08	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0x07cae4…
07-16 14:02:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2,326	86¢	$2,000	0x1f8737…
07-15 12:58:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2,241	89¢	$2,000	0xc5b35c…
07-15 12:58:02	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	1,460	68¢	$1,000	0x897586…
07-15 12:57:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	6,723	89¢	$6,000	0x463de6…
07-15 12:57:02	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0x1d27e3…
07-14 20:48:38	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	4,324	100¢	$4,314	0x10ca14…
07-14 20:48:01	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	847	2¢	$17	0xda8c08…
07-14 20:47:28	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,216	2¢	$23	0x1b4012…
07-14 13:48:52	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	847	59¢	$500	0x90e19f…
07-14 13:47:43	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	4,324	92¢	$4,000	0xa13867…
07-11 22:56:49	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	13,719	100¢	$13,685	0x2d6d91…
07-11 14:17:38	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3,150	95¢	$2,990	0x1aedd5…
07-11 14:16:41	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	3,166	95¢	$3,000	0xef5841…
07-11 14:16:10	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	2,112	95¢	$2,000	0x6918fe…
07-11 14:16:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	1,058	94¢	$1,000	0x590016…
07-11 14:15:49	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	4,233	94¢	$4,000	0x7a7ea5…
07-10 13:57:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	13,005	98¢	$12,700	0xd754eb…
07-09 14:12:41	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	No	BUY	12,728	86¢	$10,978	0xec8315…
07-07 22:46:40	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	No	SELL	3,966	100¢	$3,962	0xee3ffb…
07-07 17:37:37	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0xc309a3…
07-07 17:36:20	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	1,207	58¢	$700	0x017d23…
07-07 17:33:10	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	No	SELL	6,452	20¢	$1,261	0x1fd33d…
07-07 14:24:25	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	6,452	93¢	$6,000	0x5e3246…
07-07 14:07:19	Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?	No	BUY	1,034	58¢	$600	0xbfa5f6…
07-07 00:35:56	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	13,368	100¢	$13,355	0xb074f8…
07-06 14:47:50	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	13,368	95¢	$12,700	0x43d125…
07-06 14:13:50	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	No	BUY	769	78¢	$600	0x3d98bf…
07-06 02:02:47	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	714	70¢	$500	0xaba49e…
07-05 15:03:46	Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	No	BUY	429	70¢	$300	0x976249…
07-04 15:03:05	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	12,903	93¢	$12,000	0x18dc27…
07-03 14:15:49	Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?	No	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x4135fe…
07-02 23:09:01	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	1,783	78¢	$1,400	0xd2f58a…
07-02 23:07:58	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	3,822	78¢	$3,000	0xe3eef0…
07-02 23:07:35	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	615	49¢	$300	0x0fd6ee…
07-02 19:48:49	Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	745	79¢	$586	0x6a561d…
07-02 13:43:01	Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?	No	BUY	9,730	93¢	$9,000	0x809b8c…
07-01 14:58:16	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	610	33¢	$200	0xd55c78…
06-30 03:27:07	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?	No	BUY	9,785	93¢	$9,100	0xfff5b8…
06-30 02:56:59	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	2,055	4¢	$82	0x02079c…
06-30 02:37:17	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2,055	73¢	$1,500	0x5d8bc6…
06-29 15:22:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	685	73¢	$500	0xf21b68…
06-28 15:14:37	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	583	60¢	$350	0x30670b…
06-28 01:15:58	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	No	SELL	6,024	99¢	$5,976	0x6bc2c4…
06-27 22:45:38	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	2,410	83¢	$2,000	0x8e4b8e…
06-27 22:41:23	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	385	23¢	$88	0x2ecb3b…
06-27 22:30:29	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?	No	BUY	3,614	83¢	$3,000	0xc8c73e…
06-27 22:18:22	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	SELL	1,744	65¢	$1,139	0x8e0875…
06-27 16:48:14	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x750ce2…
06-27 16:31:50	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1,744	86¢	$1,500	0x437037…
06-27 01:53:58	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	No	SELL	11,375	91¢	$10,352	0xdc542f…
06-26 21:12:32	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	10,606	66¢	$7,000	0x2127ea…
06-26 21:01:28	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	1,250	100¢	$1,249	0xbe92e7…
06-26 15:49:58	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?	No	BUY	769	65¢	$500	0x949cc1…
06-26 15:49:26	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	270	36¢	$97	0x96df94…
06-26 15:28:01	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xa3e0ea…
06-26 15:27:49	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	1,250	80¢	$1,000	0xd27eec…
06-26 00:26:07	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	SELL	2,778	99¢	$2,758	0xd21c68…
06-25 12:28:10	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2,778	90¢	$2,500	0xeeb472…
06-25 02:35:04	Will South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	SELL	654	13¢	$84	0xb2dccc…
06-24 12:24:01	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	1,314	72¢	$946	0xfa5b29…
06-24 12:23:19	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0xc5b1c8…
06-24 12:22:56	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	No	BUY	1,389	72¢	$1,000	0xdbdcf2…
06-23 11:33:52	Will South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	Yes	BUY	236	85¢	$200	0x282ec5…
06-23 00:58:05	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	2,637	100¢	$2,635	0x67fdf0…
06-22 19:19:14	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	2,637	91¢	$2,400	0x728674…
06-22 19:08:08	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	No	SELL	5,940	100¢	$5,934	0x4533c2…
06-22 06:56:20	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	5,940	89¢	$5,287	0x24c569…