Frayed-Honesty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$296

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-21 17:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 57% +$0

Politics

8% — —

Other

5% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	7	$38	38	36	+1	open	—	04-27 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$22	21	20	+1	open	—	04-27 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$19	27	27	+0	open	—	04-30 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$7	71	4	+67	open	—	04-27 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	5	$7	12	4	+8	open	—	04-29 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$6	69	2	+67	open	—	04-27 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	6	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-27 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$6	6	4	+1	open	—	04-29 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-27 13:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-27 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-27 14:18
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$5	6	4	+2	open	—	04-29 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-27 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-29 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 13:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 06:43
Kash Patel out by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-27 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	4	$4	5	1	+4	open	—	05-01 08:27
will hegseth say israeli or israel during press conference	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 13:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-13 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Down	$-0	05-08 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	04-30 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	04-29 12:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 17:25:09	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x46b60d…
05-11 13:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc6fab3…
05-10 10:04:28	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xcb8bbf…
05-08 15:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdfae76…
05-08 15:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6edf95…
05-08 15:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8d80a1…
05-08 15:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xd02427…
05-08 15:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbfac14…
05-08 15:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0x0b1800…
05-08 15:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0b1311…
05-08 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2ad9a7…
05-08 15:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd83cf6…
05-08 15:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xed0cab…
05-08 14:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x39f5f1…
05-08 14:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xbe0495…
05-08 14:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xec1d3b…
05-08 14:54:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x778d70…
05-04 09:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8f1065…
05-04 09:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1a150a…
05-04 09:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x161e48…
05-01 08:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xce1823…
05-01 08:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0a756a…
05-01 08:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd1c9bd…
05-01 08:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfe13a3…
05-01 08:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc3c3b4…
05-01 08:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3a48a0…
05-01 08:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x421f87…
05-01 08:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe3c556…
05-01 08:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x635b2e…
05-01 08:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x86fb52…
05-01 08:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x07c268…
05-01 08:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4621fb…
05-01 08:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5daa08…
05-01 08:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xaf2bd9…
04-30 06:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1421cd…
04-30 06:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x0c54f7…
04-30 06:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x141aa3…
04-30 06:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x96b2d9…
04-30 06:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x41da73…
04-30 06:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x04f79d…
04-30 06:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xdd9f42…
04-30 06:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x28dabb…
04-30 06:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1dfff9…
04-30 06:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8e7c62…
04-30 06:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x939fd0…
04-30 06:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8c38dc…
04-30 06:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x5e570a…
04-30 06:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x461379…
04-30 06:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb2d484…
04-30 06:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7bb3f8…
04-30 06:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0xd80d26…
04-30 06:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x39ef83…
04-30 06:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x4fb034…
04-30 06:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x834dbc…
04-30 06:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xd793a1…
04-30 06:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x412d6f…
04-30 06:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xb2642e…
04-30 06:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4f13dd…
04-30 06:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x1d2674…
04-30 06:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf1289f…
04-30 06:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xf7d90b…
04-30 06:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe58542…
04-30 06:16:20	Kash Patel out by April 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcceecf…
04-29 13:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2d3e6a…
04-29 13:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	59¢	$3	0x4b606e…
04-29 13:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x28c2df…
04-29 13:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xee62ec…
04-29 13:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x9de887…
04-29 13:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa51771…
04-29 13:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x06ece6…
04-29 13:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdb82ea…
04-29 13:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x1eefe5…
04-29 13:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x81e4e4…
04-29 13:04:20	Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5701aa…
04-29 12:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x20acd7…
04-29 12:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xfe868d…
04-29 12:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x2d8204…
04-29 12:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x537bd3…
04-29 12:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x45626a…
04-29 12:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xefb7a6…
04-29 12:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x45d400…
04-29 12:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x093894…
04-29 12:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x02501c…
04-29 12:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5cf40d…
04-29 12:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xebc7c3…
04-29 12:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x309259…
04-29 12:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x2f3864…
04-29 12:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2484f1…
04-29 12:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb6f015…
04-29 12:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd8db4c…
04-29 12:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe96774…
04-29 12:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xf6aae3…
04-29 12:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8e5a84…
04-29 12:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0xd40c05…
04-29 12:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xb017c0…
04-29 12:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2dbbca…
04-29 12:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x342972…
04-29 12:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x92fb2a…
04-29 12:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x6c54f6…
04-29 12:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe992c6…